This is a general discussion thread for developments in the utilities & infrastructure sectors: gas, water & power.
PWC Utilities Global Survey 2009: http://www.pwc.com/Extweb/pwcpublications.nsf/docid/0E94A614DED328DB852575AD0070EDEF
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This is a general discussion thread for developments in the utilities & infrastructure sectors: gas, water & power.
PWC Utilities Global Survey 2009: http://www.pwc.com/Extweb/pwcpublications.nsf/docid/0E94A614DED328DB852575AD0070EDEF
Apparent bad news this week for water companies after Ofwat, the industry regulator, dismissed Britain’s 21 water companies' plans to raise prices by as much as 17% and demanded that they stop unnecessary spending on their sewerage and pipe networks and concentrate on offering consumers better value for money.
It is however perhaps not as bad as yesterday's selloff suggested...
Regina Finn, Ofwat’s chief, certainly seemed keen to adopt a pro-consumer stance yesterday, which should win her some approving headlines in today’s papers. But the final settlement may prove less tight. The return that Ofwat proposed that the companies should be allowed to make on their capital until 2015 was 4.5 per cent on a post-tax basis, at the low end of expectations but hardly disastrous. Yesterday’s announcement was only Ofwat’s opening gambit in a piece of regulatory theatre that has four months to run.
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/columnists/article6725603.ece
Bit of chatter in IC last week about further M&A in the water sector after the EDF electricity deal .
http://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/MarketsAndSectors/Sectors/article/20100804/de67dce6-9f20-11df-ac15-00144f2af8e8/Water-awash-with-merger-chatter.jsp?utm_campaign=IC%2BDaily%2B-%2BFree&utm_source=emailCampaign&utm_medium=email
John Musk, an analyst at Nomura says: "There's certainly read-across in terms of the price that was paid for EDF. If someone's willing to pay a 20 per cent premium for electricity assets, then you could argue that they will pay that for the water companies".
"I would not be surprised if we lost a listed water utility this year, because I imagine there are a number of interested parties examining all of them," he adds
The UK water sector currently looks attractive to infrastructure funds for a number of reasons. Firstly, because Ofwat has set the current regulatory regime for the next five years until March 2015, the sector has predictable cashflows and, therefore, stable returns. What's more, the sector has very low risk characteristics and inflation-linked pricing.
Brewin Dolphin analyst Elaine Coverley believes the share prices of United Utilities and Severn Trent could see the largest upside from a takeover similar to EDF's UK assets, as the two water companies trade at the lowest premiums to their regulated asset bases.