Rather a good short summary of the potential dominoes going down I thought.
http://www.businessinsider.com/this-is-what-will-happen-if-greece-defaults-2011-6#
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Rather a good short summary of the potential dominoes going down I thought.
http://www.businessinsider.com/this-is-what-will-happen-if-greece-defaults-2011-6#
Already have an account?
Login here
Interesting article, thanks for posting. Have to say a Greece default looks fairly inevitable in my view, whatever it is actually called when it occurs. There seems to be little the Eu can do about it - solving a massive debt problem by taking on more debt is just plainly ludicrous and doomed to failure.
As to the striking Greeks, I've little sympathy considering such a large proportion of the population don't pay tax at all (and not because they don;t earn enough). Much of their current problems is of their own making. No wonder the populace of Germany are reluctant to bail them out yet again - why should they.
The house of cards looks as if it is about to collapse in spectacular style - taking Ireland,Portugal, Spain and most likely France and the UK with it. No doubt there will be a temporary respite for the US dollar with the flight to safety.But in similar fashion the US will also inevitably collapse, under the weight of its excessive debts(once the US dollar is replaced as the reserve currency.)
All rather depressing it has to be said. But the will be alot of opportunities. The big question is how best to position oneself.
what i want to know is where else are people going to put their money? our savings are going to be the ultimate bailout fund, so i want mine safe from inflation. maybe i'd rather loose it to an unlucky drill result than have it slowly wilt in a bank.
are readers here anticipating a broad market crash and another opportunity like march 2009? or a multiplicity of random bubbles? a wipeout of any firm with anything less than full self funding?
The big question is how best to position oneself.....
NYSE:EPV (ultra short "Europe" ETF) looks like quite a good bet. Alongside NYSE:VXX (VIX ETF). Even with the roll charges.
Doubtless there are similar ETFs available on the LSE, but this doesn't get you any US dollars which is what you need to be holding during the downwave. The pound will likely get utterly thrashed alongside the Euro.
After the deflationary crash has played out, if you are still in a position to be worrying about your investments rather than dead/homeless/starving, and when the Fed decides to print uncounted quadrillions of dollars to try to "reflate the economy", sell the ETFs and convert the resultant pile of soon to become worthless greenbacks into CAD. Buy energy and gold stocks with low or no debt and which pay decent and/or growing divis. The two debt-free gold royalty companies (TSX:FNV, TSX:RGL) are nearly the ideal vehicle, apart from paying dividends in USD, which sucks. The nearest energy equivalent is TSX:FRU, which has a small amount of debt but it could clear this quickly if it had to.
For those stuck on the LSE Antofagasta (ANTO) might be a good option as a post-crash play, since it has managable debt, a pet Chilean bank to help it out and is slowly going into the energy business (coal and UCG) alongside the existing copper & gold.