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Archived articleThis is an archived article from 2015 - please note that any content within the article may be out of date.

Finsbury Food - Cheap growth in Baking!

A few reasons for liking Finsbury Food (LON:FIF) within the Small-Cap space now:

1. Strong Trading Statement from Monday, in spite of supposed pressures from supermarket clients:

The Board is pleased to report that since the positive AGM trading update in November 2014, strong trading performance throughout the Christmas period has continued. Total Company sales revenues grew to £107.6m, an increase of 24% on prior year. This represents organic growth of just over £4.9m, an increase of 5.6% versus prior year.
The Fletchers acquisition completed at the end of October contributed £16m of additional sales revenue. Consequently the UK Bakery division grew by 27.7% inclusive of Fletchers, with an especially strong seasonal performance from Cake. The Overseas division, the Company's 50% owned joint export business, also finished the first half strongly, resulting in flat sales versus the prior year and reversing the 3.1% decline reported for the first 4 months.

2. A Boring Business supposedly, which means that a lot of investors overlook it in favour of more "sexy" companies and sectors, like Mining and Technology.

3. Growth is Steady, Fuelled in Part Smart Disposals and Acquisitions. Sales growth is impressive, reflected in a steady improvement in EPS.

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4. Value is Huge, with a forward P/E under 8x, forward EV/EBITDA of 5.1x, dividend yield over 4% and Price/Sales of 0.46.

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5. And price momentum is decent following results, all summed up in a very high StockRank of 97:

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At a time when the mega-caps in the European Food space like Unilever and Nestlé are having a harder time for a number of micro- and macro reasons, and despite the clear pricing pressures that the major supermarkets are under, Finsbury Food (LON:FIF) still looks an under-appreciated value gem!

Edmund




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1 comment


Avatar for imranawan

Hi Edmund

Thanks for the write up, and I've been following Finsbury for a while. What did you make of the recent Fletchers acquisition which is earnings enhancing. Number of shares in issue has increased considerably as a consequence of the Fletchers acquisition and I don't think the Finsbury Food (LON:FIF) reflects the enlarged share capital.

What sort of PE ratio do you think they could command if they're able to grow revenues? Are there any similar companies one could compare against FIF.

Regards,
Imran.

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