Book value per share up only 3% in five years and Investor relations that don't answer questions means I am out!
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Book value per share up only 3% in five years and Investor relations that don't answer questions means I am out!
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I too was a holder of Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) , having sold out on 13th July. In my case it was not frustration at corporate governance.
If you look at the Renewable Energy Sector on https://www.theaic.co.uk/ you can sort on 5 year (share price) return. This indicates that the top candidates are Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) , Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) and Nextenergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) – in that order. All are on significant premiums to NAV from 19% to 15% to 10% – in that order.
If you look at Morningstar for their Trust ratings, you see that none of them have Morningstar Analyst Ratings or Morningstar Star Ratings.
If you look at Trustnet ( www.trustnet.com ) and dial up the sector, Nextenergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) has the highest risk score, followed by Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) with Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) the lowest risk choice – but none very risky by this measure. On their Crown Ratings Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) has 4 Crowns, with Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) and Nextenergy Solar Fund (LON:NESF) both on only 2 Crowns.
This really narrows the choice of best athlete down to one between Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) and Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) .
If you go to a charting package that allows you to plot ratios of stock prices then you can see the ratio between Bluefield Solar Income Fund (LON:BSIF) and Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) . This tells me that I should really have sold Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) back in October.
If you go to a weekly Relative Rotation Graph (RRG) of some of the Renewables ‘athletes’ then you see a starker choice:
This suggests that the only Renewables athlete on my list worthy of my investment has been the £INRG . Broader than the others – so not really comparing apples with apples. A daily RRG confirms that conclusion.
So, my own analysis says that I should have dumped Foresight Solar Fund (LON:FSFL) back in October. I had another chance in January. But then that's 'anchoring' for you!
Thanks for this. Very interesting and helpful.
BTW
CNN business November 10, 2020
These stocks and sectors could thrive under Biden
Infrastructure and solar set to shine.
First Solar (FSLR) is mentioned.
Foresight Solar now have a rights issue at 118p a share when the market value is 99.10. They seem to be a bit over optimistic?