Fti Consulting Inc (NYQ:FCN) cover image
117 Reads (3 mins read)

The Fti Consulting Inc share price at 115.22: three reasons it could go higher

22nd May by Ben Hobson

Often the real stock market winners are not shares that look obviously cheap compared to book value or earnings – instead they are the slightly more expensive, high-quality operators with improving outlooks. 

Fti Consulting Inc (NYQ:FCN) might be one of them. Here's why.

GET MORE DATA-DRIVEN INSIGHTS INTO NYQ:FCN »

Capital allocation - it's harder than it looks

Top analysts and investors such as Warren Buffett and Michael Mauboussin say capital allocation - the deployment of company time, money, ideas, and people - is the key to building moat-like quality and profitability characteristics.

Unfortunately, CEOs are not generally promoted based on their ability to allocate capital, even though this is what they then go on to spend their time doing. Buffett sums it up nicely in his 1987 letter to shareholders:

“Most bosses rise to the top because they have excelled in an area such as marketing, production, engineering, administration or, sometimes, institutional politics.

Once they become CEOs, they face new responsibilities. They now must make capital allocation decisions, a critical job that they may have never tackled and that is not easily mastered. To stretch the point, it’s as if the final step for a highly-talented musician was not to perform at Carnegie Hall but instead, to be named Chairman of the Federal Reserve.”

So if you’re only looking at sales and earnings growth, there is a vital question not being considered: how is this growth being funded?

Screening for upwardly mobile, high-quality companies

That’s where ratios like return on equity (ROE) come in. ROE measures how efficiently a company uses Shareholders’ Equity to generate profits. It is calculated by dividing net income by book value of equity.

It’s no coincidence that Buffett is a fan of the measure - companies with high ROEs tend to exhibit the high-quality, moat-like business traits that he is so fond of gaining exposure to.

To find high ROE stocks whose fantastic business models are being rewarded by the market, you can create a stock screen that selects only stocks with both positive one-year relative strength and upgraded current year broker forecasts. The former ensures these shares have been outperforming the market and the latter suggests outperformance can continue.

One of the stocks that currently qualifies for this simple screen is Fti Consulting Inc. The group has:

  • A trailing twelve month return on equity of 14.6%
  • An average current year EPS forecast upgrade of 6.81% from brokers, and
  • A one-year relative strength of 32.5%

Stocks exhibiting these traits are typically a solid mix of quality and momentum. Fti Consulting Inc has a Quality Rank of 94 and a Momentum Rank of 94.

Studies indicate that combining factors such as Value, Quality and Momentum is a more effective way of outperforming the market over longer time frames. That's why we have constructed our StockReports to give an instant impression of how well exposed Fti Consulting Inc (NYQ:FCN) is to these three factors. We go into greater detail on factor investing in this video

Stockopedia helps you to identify return-enhancing factors such as Quality, Value and Momentum by analysing thousands of data points every day. To find out more about you find investment opportunities and analyse your portfolios then take one of our two-week free trials and have a look around.

Share this article
As per our Terms of Use, Stockopedia is a financial news & data site, discussion forum and content aggregator. Our site should be used for educational & informational purposes only. We do not provide investment advice, recommendations or views as to whether an investment or strategy is suited to the investment needs of a specific individual. You should make your own decisions and seek independent professional advice before doing so. Remember: Shares can go down as well as up. Past performance is not a guide to future performance & investors may not get back the amount invested.
Share Price
$125.32
Change Today
3.81%
Fti Consulting Inc ( )

Stockopedia is here to help individual investors beat the markets by being the very best in stock analysis, research & community. Take a 30 day free trial of our extensive multi-award winning service and find out why more than ten thousand global investors can't live without it.

© Stockopedia 2020, Refinitiv, Share Data Services.
This site cannot substitute for professional investment advice or independent factual verification. To use it, you must accept our Terms of Use, Privacy and Disclaimer policies.