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Archived articleThis is an archived article from 2013 - please note that any content within the article may be out of date.

Introducing the StockRank Crossovers

The Stockopedia Ranking system has been an incredibly popular addition to the Stock Reports in recent weeks. Ever since we first released the metrics to the screener in April subscribers have been using the system to profit from standout winners like Sprue Aegis - up 42% since highlighted as a top scoring stock at the time. We have continued to improve the system over the course of the year, added them to the Reports last month and today release some exciting new composite ranks we've called the Crossovers. Read on to find out how to use them.

What are the StockRanks?

Academics have long been studying what works in the stock market. Eugene Fama recently won a Nobel Prize for his work into the subject, while others, like Cliff Asness and Josef Lakonishok, have claimed their own prizes by putting their acclaimed academic studies to work as money managers.

In summary this huge weight of literature has shown that stock market share price movements can, in general, be explained by several driving factors - Size (small beats big), Value (cheap beats expensive), Momentum (winners beat losers) and Quality (quality beats junk). It's our mission at Stockopedia to turn cutting edge research findings into easily used metrics and strategies and help our subscribers to greater stock market returns.

What we've done is collate the most predictive ratios and metrics that define these major forces into a set of rankings we call the StockRanks. Three core ranks - the Value Rank, Quality Rank and Momentum Rank - make up the system, ranking every stock from zero (worst) to 100 (best). How we construct the rankings can be learned about further in this explanatory article.

The Power of the Three Crossovers

While the Value, Quality and Momentum ranks are each extremely powerful in their own right, they are best used in tandem with each other. The whole ranking system has been a great labour of love this year for the Stockopedia team but the genius of the system lies in the crossovers which define 3 different types of standout stocks.

For Investors - the QV Rank (Quality + Value)

For Value investors the idea of momentum investing is anathaema. As bargain hunters extraordinaire, they are often turned off by a share price that has already doubled. Luckily, as Warren Buffett has effectively illustrated, you can get by just fine without it. Buffett made his great fortune by not only buying cheap (value) stocks, but good (quality) cheap stocks. This is blend of hunting down good quality value stocks has been a trait of reams of great Investors - including Neil Woodford, Josef Piotroski and Joel Greenblatt. The QV Rank stands on the shoulders of these giants taking the ideas published in Greenblatt's "Little Book that Beats the Market" to another level. Our backtests show that the QV rank is, in our horse race, the most effective of all three crossovers with top decile ranking stocks (90-100) significantly outperforming bottom decile (0-10). View the top QV Ranked stocks across all caps here.

For Quants - the VM Rank (Value and Momentum)

I have banged on about the benefits of strategies that blend Value and Momentum over the course of the last couple of years. Value and Momentum are the two strongest forces in almost ALL markets (including currencies & commodities) and together they make great bedfellows. The returns to Value tend to zig when the returns to Momentum zag - they are complementary forces. As a result a portfolio that combines both shows higher returns at lower risk. This value strategy is quality agnostic but incorporating the momentum score is another way to avoid so called 'value traps'. Versions of this strategy have been a core focus of Quants and Academics like those mentioned earlier above, as well as strategies promoted by blue-chip investment banks like Societe Generale. View the top VM Ranked stocks across all caps here.

For Traders - the QM Rank (Quality and Momentum)

Value investors will scoff, but there are many that have made their fortune in the stock market without a price discipline. This is often the domain of nimble footed Traders who have focused on only owning stock market leaders regularly at premium prices. The writings and practices of Bill O'Neill, Richard Driehaus and Mark Minervini are excellent accessible texts about this style. These are the kinds of strategies that can highlight knockout leading stocks like ASOS, Blinkx and others in uptrending markets. Our research has confirmed that focusing on Quality AND Momentum is the best way to increase odds of success in expensive stocks. Personally I use the QM Rank to highlight stocks that have a higher probability of becoming multi-year compounders. Amongst the mix you'll find quality market leaders at anything from cheap to nosebleed valuations. Treading carefully in this domain is of the essence. View the top QM Ranked stocks across all caps here.

Coming to a holistic view of the stock market

There are those investors who like to stick ruggedly to a single style in the market. Each of the above are highly effective strategies to win in the stock market over the long term and we provide links to screens with each of the pairings from the homepage. Being more style agnostic, my own rule of thumb is to make sure that I only consider for further research stocks that are showing top quintile (80+) ranks in at least 2 out of 3 of the Value, Quality and Momentum rankings.

Buying expensive stocks that are deterioriating or cheap shares that have no other confirmatory signals is a sure road to the poor house. Value investors can often get out of trades far too early, while those trading leading stocks often never know when to let go. The trick to successful investment is understanding the payoffs to the core forces in the stock market and aligning your portfolio with them over the long term - it pays to place your bets amongst stocks with higher odds. We hope that subscribers find these crossover rankings useful starting points for portfolio building and further research.

Disclaimer

This is not financial advice. Our content is intended to be used and must be used for information and education purposes only. Please read our disclaimer and terms and conditions to understand our obligations.

8 comments


Avatar for Edward Croft

We have today released the Crossover Ranks to the 'Browse Ranks' page.   Just FYI !

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Avatar for Edward Croft

We are getting asked how to access the StockRank Crossovers mentioned in this article a lot ! You can see links to screens on the homepage in the Ranks section about half way down - which I've added below:

 StockRank Screening Recipes

 

You can then fork these screens to see the rules we applied and edit them into your own screens. We'll also be adding the crossovers to the 'Browse Ranks' page - I hope today. This feature will be significantly improved in the next couple of months.

Sometimes our interface gets ahead of our data, and sometimes our metrics get ahead of our interface.  We are working v. hard to keep up with the pace of what we are doing on both sides - patience is required - we have great plans !

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Avatar for seasons

I have had good results with this approach this summer; I welcome the extensions of QM/VM/etc combined ranks. So everyone can pick what they like. As I personally don't like to see valuations fall below the purchase price _at all_ (good night sleeps, anyone?), I am working on combining this with chart reading techniques and make the decisions based on the outcome of the two. In other words, having good fundamentals alone may not be sufficient to triumph!

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Avatar for Edward Croft

We are going to be significantly extending our ranking library in coming months. We'll be including scores for loads of great data points...

  • Earnings Momentum
  • Price Momentum
  • Technical Rank
  • Insider Rank
  • Short Interest Rank
  • Short Squeeze Rank
  • Accumulation/Distribution
  • Historic Growth Rank
  • Forecast Growth Rank
  • EPS Acceleration Rank

 

etc etc... 

Some will be released as part of current subscription, some will be part of the ownership library add-on, others may be part of other add-ons.  We are planning a mammoth TA library add-on next year.

I'd love to do everything at the one price, but it's just not sustainable to do it that way.  Everyone has their own methodologies, I'd rather we had a lower base price, but customisable extensions to build the site up the way you want with the data and resources you need.  All a work in progress and feedback welcome.

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Avatar for Ramridge

Hi Ed-
You are very right and I can underline this from personal experience. Over the last 10 months I have been keeping a log in an excel spreadsheet of all investments i have made and sold, recording faithfully among other things the reasons why I bought and sold them. Last week I sorted the entries from losers to winners and guess what. 85% of my losers were investments I made on the fly or impulse because my gut instinct told me to buy. The gains on the other impulse-bought shares in the winning camp were tiny compared to the above losses.

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Avatar for Edward Croft

I think keeping a trade journal is one of the best things an investor can ever do. Just to read back and verify the reasons why you bought something, or the outcomes you expected can provide such clarity. What tends to happen is that when things go up, our expectations change - they probably shouldn't. A journal can help us understand what our original expectations were and hopefully stick to them. Adjusting them for new information is of course essential, but not bending the rules !

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Avatar for Edward Croft

Personally what I've learned is that it pays to step back from the game and not be too emotionally involved. There was a famous study of Harvard (or maybe Yale) grad students who played a stock market game. Half were given daily price and news updates, the other half monthly. Guess who outperformed?

The ear to the ground side of investing is highly over-rated in my opinion.  It's very easy to fall in love with your stocks, nudged into over-trading or spooked out of all your positions.  100% of investors are suffering from the affliction of being a human being and 99% are making systematically bad decisions as a result - our brains just weren't designed for good investment decision making.  

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Avatar for Ramridge

Hi Ed
Very impressed by this article and what the new crossovers have to offer. Will be studying these over the next few days.
I have always thought that to succeed in investing you have to have a solid understanding of the fundamental market forces and the street wise nous and instinct of successful city traders. You can learn the former but the latter... either you've got it or you ain't.
Regards, Ram

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