Regency Mines - The Hour Approaches

27th Nov '10 by Monty9

2 comments 8157 reads

Regency Mines (LON:RGM) is a small company with a number of mining and exploration assets and a significant holding in Red Rock Resources (LON:RRR), which is valued at much of its own market cap. It appears to be on the brink of greatness.

For value investors the rather complicated structure and limited access to the City PR machine have left the share price below a realistic valuation but a number of recent developments will produce strong cash flows and force the City to take note.

It's far from risk free but its very complexity has resulted in risks being well spread across the globe.

The operation revolves around the Chairman, Andrew Bell, who has a large personal holding in RGM - an investment in RGM is an investment in Andrew Bell. I have seen him present at the Barbican and left impressed. He has a surprisingly modest demeanour for such a swashbuckling business. I think he experienced some hardship in the 1990's which I also rate a plus.

I was introduced to RGM and RRR last September 2010 and, as in truth I found it hard to understand properly, made a small investment first in Red Rock Resources (LON:RRR) and then RGM. Of course that has now multiplied 5+ times in about 80 days and I wish I had made a more confident move (is greed good?). I understand the situation a little better now (but not much better) and remain convinced the market understands it even less.

How else could the share price in RRR hardly move when they announced a CAD 10M profit selling a stake in Kansai? That was a significant percentage of its market cap and made RRR seriously liquid.

This could run and run and I would love to share views and opinions with others on this site.

Disclosure of interest: The author hold shares in Regency Mines (LON:RGM) and Red Rock Resources (LON:RRR)

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Fangorn

29th Nov '10

Hi Monty,

I also hold these two gold mining minnows, having bought in @ 4.6p (Red Rock Resources (LON:RRR) ), and 6p (Regency Mines (LON:RGM) ). So fairly recently in comparison to yourself.What interested me was the newsflow, in RRR's case, focusing on its move to production with the price of gold so high currently(and expected to remain so)

Both companies have a diversified portfolio of interests..and in RRR's case, it's portfolio seemed to offer a stupendous risk/reward profile in that it's assets were clearly being undervalued by the market. With RGM rising on RRR's coat tails on the back of its largish stake.

Will be watching for the fairly imminent newsflow in both these companies in the forthcoming weeks.

As a poster on ADFVNkindly noted:

RRR newsflow expected:

1. Confirmation of production in Colombia on (or before) 30th Nov

2. Publication of plan for mining tailings in Migori

3. Jupiter release Jorc for MT ida from which RRR will eventually derive 1.5 % royalty

4. And to a lesser extent confirmation of Kansai windfall of approx $6.5 m

The stake in Ascot mining was also an interesting move.....

As to RGM, an ADVFN poster did a rough sum of the parts valuation fairly recently.

RGM Sum of parts valuation: Interest Valuation Per share

Red Rock Res Holding (20.96%) £22.7m 4.47p

JVCo (Mambare nickel/cobalt) (50%) £20.0m 3.94p

Regency Mines Australia £4.0m 0.79p

Oracle Coalfields (10.04%) £1.2m 0.24p

Alba Mineral Resources (14.1%) £0.1m 0.02p

Total £48.0m 9.46p

I've not got round to checking the validity of the figures, but with RGM's stake (c 20% odd) in RRR, and the latter powering ahead, coupled to its variety of mining interests I felt this was too good to miss at 6p - was going to plunge in sooner but funds didn't permit.(I cut my QED holding for a small loss at 37p and reinvested the proceeds in RGM)

Have also invested in Arian Silver Corp (LON:AGQ) (Silver company) on the back of a stockopedia posters comments this year as well - all in keepign with my macroeconomic views that Oil, Commodities and Asia are the places to be invested for the next 1-2 years as the West struggles with massive debt burdens and economic decline.

Monty9

13th Feb '11

2010 was all about small exploration and mining stocks for me - a blinder and for once way better than my rather dodgy fantasy fund. I am trying to diversify a bit but this one keeps my attention every time I think about reducing - I can't see how it will fail. The only issue is that even two of the group (RGM & RRR) have such diversity in their mining activity its hard to keep up. There are a plenty of other interesting resource plays too, GGG, Aurelian, Noventa but also some new tech stocks for the current era...

Internet Q, Globo, SRT, SocialGo and IQE although the latter is well supported now. More on these later. Also looking for short opportunities, Carpetright? I fear we will be needing them at some point in 2011.

Regency Mines - the hour approaches

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Monty9

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