| 2011 Jan >20% And 2011 Outrageous Annual >200% Oil Stock Competitions.....

26th Dec '10 by flyingbull

31 comments 14860 reads

Christmas 2010 has come and gone. The kids and wife are happy with this year's preszzies. Now it's time to plan for my big preszzie(s) for Christmas 2011......

You may enter any of the options: (i), (ii), (iii), (iv).

Monthly Competition:

For the January 2011 “>20%” monthly oil stock competition, which oil stocks will have the greatest move for

(i) >20% gain?
(ii) >20% loss?

You may enter two stocks, one for (i) and one for (ii). More than one person may enter the same stock. The deadline for the January competition is midnight on Monday (holiday), 3 January 2011.

Annual Competition:

For the 2011 Outrageous “>200%” Annual Oil Stock Competition for period 1 Jan to 31 Dec 2011, which oil stocks will have the greatest move for

(iii) >200% gain?
(iv) >50% loss (i.e. down a lot)

You may enter two stocks, one for (iii) and one for (iv). More than one person may enter the same stock. Deadline for the annual competition is also midnight on Monday (holiday), 3 January 2011.

Good luck and happy hunting in 2011!!!!!!!!!!

p.s. Year 2010 results will be posted a.s.a.p. next weekend.

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dbfromgb

31st Dec '10

AEX for up in January and for the year for me please.

Same reasons as for the last few months.

No down

Thanks

dbfromgb

safetyfirst

EOG for 20% up - Cashflow going forward should be good when WF drilling completed.

PMG for 20% down - Enough said on this I think

SMDR for 200% up - A steady climb on low risk drill success and reaching and sustaining 23000 boepd

HAWK for 200% down - So glad I heeded warnings from Marben and I just get the impression hawk is going to struggle for future funding with existing asset base.

AbAngus

2nd Jan '11

As ever, thanks FB.

For the MONTHLY comp, please may pick:

UP: PPC (President Petroleum). The results of Kafoury 3 should be out soon. AIUI the shallow sands have a 66% CoS (and would add 9bcf net), while the deeper sands have a 33% CoS (and would add 51bcf net). Success at the deeper levels would lead to a couple more deep wells. On top of this, Northumberland 2 (in Aus) is looming.... expected to spud by Feb. AIUI this has a 30% CoS and is targetting 40mmbbls (but there is a prospective >400mmbbls on the acreage).

DOWN: I don't often do downs but PMG is so obvious that I can't resist joining the herd.

For the ANNUAL comp I was thinking of going for IRG - Independent Resources, which is a simple gamble on the RIvara gas storage project. If it comes off then IRG will soar - if not... well it certainly won't. However, I have gone for IRG in the Nicky Fraser comp, so please may I pick:

UP: PVR - Providence Resources. This company went through an unloved patch but has gradually assembled some production together with good looking explo acreage offshore Ireland. 2011 should be an interesting year.

DOWN: FRR - Frontier Resources. I cannot understand how it clings on to life, poor thing.

Thanks again,

flyingbull

3rd Jan '11

Reminder: Closing date for the 2011 January and 2011 Annual competitions closes on midnight, Monday, 3 January 2011.

My entries are as follows:

Jan 2011:

Up >20%: EO.
Varadero well results expected in January. Hoepfully positive.

Down >20%: XEL
More details on the well test results are preferred.

2011:

Up >200%: EO. (Good drilling results keep on coming in 2011...hopefully) or SER (low market cap, £2.83mm, but could multiply if their steamflood project is successful and SER's pipeline asset is reactivated). Will go for SER.

Down >50%: MATD
Well test results in 2011 will probably determine the long term direction of the share price.

fb

DearLeader

Hi FB.

Jan 2011
Up - AEX
Down - PMG

2011
Up - SQZ
Down - FRR

cheers
DL

stock sleuth

Annual:

UP - PTR
Constructive newsflow should build on the current uptrend, chart has recently broken to a new high.

DOWN - GKP
Most tipped stock on ADVFN for 2011.

drowsy

Hi fb

For monthly + 20% gain please enter Afren (afr)
For monthly -20% loss xcite (xel)

For annual +200% gain please enter Aminex (aex) (wishful thinking)

no down

thanks!

wistman

Hello FB

For the year:

UP:
Let's say Ascent (AST) on unexpected success in Slovenia (or anywhere else, for that matter).
(Iwas also tempted by MOG -any farm in deal etc on their actually quite interesting assets.)
DOWN.
Parkmead (PMG). Mind you, I would hesitate to short them!

For January

UP.

Europa Oil & Gas (EOG)-people getting excited about their various activities, perhaps as a result of newspaper or mag. tips.

DOWN

Parkmead PMG, on all the BB people saying it will go down!

alano20

Hi fb,

For monthly + 20%: CEO Coastal Energy - it has been rising nicely recently
For monthly -20%: PMG

For annual +200%: SLG on TSX - it has so much planned
For annual - 50%: DES

Thanks,

Alan

fuiseog

For January:-

+ 20% Global Energy Development (GED.L)

News on the workover and replacement of corroded tubing on the Boral 1 well is overdue. Completion of this work should result in recovery of lost production and improve cash flows. Additionally, the start of drilling of the Tilodiran 4 & 5 development wells would increase interest, although the timescale for this has not been set for the coming month and may well be later. With a free float <25% it won't take a lot to get the SP moving.

- 20% Parkmead (PMG.L)

Because hot air has to cool sometime, and I hope Logs short succeeds.

For the year:-

+ 200% Aminex (AEX.L)

There is plenty of news to look forward to from both the USA and East Africa. The Company has been successful in managing the funding risks and keeping its exposure to opportunity open. One of these years its luck will turn. If it can succeed in achieving cash flow from the USA it will have the lifeline to developthe African interests. Not for widows and orphans IMHO.

- 200 Frontera (FRR.L)

Miracles could happen but, having had a very small position here in the past that encouraged some research, and a hasty withdrawal to limit the damage, I can't see a reason for it to survive the year.

Happy New Year FB,

Fuiseog

davjo

Greetings fb :-)

Jan
Up Encore Oil (LON:EO.)
Down The Parkmead Group (LON:PMG)

2011
Up Dominion Petroleum (LON:DPL)
Down Petro Matad (LON:MATD)

Good luck to everyone in 2011....I think we're going to need it!

StrollingMolby

For 2011, I see no reason why not to go with my 2010 picks again:

Up: Dominion Petroleum (LON:DPL)

Down: Frontera Resources Corp (LON:FRR)

Many thanks,

SM

doverbeach

Nautical (NPE) please for the Jan riser. Hoping the Varadero well will come in and feeling that NPE is still comparatively underpriced compared to Encore. And thinking the Vast result may not be out in Jan.

Vast for the annual comp riser please. S*** or bust.

4th Jan '11

Let the fun games begin………...

Here is the full list for the 2011 January and the 2011 Annual oil stock competitions:

Jan >20% Up:

AEX	dbfromgb	stockopedia
AEX	dearleader	stockopedia
AFR	drowsy	stockopedia
AST	eastheath	fool
AST	fangorn	stockopedia
AST	gary1966	fool
AST	impvesta	fool
AST	markc2010	fool
AST	wistman	stockopedia
AUL	richarggr	fool
BLVN	buffin100	fool
CEO	alano20	stockopedia
COP	redtedsroadshow	stockopedia
deo	chriswalden	fool
EDR	mansiarad	stockopedia
EDR	tgg	fool
EME	christian12	fool
EME	hywel	fool
ENEG	simonbayliss	fool
ENQ	thelagerkhan	fool
EO.	corporalcromarty	fool
EO.	davjo	stockopedia
EO.	dragonfan	fool
EO.	flyingbull	fool
EO.	lowersharpnose	fool
EO.	mcdougall	fool
EO.	repobear	stockopedia
EO.	ryanandbethan	fool
EOG	safetyfirst	stockopedia
EOG	wshak	fool
FPM	cranbrook2	fool
GED	fatprophet	fool
GED	fuiseog	stockopedia
GKP	marvo38	fool
NOP	johnnylite	fool
NOP	searoad	fool
NPE	doverbeach	stockopedia
PANR	ghh	fool
PCI	djpreston	stockopedia
PCI	petroleum1	fool
PELE	rbcrbc	fool
PPC	abangus	stockopedia
PPC	midherts	fool
RKH	maxcashflow	fool
RRL	reo100	stockopedia
SER	macintoshman	fool
SEY	ewm55	fool
SIA	ee	stockopedia
SIA	nigelpm	fool
SOU	casanare	fool
SQZ	rww100	fool
TLW	superhard	fool
VST(Canada)	jonnyt	stockopedia
WBN	terrymac123	fool
XEL	biscuiteer	fool
XEL	devymaster	fool
XEL	jimarilo	fool
XEL	JPGH	stockopedia
XEL	proselenes	fool


Jan >20% down:

DES	biscuiteer	fool
DES	casanare	fool
DES	devymaster	fool
DES	hywel	fool
DES	jonnyt	stockopedia
DES	markc2010	fool
DES	proselenes	fool
DES	rbcrbc	fool
DES	richarggr	fool
EO.	johnnylite	fool
EO.	repobear	stockopedia
FOGL	superhard	fool
FRR	marvo38	fool
INFA	ghh	fool
MATD	gary1966	fool
PMG	abangus	stockopedia
PMG	alano20	stockopedia
PMG	christian12	fool
pmg	chriswalden	fool
PMG	corporalcromarty	fool
PMG	davjo	stockopedia
PMG	dearleader	stockopedia
PMG	djpreston	stockopedia
PMG	ee	stockopedia
PMG	fangorn	stockopedia
PMG	fatprophet	fool
PMG	fuiseog	stockopedia
PMG	jimarilo	fool
PMG	lowersharpnose	fool
PMG	mansiarad	stockopedia
PMG	maxcashflow	fool
PMG	mcdougall	fool
PMG	nigelpm	fool
PMG	redtedsroadshow	stockopedia
PMG	ryanandbethan	fool
PMG	safetyfirst	stockopedia
PMG	searoad	fool
PMG	tgg	fool
PMG	thelagerkhan	fool
PMG	wistman	stockopedia
PMG	wshak	fool
PVR	ewm55	fool
WBN	simonbayliss	fool
XEL	drowsy	stockopedia
XEL	eastheath	fool
XEL	flyingbull	fool
XEL	JPGH	stockopedia
XEL	reo100	stockopedia

------------------------------

2011 >200% Up:

ADOP	devymaster	fool
AEX	dbfromgb	stockopedia
AEX	drowsy	stockopedia
AEX	ewm55	fool
AEX	fuiseog	stockopedia
AEX	nigelpm	fool
AEX	redtedsroadshow	stockopedia
AEX	reo100	stockopedia
AST	biscuiteer	fool
AST	impvesta	fool
AST	markc2010	fool
BPC	howdidthathappen	fool
BPC	marvo38	fool
CAZA	salty39	fool
CAZA	simonbayliss	fool
CEO	tgg	fool
COP	johnnylite	fool
COV	gary1966	fool
DEO	cranbrook2	fool
DPL	davjo	stockopedia
DPL	strollingmolby	stockopedia
EME	hywel	fool
ENQ	thelagerkhan	fool
EO.	dragonfan	fool
EOG	casanare	fool
EOG	ryanandbethan	fool
EOG	wistman	stockopedia
FOGL	rbcrbc	fool
GBP	richarggr	fool
GED	fatprophet	fool
GKP	JPGH	stockopedia
LGO	fangorn	stockopedia
MOG	ohisay	fool
MTA	corporalcromarty	fool
NGE (Australia)	superhard	fool
PANR	ghh	fool
PCI	eastheath	fool
PCI	moho50	fool
PCI	petroleum1	fool
PPC	midherts	fool
PTR	stocksleuth	stockopedia
PVR	abangus	stockopedia
RKH	proselenes	fool
SER	flyingbull	fool
SLE	djpreston	stockopedia
SLE	thevampire	fool
SLG (Canada)	alano20	stockopedia
SLG (Canada)	buffin100	fool
SLG (Canada)	maxcashflow	fool
SLG (Canada)	mcdougall	fool
SLG (Canada)	wshak	fool
SMDR	safetyfirst	stockopedia
SOLO	searoad	fool
SQZ	dearleader	stockopedia
VST (Canada)	lowersharpnose	fool
VST(Canada)	doverbeach	stockopedia
VST(Canada)	jonnyt	stockopedia
VST(Canada)	repobear	stockopedia
WBN	christian12	fool
WBN	jimarilo	fool
WBN	terrymac123	fool
WX	chriswalden	fool
XTR	macintoshman	fool
No oil stock >200% up	ee	stockopedia
VST (Canada)	ironpyrites	fool


2011 >50% Down:

BPC	ghh	fool
DES	alano20	stockopedia
DES	biscuiteer	fool
DES	casanare	fool
DES	corporalcromarty	fool
DES	devymaster	fool
DES	ewm55	fool
DES	markc2010	fool
DES	maxcashflow	fool
DES	moho50	fool
DES	searoad	fool
DES	simonbayliss	fool
FOGL	howdidthathappen	fool
FRR	abangus	stockopedia
FRR	dearleader	stockopedia
FRR	fuiseog	stockopedia
frr	jonnyt	stockopedia
FRR	nigelpm	fool
FRR	rbcrbc	fool
FRR	salty39	fool
FRR	strollingmolby	stockopedia
FRR	terrymac123	fool
GAS	djpreston	stockopedia
GKP	stocksleuth	stockopedia
HAWK	jimarilo	fool
HAWK	mcdougall	fool
HAWK	safetyfirst	stockopedia
MATD	davjo	stockopedia
MATD	flyingbull	fool
NTOG	lowersharpnose	fool
NTOG	tgg	fool
PMG	christian12	fool
PMG	chriswalden	fool
PMG	eastheath	fool
PMG	ee	stockopedia
PMG	fangorn	stockopedia
PMG	fatprophet	fool
PMG	hywel	fool
PMG	johnnylite	fool
PMG	JPGH	stockopedia
PMG	marvo38	fool
PMG	proselenes	fool
PMG	redtedsroadshow	stockopedia
PMG	reo100	stockopedia
PMG	repobear	stockopedia
PMG	richarggr	fool
PMG	wistman	stockopedia
PMG	wshak	fool
RKH	thelagerkhan	fool

1st Feb '11

For the "January 2011" >20% Up results:
No doubt about the winners, safetyfirst and wshak, with EOG galloping away
with a massive 56.4% gain! Great results and big congratulations!!!

For the "January 2011" >20% Down results:
The massive "reverse" following for PMG and DES did not quite match the
the massive drop by WBN with a sore landing of 45.5% down. Congratulations
to simonbayliss for outpacing the masses!!!

The two set of results for the "January 2011" competitions are shown below:

"January 2011" >20% Up Results:

2.4% Average

"NB: I have shortened "stockopedia" to "stocko" in order to reduce the time
spent on formatting the columns."

Stocko	56.4%	EOG	safetyfirst
Fool	56.4%	EOG	wshak
Fool	27.3%	EME	christian12
Fool	27.3%	EME	hywel
Fool	26.6%	NOP	johnnylite
Fool	26.6%	NOP	searoad
Fool	25.7%	SOU	casanare
Stocko	25.2%	NPE	doverbeach
Fool	24.7%	PANR	ghh
Stocko	20.0%	VST(Canada)	jonnyt
Fool	14.5%	SER	macintoshman
Stocko	13.6%	CEO	alano20
Fool	12.5%	DEO	chriswalden
Fool	9.4%	FPM	cranbrook2
Stocko	8.1%	RRL	reo100
Fool	5.3%	TLW	superhard
Stocko	5.3%	EDR	mansiarad
Fool	5.3%	EDR	tgg
Fool	5.1%	AUL	richardgr
Fool	3.2%	ENQ	thelagerkhan
Fool	0.5%	EO.	corporalcromarty
Stocko	0.5%	EO.	davjo
Fool	0.5%	EO.	dragonfan
Fool	0.5%	EO.	flyingbull
Fool	0.5%	EO.	lowersharpnose
Fool	0.5%	EO.	mcdougall
Stocko	0.5%	EO.	repobear
Fool	0.5%	EO.	ryanandbethan
Stocko	0.3%	AEX	dbfromgb
stocko	0.3%	AEX	dearleader
Stocko	-1.5%	SIA	ee
Fool	-1.5%	SIA	nigelpm
Fool	-1.6%	RKH	maxcashflow
Stocko	-1.6%	AFR	drowsy
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	biscuiteer
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	devymaster
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	jimarilo
Stocko	-3.3%	XEL	jpgh
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	proselenes
Stocko	-3.5%	COP	redtedsroadshow
Stocko	-3.8%	PCI	djpreston
Fool	-3.8%	PCI	petroleum1
Fool	-4.7%	GKP	marvo38
Fool	-5.1%	AST	eastheath
Stocko	-5.1%	AST	fangorn
Fool	-5.1%	AST	gary1966
Fool	-5.1%	AST	impvesta
Fool	-5.1%	AST	markc2010
Stocko	-5.1%	AST	wistman
Fool	-5.2%	SQZ	rww100
Fool	-5.7%	BLVN	buffin100
Fool	-6.5%	PELE	rbcrbc
Fool	-18.6%	ENEG	simonbayliss
Fool	-19.0%	SEY	ewn55
Fool	-23.0%	GED	fatprophet
Stocko	-23.0%	GED	fuiseog
Stocko	-24.5%	PPC	abangus
Fool	-24.5%	PPC	midherts
Fool	-45.5%	WBN	terrymac123

"January 2011" >20% Down Results:

-17.1%	Average

Fool	-45.5%	WBN	simonbayliss
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	abangus
stocko	-21.3%	PMG	alano20
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	christian12
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	chriswalden
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	corporalcromarty
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	davjo
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	dearleader
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	djpreston
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	ee
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	fangorn
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	fatprophet
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	fuiseog
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	jimarilo
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	lowersharpnose
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	mansiarad
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	maxcashflow
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	mcdougall
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	nigelpm
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	redtedsroadshow
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	ryanandbethan
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	safetyfirst
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	searoad
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	tgg
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	thelagerkhan
Stocko	-21.3%	PMG	wistman
Fool	-21.3%	PMG	wshak
Fool	-19.4%	DES	biscuiteer
Fool	-19.4%	DES	casanare
Fool	-19.4%	DES	devymaster
Fool	-19.4%	DES	hywel
Stocko	-19.4%	DES	jonnyt
Fool	-19.4%	DES	markc2010
Fool	-19.4%	DES	proselenes
Fool	-19.4%	DES	rbcrbc
Fool	-19.4%	DES	richardgr
Fool	-11.1%	FOGL	superhard
Fool	-10.4%	FRR	marvo38
Fool	-9.7%	INFA	ghh
Stocko	-3.3%	XEL	drowsy
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	eastheath
Fool	-3.3%	XEL	flyingbull
Stocko	-3.3%	XEL	jpgh
Stocko	-3.3%	XEL	reo100
Fool	-2.4%	MATD	gary1966
Fool	0.5%	EO.	johnnylite
Stocko	0.5%	EO.	repobear
Fool	4.2%	PVR	ewm55

31st Dec '11

Firstly, wishing you all a very Happy and “Fruitful” 2012!!!!!!!

Both 2009 and 2010 were great years for oil stocks, as can be seen from the Averages below, obtained from the Annual Oil Stock Competitions for those years. Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for 2011. Hopefully back to normal service in 2012 for the >200% Up competition............

	2009	2010	2011

>200% Up	+115.6%	+43.4%	-41.4%
>50% Down (a Lot)	+102.9%	-26.4%	-54.2%

No doubt about the winner for the 2011 >200% Up Competition!!!!! CEO, rode by TheGreatGeraldo has outrun
everyone, including a flying bull, and recorded a massive 148% gain. It just showed some good discoveries and flow tests can do wonders to the share price. Congratulations to Tgg!!!!!

But then....Emptyend did put a spanner in the works and nominated “no E&P stock will see a 200% rise over the full year”......which turned out to be the case for 2011!! So arguably, ee is the winner!!!

If it is alright, I’ll treat them both as Winners!!!! Congratulations!!!!!!

There was quite a battle for the 2011 >50% Down a Lot Competition. Eventually MATD with a -79.5% Down just edged out FRR and HAWK!!!! Sadly for MATD, it had to learn the hard way...good flow tests are key for the Reserves and the share price. Congratulations to davjo and flyingbull for winning this competition!!!

Any error in the results, please email me off-board and I’ll revise where necessary.

The two set of Annual results are as follows:

“Annual >200% Up” Competition results:

-41.4% Average

No oil stock >200% up emptyend stockopedia
148.0% CEO thegreatgeraldo fool
77.9% SER flyingbull fool
45.7% WSX chriswalden fool
38.6% SOLO searoad fool
25.1% GBP richarggr fool
21.0% COV gary1966 fool
14.3% ADOP devymaster fool
12.8% GKP JPGH stockopedia
11.6% DPL davjo stockopedia
11.6% DPL strollingmolby stockopedia
-2.8% GED fatprophet fool
-14.8% PVR abangus stockopedia
-23.7% EME hywel fool
-25.1% SMDR safetyfirst stockopedia
-26.5% RKH proselenes fool
-33.7% ENQ thelagerkhan fool
-36.2% PCI eastheath fool
-36.2% PCI moho50 fool
-36.2% PCI petroleum1 fool
-40.3% EOG casanare fool
-40.3% EOG ryanandbethan fool
-40.3% EOG wistman stockopedia
-42.5% COP johnnylite fool
-43.2% XTR macintoshman fool
-44.6% EO. dragonfan fool
-44.6% EO. skyblue fool
-49.5% FOGL rbcrbc fool
-52.4% SLG(Canada) alano20 stockopedia
-52.4% SLG(Canada) buffin100 fool
-52.4% SLG(Canada) maxcashflow fool
-52.4% SLG(Canada) mcdougall fool
-52.4% SLG(Canada) whak fool
-52.6% AEX dbfromgb stockopedia
-52.6% AEX drowsy stockopedia
-52.6% AEX ewm55 fool
-52.6% AEX fuiseog stockopedia
-52.6% AEX nigelpm fool
-52.6% AEX redtedsroadshow stockopedia
-52.6% AEX reo100 stockopedia
-54.4% DEO cranbrook2 fool
-55.4% PANR ghh fool
-57.6% SQZ dearleader stockopedia
-58.7% BPC howdidthathappen fool
-58.7% BPC marvo38 fool
-60.0% PPC midherts fool
-60.9% MOG ohisay fool
-65.6% SLE djpreston stockopedia
-65.6% SLE thevampire fool
-66.8% AST biscuiteer fool
-66.8% AST impvesta fool
-66.8% AST markc2010 fool
-69.3% NGE(Australia) superhard fool
-74.5% PTR stocksleuth stockopedia
-76.5% CAZA salty39 fool
-76.5% CAZA simonbayliss fool
-81.1% LGO fangorn stockopedia
-82.2% WBN christian12 fool
-82.2% WBN jimarilo fool
-82.2% WBN terrymac123 fool
-82.5% MTA corporalcromarty fool fool
-88.8% VST(Canada) lowersharpnose fool
-88.8% VST(Canada) doverbeach stockopedia
-88.8% VST(Canada) jonnyt stockopedia
-88.8% VST(Canada) repobear stockopedia
-88.8% VST(Canada) ironpyrites fool

“Annual >50% Down (a lot)” Competition results:

-54.2% Average

-79.5% MATD davjo stockopedia
-79.5% MATD flyingbull fool
-77.6% FRR abangus stockopedia
-77.6% FRR dearleader stockopedia
-77.6% FRR fuiseog stockopedia
-77.6% FRR jonnyt stockopedia
-77.6% FRR nigelpm fool
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emptyend

But then....Emptyend did put a spanner in the works and nominated “no E&P stock will see a 200% rise over the full year”......which turned out to be the case for 2011!! So arguably, ee is the winner!!!

If it is alright, I’ll treat them both as Winners!!!! Congratulations!!!!!!

Thank you :-) And congrats to tgg.

Even more scarily, I don't think I was too far off with my the macro comment in post 8:

I'll stick my neck out and suggest that no E&P stock (well, none that I can comment on anyway) will see a 200% rise over the full year (though some may well see 200% intra-year). That is quite unlikely, because there is no shortage of "Hail Mary" stocks as Darron calls them....but I have a strong feeling that the speculative end of the market has generally got a long way ahead of itself in the latter part of 2010. And I am also wary about the overall market, which seems to be blithely sailing on into uncharted waters without much sense for how the interest rate environment and the QE process will unwind (never mind geopolitical issues, the Euro, and random natural events - several of which are now seriously "overdue").

...though I failed to specifically foresee the tsunami and the Arab Spring. Fortunately I am feeling much more positive about 2012 (in contrast to most commentators)....though I'm wary about the "Waiting for Godot" risk of making specific stock forecasts.

Hi ee,

Glad you're feeling more positive for 2012!!!!!

The year end FTSE 100 index is still c.8.5% below the peak achieved in 2011. I think the longer this underperformance goes on, the more likely of a rerating upwards in FTSE 100. When that occurs, it should have a positive effect on the oil stocks. There might be bumps along the way over the course of 2012 but I feel quite a few of the oil stocks are due for a rerating, especially if they have some drilling successes along the way.

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Yup.

IMO people are too universally negative - though there may be more turmoil in the coming months first.

Is there a 2012 thread?

rgds & HNY

1st Jan '12

Just fininsed watching the London fireworks....on TV......Happy New Year to All.......more wine :-)

Here is the Jan 2012 and the 2012 oil stock compeition thread. Where is everybody????!!!!!!!

http://www.stockopedia.com/content/20-200-outrageous-oil-stocks-competitions-62972/

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2011 Jan >20% and 2011 Outrageous Annual >200% Oil Stock Competitions.....

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