| Money Making March For >20%....

1st Mar '13 by flyingbull

6 comments 3128 reads

Forgot February is a "Short" month! ;-) Apologies for the delay in posting! The deadline for entry is moved to Midnight on Monday 4 March 2013. The share prices at that time will be used as the starting prices for the purpose of calculating the increases in March.

For the March 2013 “>20%” monthly oil stock competitions, which oil stocks will have the greatest move for

(i) >20% gain?
(ii) >20% loss?

You may enter two stocks, one for (i) and one for (ii). More than one person may enter the same stock. The deadline for the March competition is midnight on Monday 4 March 2013. Results will be posted on this thread asap after the March month end.

Good luck!!!!!

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About the Author

Flyingbull

Premium Member

6 comments

Fangorn

1st Mar '13

With the court case finally over, and just awaiting the judge's written conclusion has to be

GKP for +20%

For the Down, AEX.
Quite frothy today but no RNS.

Proselenes

2nd Mar '13

TRAP for the +20%.

Sellers appear to be clear. Company actively doing some PR. 2 drills in progress (Scotney and Magnolia). Real revenue of over 2m pounds a month coming in from Athena. Company is presently only valued at cash + Athena projected cash. All exploration (carried to first oil in most cases so zero cost) is in for free. Scotney and Magnolia are both due to complete end of March or early April. Scotney worth 25p a share on P50 levels and Magnolia perhaps 2p a share. Not too bad when you consider the current share price of 15p only really reflects cash and projected cash from Athena production. So its due a mighty move up at some point now the overhang appears clear and the sellers who crashed the share price are gone.

RRL for the -20%

Impvesta

3rd Mar '13

Whilst I am tempted to go for my newest holding, Trap, I am not sure whether either of their current drills (Scotney and Magnolia) will be completed in time and will therefore go for:

Aminex (AEX) please, on the expectation that a market pleasing farmout deal will be announced during March.

No down.

dbfromgb

3rd Mar '13

AEX for >20% please.

In many ways this is a make or break month, as

a) the farm in at Ruvuma should give us a good indication of the value that the industry places on AEX Tanzanian assets.
b) We should hear about USA asset disposal.

I am very positive about a) above - such is the level of interest in Tanzania at the moment that anything other than a good result really would be a set back. In terms of b) I am cautious - not a good market to be selling into at the moment.

Aminex also vulnerable to a takeover imho, and I would not be surprised if that is another angle to both a) and b). Not necessarily as a target on its own, but as part of a wider consolidation as the majors move in.

Other variables include a spin off to the Ruvama farmin being expressions of interest in a Nyuni/Kiliwani farm in.

I would be surprised if the Board aren't busting a gut to get this sorted asap, and keen to provide a more general update as part of the finals. I accept though that commercial factors could see this dragging on beyond March.

Aminex has an intrinsic value in its own right, but may well have a greater value strategically as part of a wider jig saw puzzle. It remains my second largest holding.

alano20

4th Mar '13

Hi fb,

For the >20% TRAP please, and

For the <20% AEX, - has already moved up a lot on pure speculation.

flyingbull

30th Mar '13

It's unusual for Russia focused oil & gas companies making waves in this competition.
RPO's share price has been under pressure almost relentlessly since March last year.
It'd be interesting to see if the recent rise was a dead cat bounce or something more with
substance. Congratulations to Mw for winning the >20% Up Competition! Just edging
out Superg1's IOF, by only 0.2%!

SER's poor performing share price continued, badly needing turnaround pieces of news.
Congratulations to Angein1 for winning the >20% Down Competition!

The two set of competition results are shown below:

">20% Up" Competition Results:

-5.5% Average

27.4%	RPO	Mw	Advfn
27.2%	IOF	Superg1	Advfn
18.1%	AMER	Valentine	Advfn
18.1%	AMER	Bigwavedave	Advfn
17.5%	BLVN	Wshak	Fool
17.5%	BLVN	Repobear	Fool
17.5%	BLVN	Spannercadet	Fool
17.5%	BLVN	Yossa123	Fool
17.5%	BLVN	Thegreatgeraldo	Fool
17.5%	BLVN	Closetinvestor	Advfn
3.8%	SLG.V	100mboe	Fool
3.1%	SMDR	Luminoso	Fool
3.1%	SMDR	Fleecednflogged	Fool
3.1%	SMDR	Bomfin	Advfn
2.0%	TPL	JPGH	Fool
2.0%	TPL	Harrykewell	Advfn
1.3%	XEL	Oblomof	Fool
1.3%	XEL	Dragonfan	Fool
1.3%	XEL	Slickreturns	Fool
1.0%	FPM	Crankbrook2	Fool
0.7%	VPP	Zoolook	Fool
0.3%	OPHR	Chriswalden	Fool
0.0%	TPN.V	Mukh6	Fool
0.0%	UEN	thetoonarmy2	Advfn
-0.2%	CEO	Squareloss	Fool
-0.8%	PVR	Steelwatch	Advfn
-1.7%	SOU	Jimarilo	Fool
-1.7%	SOU	Levalueinvestor	Fool
-1.8%	NKO.V	Dincroas	Fool
-2.0%	EME	Gary1966	Fool
-2.8%	FAST	Flyingswan	Advfn
-3.3%	IAE	Peterbill	Fool
-4.7%	LOGP	Sul2	Advfn
-8.2%	GKP	Kuwaitfool	Fool
-8.2%	GKP	Patsym	Advfn
-8.2%	GKP	LR2	Advfn
-8.2%	GKP	Jimmymcnulty	Advfn
-8.2%	GKP	Fangorn	Stockopedia
-9.9%	LGO	AngelN1	Advfn
-11.7%	RRL	Saggy101	Fool
-11.7%	RRL	Glasowegianprof	Fool
-11.7%	RRL	Zlibob	Advfn
-12.0%	TOM	Liquidmillionaire	Advfn
-12.2%	TRAP	Sawney	Fool
-12.2%	TRAP	Kuronagi	Fool
-12.2%	TRAP	Petergray	Fool
-12.2%	TRAP	Diablo1967	Advfn
-12.2%	TRAP	Proselenes	Stockopedia
-16.2%	NOP	Moho50	Fool
-21.2%	SLME	ChristianF12	Advfn
-22.6%	SOLO	Wrighty46	Advfn
-23.8%	AEX	Ewm55	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Eastheath	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Haoma	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Oilbarrel58	Advfn
-23.8%	AEX	Zeratul899	Advfn
-23.8%	AEX	Impvesta	Stockopedia
-23.8%	AEX	dbfromgb	Stockopedia
-26.4%	TRP	Alano20	Stockopedia
-61.9%	AEY	Flyingbull	Fool
-61.9%	AEY	Triples	Advfn

">20% Down" Competition Results:

-13.2% Average

-30.7%	SER	Angein1	Advfn
-30.7%	SER	Bigwavedave	Advfn
-23.8%	AEX	Wshak	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Kuronagi	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Slickreturns	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Dincroas	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	JPGH	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Yossa123	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Kuwaitfool	Fool
-23.8%	AEX	Bomfin	Advfn
-23.8%	AEX	Fangorn	Stockopedia
-23.8%	AEX	Alano20	Stockopedia
-22.6%	SOLO	Haoma	Fool
-20.0%	EOG	ChristianF12	Advfn
-18.2%	CHAR	Wrighty46	Advfn
-11.7%	RRL	Flyingbull	Fool
-11.7%	RRL	Sul2	Advfn
-11.7%	RRL	Proselenes	Stockopedia
-10.4%	PET	Patsym	Advfn
-10.4%	PET	thetoonarmy2	Advfn
-9.9%	LGO	Luminoso	Fool
-8.2%	GKP	Peterbill	Fool
-8.2%	GKP	Gary1966	Fool
-6.5%	RMP	Zlibob	Advfn
-6.3%	PMG	Fleecednflogged	Fool
-6.0%	AST	Sawney	Fool
-6.0%	AST	Moho50	Fool
-6.0%	AST	Eastheath	Fool
-5.8%	DES	Saggy101	Fool
-5.8%	DES	LR2	Advfn
-5.8%	DES	Jimmymcnulty	Advfn
0.3%	OPHR	Chriswalden	Fool
0.7%	VPP	Jimarilo	Fool
1.3%	XEL	Diablo1967	Advfn
1.3%	XEL	Mw	Advfn
13.9%	JKX	Ewm55	Fool

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Flyingbull

6 comments

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