| New Age November For >20%.....

31st Oct '14 by flyingbull

5 comments 4298 reads

Unfortunately Red October striked again!!! We all had different ways of coping with it. Hopefully it is a case of "what doesn't kill us makes us stronger!!!".

For the November 2014 “>20%” monthly oil stock competitions, which oil stocks will have the greatest move for

(i) >20% gain?
(ii) >20% loss?

You may enter two stocks, one for (i) and one for (ii). More than one person may enter the same stock. The deadline for the October competition is midnight on Sunday 2 November 2014. Results will be posted on this thread asap after the November month end.

Good luck!!!!

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About the Author

Flyingbull

Premium Member

5 comments

emptyend

31st Oct '14

Quite tough to choose this time. Of course everything has sold off like crazy in October and the oil price is much lower. But many seem to think that the market can go lower still......

.......so I'm just tempted to go against the consensus view here, both in relation to the oil price and to the expectations of E&Ps continuing under pressure.

As usual, I'm ignoring situations where I could be conflicted, but I think there is a decent prospect of SOCO International (LON:SIA) turning in a +20% from some combination of the following:

test results from LXM-101well (ENI this week added another 1bn boe to the 2.5bn boe it has immediately adjacent)
IMS - update on TGT drilling, reserves timeframes and perhaps production outlook and/or dividend plans for 2015
M&A approach (ENI looking to expand in Vietnam, see today's FT, and doubtless there are other opportunists out there)

Fangorn

31st Oct '14

Goodness me, it it that time again already..

For November's up , no brainer for me..

Has to be GKP.

13th November is the key date. Wonder what is in store for investors as the IMS/Results of three major producers have all been coordinated to report on the same day - Genel, DNO, and GKP.

Additional, and the conspiracy theorists will run rampant with the news, the 13th November coincidentally tallies with several other "key events"

They are:
1) Deadline date for the ICG to put up or shut up with regard to the United Kalavrvta sitting off the Galverston.

2) Three month deadline apparently given to ICG to sort out the government and with it the payments to the KRG that are outstanding since beginning of year.

So here's hoping the KRG / ICG payment mechanism for Oil exports,and sorting out of back pay has finally been signed off on.

For the Down - Hard to say as the arse has fallen out of most O&G E&P'ers already.
eg CNE, Ophr, PMO, SIA, Afr.

So PXT it will have to be

flyingbull

3rd Nov '14

UJO up: Wressle-1 well test in Nov/Dec.
OEX down: Uncertain economics for future frac wells???

Impvesta

3rd Nov '14

If I'm not too late, up Aminex (AEX) please, on the belief that we have turned the corner now and the hope/expectation that the GSA will be signed this month.

No down.

flyingbull

4th Dec '14

Even with a bad October, there were still some stocks making over the >20% mark. Congrats to Ferrisc for winning, only just, the >20% Up Competition with MSMN, up 22%. Apparently, the share price was driven up by a private investor who now has >3% of MSMN shares.

As for the >20% Down Competition, congrats to the trio of Alyo, Chriswalden and Ferrisc for winning it with UKOG whose share price, down 54%, was hit by encountering non hydrocarbon bearing rock in the Triassic.

The ">20% Up" and ">20% Down" competition results are shown below:

">20% Up" Competition Results:

-14.1% Average

21.9% MSMN Ferrisc Advfn
20.2% AEX Ewm55 Fool
19.2% TRAP Glitter1 Fool
-3.0% GKP Fangorn Stockopedia
-6.0% PANR Shafaq Advfn
-8.5% PPC Alyo Advfn
-8.5% PPC Bigwavedave Advfn
-11.1% PCI Eastheath Fool
-11.1% PCI Sawney Fool
-13.2% UJO Flyingbull Stockopedia
-13.2% UJO Xxnjr Fool
-13.2% UJO Chriswalden Fool
-13.6% TPL Merlin55 Advfn
-13.6% TPL Rovi67 Advfn
-13.8% SIA Emptyend Stockopedia
-15.0% HAWK Maxwell Advfn
-16.7% WSX Wordbadger Fool
-18.3% FAST Mach100 Advfn
-19.1% IAE Fleecednflogged Fool
-19.6% VRY.TO Thegreatgeraldo Fool
-20.7% INA.TO Quitetitch Fool
-23.3% HUR Hayfield Advfn
-23.3% HUR Markmewerds Advfn
-23.3% HUR Treblebob Fool
-24.6% LGO Realcooltrader Advfn
-24.8% SMDR Sporazene Fool
-25.8% LEK Carlosalberto70 Fool
-33.0% AFR Petroleum1 Fool
-55.1% SLE Peally Fool

">20% Down" Competition Results:

-11.6% Average

-54.1% UKOG Alyo Advfn
-54.1% UKOG Chriswalden Fool
-54.1% UKOG Ferrisc Advfn
-42.2% SOLO Merlin55 Advfn
-24.6% LGO Fleecednflogged Fool
-24.6% LGO Peally Fool
-23.3% HUR Bigwavedave Advfn
-22.2% PXT.TO Fangorn Stockopedia
-16.6% OEX Flyingbull Stockopedia
-15.0% HAWK Carlosalberto70 Fool
-13.6% TPL Senttothegallows Advfn
-13.2% UJO Maxwell Advfn
-12.6% NOP Glitter1 Fool
-8.7% GBP Sawney Fool
-6.9% DGO Rovi67 Advfn
-6.2% MOIL Mach100 Advfn
-6.0% PANR Giantpeach2 Advfn
-3.0% GKP Realcooltrader Advfn
-3.0% GKP Shafaq Advfn
0.8% COP Ewm55 Fool
1.4% RKH Markmewerds Advfn
4.1% BLVN Jimarilo Fool
20.2% AEX Eastheath Fool
20.2% AEX Sporazene Fool
20.2% AEX Wordbadger Fool
36.3% MXP Hayfield Advfn

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New Age November for >20%.....

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Flyingbull

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