Can Aritzia Inc ride out the economic shocks of the Covid pandemic?
Shockwaves caused by the Covid pandemic have caused turmoil in many parts of the economy. Some shares are better able to absorb this kind of uncertainty than others - but could Aritzia Inc (TSE:ATZ) be one of them?
To understand why different shares respond to chaos in different ways, it pays to look at their strengths...
In bull markets, investors tend to gravitate to more speculative growth stocks as a means of achieving the best returns. But these stocks can collapse early in a crisis.
By contrast, high quality shares often get overlooked in bull markets. But it's these that are often better at keeping their momentum and recovering quickest from periods of volatility.
The answer is that there are some positive signs. Aritzia Inc appears to score well against some important financial and technical measures and has at least some exposure to two influential drivers of investment returns: high quality and strong momentum.
So why are these two factors important and where are the clues hidden?
When it comes to stock analysis, company quality tends to be revealed in high profitability and strong industry-leading margins. These kinds of firms are stable, growing and often have accelerating sales and earnings. They also have strong and improving financial histories with no obvious signs of accountancy or bankruptcy risk.
One of the quality metrics for Aritzia Inc is its 5-year Return on Capital Employed, which is 12.0%. Long-term, double-digit ROCEs can be a hallmark of companies with the power to grow very profitably.
Positive momentum trends show up in share prices and earnings growth. You can find the clues in stocks that are trading close to their 52 week high prices and outperforming the market. They’ll often be beating broker estimates and getting forecast upgrades and recommendation changes.
There are signs of this at Aritzia Inc, where the share price has seen a 72.1% return relative to the market over the past 12 months. Market volatility and economic uncertainty can be a major drag on momentum, but previously strong stocks can be quick to recover when confidence returns.
In summary, a combination of high quality and momentum can be clues in the search for shares with the potential to deliver solid investment profits over many years.
In good times, these shares can become expensive to buy. But in volatile markets, there may be chances to buy them at cheaper prices.
You should be. The screen that has helped unearth the stock idea detailed in this article is just one of the many tools available at Stockopedia that can help make you a better investor.
Powered by years of research and huge volumes of data analysis which are normally not available to private investors, we have developed the tools that will give you a better chance of beating the market.
What are you waiting for. Click here to sign up to your free trial today.
Stockopedia helps individual investors make confident, profitable choices in the stock market. Our StockRank and factor investing toolbox unlocks institutional-quality insights into thousands of global stocks. Voted “Best Investment Research Tools” and “Best Research Service” at the 2021 UK Investor Magazine awards.