The Forward Look featuring Majestic Wine, Tesco, Sainsburys, Stobart Group and Carnival

Wednesday, Jun 09 2010 by
The Forward Look featuring Majestic Wine Tesco Sainsburys Stobart Group and Carnival

Nick Raynor is an investment adviser at retail stockbroker, The Share Centre, having been there since 2002. Nick has over 11 years’ experience in personal finance. Nick is regularly asked to offer his insight on a wide range of financial matters to the UK media for papers including The Times and The Daily Telegraph. He provides weekly share comment to several regional newspapers, as well as finance-based websites such as He gives his thoughts on what to expect from companies announcing results w/c 7 June 2010.



Majestic Wine (LON:MJW) (preliminary results) - With the summer months approaching we would hope to see a good start to the new financial year as well as positive figures from the last 12 months. With the World Cup imminent this could give a pleasant boost to sales, however having already suggested that results would be at the upper end of analysts expectations, anything less will be a disappointment. We do not currently hold a view on Majestic wine


Tesco (LON:TSCO)  (interim management statement) -  Sir Terry Leahy may have announced his retirement, but the goliath that is Tesco’s will carry on and a short trading update will no doubt confirm this. Tesco has large overseas exposure and with Sterling suffering recent weakness this should give a boost to earnings, not that Tesco needs it. We expect another set of solid figures and can see no reason why we would change our ‘buy’ recommendation. We currently list Tesco as a BUY.


Sainsbury (J) (LON:SBRY) (Q1 trading statement) - To compete with Tesco Sainburys will have to produce something special we feel, however investors may not be totally interested in the figures. Investors will be looking for signs to see if there has been or will be any further interest from the Qatari Investment company that made a bid previously back in 2007. If not it will still be interesting to see how they have fared against other supermarkets over the last three months. We currently list Sainsburys as a HOLD.

Stobart Group (LON:STOB) (interim management statement) - Stobart Group has signed a number of contracts so far this year and the development of its Southend project is going well. We expect this update to contain further good news which should provide a boost to shareholders. An update in May noted that profits were up 54% and further improvements on margins are expected. Most recently Stobart received £100 million from the U.K. Companies Financing Fund, this 10 year loan will repay debt and will also be invested within the company. The future looks very promising hence the buy recommendation. We currently list Stobart as a BUY. 


Carnival (LON:CCL) (Q2 results) -  Figures should be boosted from currency fluctuations as the majority of Carnival’s business is US based, however this also could be an area for concern, the huge oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico could put those wanting to go cruising in that region off. These results are unlikely to change our stance to anything else but ‘hold’. We currently list Carnival as a HOLD. 

Economic Diary 

Economic announcements for w/c 14 June 2010

Consumer Price Indices May 2010 (15 June) and Average Weekly Earnings (16 June)

April’s CPI rose to 3.7% from 3.4%. Recent figures from the Bank of England revealed that its preferred measure of the money supply, M4 minus Intermediate OFCs, expanded by 6.6% q/q, within the bank’s target range. The British Retail Consortium revealed a 1.8% y/y rise in shop price inflation in May, while food prices rose 2.2%. Average wages rose by 4% in March, the fastest pace for some time. The Bank of England has steadfastly stuck to its line that inflation will drop off later this year; markets will be looking for evidence to support this prediction.

Housing market survey May from RICS (15 June)

In the April survey from RICS, the index tracking new instructions (an indicator of changes in supply of properties for sale) fell from 21 to 11, while the new enquiries index (an indicator of changing demand) rose from zero to 8. If the pattern observed over the last two months continues, then in May the relationship between the two indices may have shifted in favour of demand growth, indicating house price rises further down the line. The imminent changes in capital gains tax may have led to a sharp rise in new instructions. 

14 June

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• Monthly Review of External Trade Statistics – April 2010 ONS

15 June

• Consumer Price Indices – May ONS

• Housing market survey – May RICS

• Eurozone Employment Q1 2010

• Eurozone Foreign Trade

16 June

• Labour Market Statistics ONS

• Average Weekly Earnings – April 2010

• Eurozone inflation May Eurostat

17 June

• US Consumer Price Index May, US Real Earnings May BLS

• Retail Sales – May ONS

18 June

• Public Sector Finance – May ONS


Filed Under: Forecasts,

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J Sainsbury plc is a United Kingdom-based company, engaged in supermarkets and convenience stores, and an online grocery and general merchandise operation. The Company also has two property joint ventures with Land Securities Group Plc and The British Land Company Plc. Sainsbury’s Bank provides a range of banking and insurance products. As of March 2013, J Sainsbury plc consists of a chain of 592 supermarkets and 611 convenience stores. It provides a selection of movies, music, books, games and other entertainment products through Sainsbury's Entertainment. more »

Share Price (Full)
-1.7  -0.6%
P/E (fwd)
Yield (fwd)
Mkt Cap (£m)

Tesco PLC, incorporated on November 27, 1947, is engaged in retailing and associated activities in the United Kingdom, China, the Czech Republic, Hungary, the Republic of Ireland, India, Malaysia, Poland, Slovakia, South Korea, Thailand and Turkey. The Company also provides retail banking and insurance services through its subsidiary, Tesco Bank. The Company’s operations in the United Kingdom is the within the Company, with over 3,000 stores. The Company’s in-store picking model is complemented by a small number of specialized dotcom-only stores, which allow the Company to respond to customer demand. The Company’s Click & Collect service is a part of its multichannel offering and enables customers to pick up their shopping when and where it suits them. It has over 1,500 Click & Collect collection points for general merchandise and over 150 Grocery Drive-thrus in the United Kingdom. more »

Share Price (Full)
-1.7  -0.7%
P/E (fwd)
Yield (fwd)
Mkt Cap (£m)

Carnival plc is a cruise company. The Company operates in two segments: North America and Europe, Australia & Asia (EAA). Its North America segment cruise brands include Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America Line, Princess Cruises (Princess) and Seabourn. Its EAA segment cruise brands include AIDA Cruises (AIDA), Costa Cruises (Costa), Cunard, Ibero Cruises (Ibero), P&O Cruises (Australia) and P&O Cruises (United Kingdom). In addition to its cruise brands, it has a Cruise Support segment that includes its cruise port and related facilities located in Cozumel, Mexico; Grand Turk, Turks and Caicos Islands; Long Beach, California, and Roatan, Honduras, which are operated for the benefit of its cruise brands. Cruise Support also includes other corporate services that are provided for the benefit of its cruise brands. In addition to its cruise operations, the Company owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours, the tour company in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. more »

Share Price (Full)
34.0  1.2%
P/E (fwd)
Yield (fwd)
Mkt Cap (£m)

  Is J Sainsbury fundamentally strong or weak? Find out More »

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