| December Oil Stock Competitions: December Duel For >20%.....

27th Nov '14 by flyingbull

12 comments 7661 reads

Apparently OPEC has today foregone its' old philosophy of propping up the oil price and thrown down the gauntlet for the shale oil industry in the US. How would this duel pans out!?

For the December 2014 “>20%” monthly oil stock competitions, which oil stocks will have the greatest move for

(i) >20% gain?
(ii) >20% loss?

You may enter two stocks, one for (i) and one for (ii). More than one person may enter the same stock. The deadline for the December competition is midnight on Sunday 30 November. Results will be posted on this thread asap after the December month end.

Good luck!!!!

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About the Author

Flyingbull

Premium Member

12 comments

Fangorn

28th Nov '14

Tough call this month given the carnage over the last few days particularly. Some great value out there, PMO (off 11% today), Ophr (off 8.5%) and Soco in bargain territory at sub 300p

For the UP: GKP (Still waiting for confirmation of payments

For the down: Bowleven.

jonnyt

28th Nov '14

For the up: Nothing
For the Down: Everything

emptyend

28th Nov '14

Boring....

For the up, SOCO International (LON:SIA), on grounds of market reassessment consequent upon the outlook for reserves and production.

For the down it is a matter of working out whose balance sheet is going to come under the greatest pressure. My gut says Tullow Oil (LON:TLW) but there will doubtless be others amongst the smaller companies.

Impvesta

28th Nov '14

Up Aminex (AEX) please. Looking perky lately. It's my best performing share recently and the signing of the GSA is looming ever closer.....I hope.

No down.

nigelpm

28th Nov '14

For the up:

Pick anything from :

OPHR
SMDR
SIA
BLVN
AFR
GKP

flyingbull

30th Nov '14

Up PMO: Weather the oil price storm with strong production.
Down Hawk: OPEC oil price decision last Thursday targeting US conventional and unconventional plays.

Stay happy!!! Happy Xmas Everyone!!!

Fangorn

30th Nov '14

Payment confirmation tomorrow then.....Kurdistan side one :)

Ex-BP Boss Hayward Boosted By Kurdish Payout
$25m to Genel

TaqTaq,Tawke,and Shaikan - $25m a piece,

http://news.sky.com/story/1383271/ex-bp-boss-hayward-boosted-by-kurdish-payout

lightningtiger

2nd Dec '14

Just taken a quick look at the oil stocks KEA in New Zealand has come up with a massive +525% UP today, while generally most oil stocks are down of course with oil dropping again to around $65 a barrel. I will come back with the down in a moment. OK

3LEGS for going down -95.5% in a month. Any bottom fishers about? I hope nobody was holding that one,

flyinghorse

3rd Dec '14

KEA is having a 10-1 consolidation of shares.

flyingbull

2nd Jan '15

It's been a while since AEX won the >20% monthly competition, helped by partial divestment the
Tanzanian government in December and the expectation of gas sales contract signing in early 2015.
Congrats to Ewn55 and Impvesta for winning the December Up competition with AEX up a very respectable
16% in a very tough oil market in general!!!

As for the >20% Down Competition, congrats to Stillwaiting for winning it with MSMN whose share
price, down 58%, the market might have expected better news than that reported on Contingent
Resources.

The ">20% Up" and ">20% Down" competition results are shown below:

December 2014 ">20% Up" Competition Results:

-6.2% Average

16.1% AEX Ewm55 Fool
16.1% AEX Impvesta Stockopedia
8.2% HAWK Thegreatgeraldo Fool
7.2% SIA Emptyend Stockopedia
5.8% HUR Treblebob Fool
5.0% GKP Casanare Fool
5.0% GKP Patsym Advfn
5.0% GKP Fangorn Stockopedia
2.4% ROSE Stillwaiting Advfn
-2.3% BLVN Jimarilo Fool
-2.3% BLVN Sawney Fool
-2.6% OPHR Redhill100 Fool
-2.6% OPHR Nigelpm Stockopedia
-5.8% SLG(Canada) Fleecednflogged Fool
-10.6% PMO Glitter1 Fool
-10.6% PMO Flyingbull Fool
-10.6% PMO Loglorry Advfn
-22.4% MOIL Mach100 Advfn
-24.8% SQZ Eastheath Fool
-26.2% FPM Slickreturns Fool
-39.4% EME Senttothegallow Advfn
-46.7% FAST Fatval Advfn

December 2014 ">20% Down" Competition Results:

-13.0% Average

-58.3% MSMN Stillwaiting Advfn
-31.3% SER Fatval Advfn
-26.1% PCI Sawney Fool
-23.0% RRL Ewm55 Fool
-22.6% PMG Glitter1 Fool
-22.0% MXP Patsym Advfn
-17.1% XEL Eastheath Fool
-17.1% XEL Fleecednflogged Fool
-2.8% TLW Emptyend Stockopedia
-2.3% BLVN Fangorn Stockopedia
4.0% SLE Mach100 Advfn
5.0% GKP Redhill100 Fool
5.0% GKP Slickreturns Fool
5.0% GKP Loglorry Advfn
8.2% HAWK Flyingbull Fool

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big_gav216

2nd Jan '15

Not sure how relevent this is but I read an article earlier that there is a suspected Ebola outbreak in Iraq amongst ISIS fighters. Not confirmed but if true I can't imagine it could be contained there with the situation on the ground. I wonder what the effect the headline ' Ebole sweeping through the Middle East ' would do to the oil price.

peterg

3rd Jan '15

It's been a while since AEX won the >20% monthly competition

All of 3 months! Since my prediction that it might begin to move soon turned into a 180% rise in Sept! Credit to Impvesta though who called it right both times.

Peter

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December Oil Stock Competitions: December Duel for >20%.....

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Flyingbull

12 comments

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