Is there a (possibly dangerous) consensus on cyclical sectors? Peter Lynch felt that low PE was a false positive for cyclicals (and that low PBV was a better value indicator). However, he also looked for a fall in interest rates to precede the end of the recession, so that is problematic too, given current rates.

There is a nice summary of the classification here:

Anyway I'm seeking to improve value screens by taking account of cyclical/defensive/financial categorization and would like to understand how people use sectors, if at all. It is possible that other screening criteria excludes sectors from consideration as nothing from that sector gets through ...

I think the sectors to exclude from PE/G based screens would then be:
Consumer defensives, Healthcare, Technology, Telecomms, Utility

For PTB screens the sectors to include would be:
Energy, Basic Materials, Industrials, Consumer Cyclicals

Financials I'm still thinking about. They might need their own screen.

Finish reading with a 14 day trial

or Unlock with your email

Already have an account?
Login here