Gathering thoughts on Robert Walters

Friday, Nov 03 2017 by
5

Looking at Robert Walters as a potential buy.

Green lights for me are:
- Sales growth of 24.6% in the last six months versus the same period last year, and 25.7% for the six months before that.
- Looks to be well diversified across different countries
- EPS growth and expected to grow further
- Well above its 52 week low and now trading at or close to its all time high.
- RSI above 70
- F-score of 8
- Good free cash flow % v post tax profits
- ROCE of around 27%
- PEG less than 1
- Low long term debt versus cash and profits
- Broker research shows two buy with one giving a target of 700.

Amber lights for me:
- Doesn't have three quarters in a row of growing sales, earnings and net profit margins but is that to do with seasonality?
- Debtors up at a higher rate than sales but cash is up and creditors down so I can probably live with that.
- Have I missed the boat on this already? Directors sell at around 590.
- Operating margin only around 2.92% but is that the nature of the industry?
- When I looked reported PE was 24.5 forward was 16.9 and average was 23.2 so again have I missed the boat?
-NTAV v Share price - relevant in this case?
- Div yield only 1.34% but div cover 2.99 - could find anything about div policy
- Earnings yield 4.36% according to 3rd party website
- Current ratio around 1.38

Red lights for me:
- Market to book price looks high but is it relevant in this case
- Recent director sells at 590?

Further research needed:
- Market prospects
- Competitive advantage?
- Main shareholders?

Thoughts welcome


Filed Under: Industrials,

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Robert Walters plc is a United Kingdom-based professional recruitment consultancy. The Company offers specialist professional recruitment and recruitment process outsourcing services. The Company's segments are Asia Pacific, UK, Europe and Other International. Other International consists of the United States, South Africa, the Middle East and Brazil. As part of its specialist professional recruitment services, it offers permanent, contract and interim recruitment across accounting and finance, banking and financial services, engineering, human resources, information technology, legal, sales and marketing, secretarial and support, and supply chain and procurement disciplines. Its Resource Solutions business offers recruitment process outsourcing (RPO) and managed services. The Company's subsidiaries include Robert Walters Pty Limited, Resource Solutions Corporation Pty Limited, Robert Walters Germany GMBH and Robert Walters Brazil Limitada, among others. more »

LSE Price
551p
Change
0.1%
Mkt Cap (£m)
414.5
P/E (fwd)
14.5
Yield (fwd)
2.0



  Is Robert Walters fundamentally strong or weak? Find out More »


10 Posts on this Thread show/hide all

Julian Rowe 15th Nov 1 of 10
1

I've been looking at this stock as well, today,.
I noted the following:
Blackrock increased its holding to 11.78% (up 0.78%) on 10th Oct 17.
Standard Life Aberdeen plc reducing its holding to 10.9 26 Oct 17 (down approx 1%).
Passes 4 screens (2 Growth, 2 Momentum). 

Robert Walters passes 9 / 9 of the Martin Zweig Growth Screen Strategy.(Winning on Wall St)

Robert Walters passes 5 / 5 of the James O'Shaugnessy Cornerstone Growth Strategy (What works on Wall St)

Stock price up 23% in 3m.
Robert Walters ROCE % = 30.6

Even so, RWA compares relatively favourably against others in field LON:RWA, LON:STHR, LON:HVN
I always hate the thin margins...Industry median is only 4.32 (RWA = 2.92) - 200th out of 344 monitored.

shrew75 you rightly mention P/B is weak ( Industry Median: 2.25 vs. RWA: 4.68 )

I feel more comfortable with P/S ( Industry Median: 0.92 vs. RWA: 0.44 ) which is respectable, and P/TB. 

I agree with you about valuation

Robert Walters as valued by the Tangible Book Value Valuation Technique

Current Price 638p
Mkt Cap: £ 483.2m
Implied Valuation* 121.45p (81.0% overvalued)


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Redrichmond 15th Nov 2 of 10
4

I was going to pile in ... But wait until after the 22th November in the budget...

One thing that may rock the world of the Recruitment companies is this... Contractors make up a lot of their income

http://www.itcontractor.com/theresa-may-abolish-contracting-profession-june/

Last year the law changed to public service (nhs, government) and contractors had to quit or work through umbrella companies.. A lot of consultants wont touch those contracts now...Either they went perm or jobs were filled by Outsourcing companies such at Tata etc..

I have been watching this share for ages but a black swan event like this law change may temporary impact profits..

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Redrichmond 15th Nov 3 of 10
2

"According to recent budget leaks in the Times and Financial Times newspapers, Theresa May intends to abolish contracting profession in April 2018 as we know it.

It will certainly be a lot smaller marketplaces than previously.

Chancellor Hammond will announce it in his November 2017 Budget according to the leaks.

It seems that the IR35 changes that the Government rolled out in he public sector in April 2017 are to be rolled out in the private sector as well according to budget leaks to the Times and Financial Times.

Unfair Tax Advantage for Contractors

The basic premise is, as Theresa May and Chancellor Hammond stated “It is unfair that a self employed person making £100,000 a year should pay less in tax than an employee earning £100,000 a year

Matthey Taylor’s final report landed on Theresa May’s desk in June.

The report said that companies are abusing the law by taking on supposedly self-employed workers for jobs that are normally done by permanent employees.

Companies are doing this to avoid paying sickness benefit, holiday pay, pension and maternity benefits"

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Shrew75 16th Nov 4 of 10

In reply to Redrichmond, post #3

Thanks for pointing that out Redrichmond, lets see what the Budget brings then. I wonder if anybody asked the board about it at the AGM back in May.

Looking at the share of revenues:
Asia Pacific 33%
UK 49%
Europe 16%
Other 2%

Profit before taxes though:
Asia Pacific 48%
UK 25%
Europe 27%
Other 0.6%

It'll be interesting to see how the share price reacts to any adverse news from this.

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Redrichmond 16th Nov 5 of 10
1

What you need from them is there revenue from the UK contract market

Not everyone works through a LTD ,working through umbrellas are ok but if you could find out the LTD portion for the Uk you would get an idea. Ping a mail to investor relations and also to Sthree. Good luck in getting numbers

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Shrew75 17th Nov 6 of 10

In reply to Redrichmond, post #5

I'll contact them at lunch time and let you know what they say.

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dfs12 17th Nov 7 of 10

Hi, I'm uninterested to see that you perceive rsi of over 70 as a positive. For me that would flag the share as approaching overbought, therefore tend to suggest a share fall is on the cards. Is there any methodology that I have missed that suggests that a high rsi is a positive?

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Redrichmond 23rd Nov 8 of 10
1

Lucky edcape in the budget regarding IR35 for contractors ..for now.. I would fill your boots and sell a month before next budget

This is what the government said.. Basically a law change is coming but no idea when ...Most/all recruitment conpanies will take a large hit when this is eventually implemented just like the public sector/nhs model

From the budget...

""Therefore the government will consult carefully in how to tackle non-compliance in the private sector"

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Shrew75 23rd Nov 9 of 10

In reply to Redrichmond, post #8

Never heard a word back from Investor Relations.

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Redrichmond 23rd Nov 10 of 10

No you wouldnt do because they know theres no way get round these new employment intermediaries law thats coming

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