Small Cap Value Report (Fri 5 Oct 2018) - MOTR, CALL, PLA, QUIZ

Friday, Oct 05 2018 by
44

Good afternoon,

Drat, I forgot to put up the placeholder last night, my apologies. I blame Emily Thornberry, who worked me up into a lather, with her bullying of Isabel Oakshott on Question Time. She's a nasty piece of work if you ask me.

Anyway, it looks as if there's little for me to cover today. I'll be updating this article throughout the afternoon.



Motorpoint (LON:MOTR)

Share price: 211p (up 3.9% today, at 12:44)
No. shares: 97.6m
Market cap: £205.9m

Half year trading update

Motorpoint Group PLC, the UK's largest independent vehicle retailer, is pleased to announce the following trading update ahead of its Interim Results for the half year ended 30 September 2018.


  • H1 revenues expected to be up c.9%
  • Operating margin similar to last year
  • Pleased with quality & mix of current vehicles in stock 
  • 12th site, in Sheffield, is performing well
  • Pipeline of new sites under review


Outlook - sounds alright;

The Board continues to closely monitor customer confidence in light of the ongoing economic and political uncertainty. However, the Board is encouraged with the recent trading performance and remains confident that Motorpoint's independent and flexible model leaves it well placed to increase market share.


My opinion - it's striking how some companies are blaming Brexit uncertainty, the weather, football, etc, for poor performances. Whilst other companies are just getting on with things, and doing well. Motorpoint seems to be in the latter category.

The valuation looks attractive to me - see below - for a company with a proven formula, which is opening new sites. Could be worth a closer look, and adding to my watchlist for things to buy on any panic sell-off. The return on capital & equity look very good. It doesn't seem to need much capex. Just a piece of land with a few large sheds on it.

Flogging good quality secondhand cars to the public, at bargain prices, won't ever go out of fashion. So this is a good business.


5bb7506d479d4MOTR.PNG




Cloudcall (LON:CALL)

Share price: 103.5p (up 9% today)
No. shares: 24.2m
Market cap: £25.0m

(at the time of writing, I hold a long position in this share)

Large trades

There's no announcement as yet,…

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As per our Terms of Use, Stockopedia is a financial news & data site, discussion forum and content aggregator. Our site should be used for educational & informational purposes only. We do not provide investment advice, recommendations or views as to whether an investment or strategy is suited to the investment needs of a specific individual. You should make your own decisions and seek independent professional advice before doing so. Remember: Shares can go down as well as up. Past performance is not a guide to future performance & investors may not get back the amount invested. ?>


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Motorpoint Group plc is an independent vehicle retailer in the United Kingdom. The Company's principal business is the sale of vehicles, of which are approximately two years old and which have covered over 15,000 miles. The Company sells vehicles from brands representing vehicle sales in the United Kingdom, with models from Ford, Vauxhall, Volkswagen, Nissan, Hyundai, Audi and BMW. The Company operates from over 10 retail sites across the United Kingdom. The Company has a national contact-center dealing with online enquiries. In addition to sales of vehicles, the Company operates Auction4Cars.com, a business to business online auction platform for vehicles. The Company also offers ancillary products to customers, including customer finance packages, vehicle guarantees, insurance products and vehicle protection treatments. more »

LSE Price
202p
Change
1.0%
Mkt Cap (£m)
195.9
P/E (fwd)
10.1
Yield (fwd)
3.9

Cloudcall Group plc is a United Kingdom-based holding company. The Company and its subsidiaries are engaged in software and unified communications business. The Company provides a suite of cloud-based integrated software and telephony products and services under the name cloud. The Company is a full-service communication provider. The Company designs, develops and operates integrated communication services for customer relationship management (CRM) systems. The Company's CloudCall portal enables to manage organization’s call profiles, configures all settings and manages user and service accounts and access real time activity reports and call recordings. Its automatic call distribution (ACD) feature routes the callers directly to available team members in the organization. The Company’s subsidiaries include Cloudcall Ltd, Cloudcall BY. LLC and Cloudcall, Inc. more »

LSE Price
73.5p
Change
 
Mkt Cap (£m)
17.8
P/E (fwd)
n/a
Yield (fwd)
n/a

Plastics Capital plc is a holding company. The Company is principally engaged in the manufacture of plastic products focused on products for various markets exporting to over 80 countries across the world. Its segments include Industrial, which consists of hydraulic hose consumables, packaging consumables and plastic rotating parts, and Films, which includes high strength film packaging. Its operations are based on the six operating businesses: BNL (UK) Limited, which makes plastics rotating parts; Palagan Limited, which makes high strength film packaging; C&T Matrix Limited, which makes the packaging consumable of creasing matrix; Bell Plastics Limited, which makes hydraulic hose consumables; Beijing Higher Shengli Printing Science and Technology Co Ltd, which also makes creasing matrix, and Flexipol Packaging Limited, which makes high strength film packaging and bags. It has over five factories in the United Kingdom, approximately two in China and over one in Thailand more »

LSE Price
112p
Change
 
Mkt Cap (£m)
43.7
P/E (fwd)
9.2
Yield (fwd)
n/a



  Is LON:MOTR fundamentally strong or weak? Find out More »


12 Comments on this Article show/hide all

Beginner 5th Oct 1 of 12
2

Any views on the LTIP at Indigovision (LON:IND) ?

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Beginner 5th Oct 2 of 12

https://www.moodys.com/research/Moodys-assigns-Ba2-CFR-to-Playtech-PLC-stable-outlook--PR_389601

For those interested, Moody's report on Playtech (LON:PTEC). Seems mildly positive.

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doug2500 5th Oct 3 of 12
2

I'm intrigued by companies like Motorpoint (LON:MOTR) (and Computacenter (LON:CCC) is another one) which look like great quality companies with good ROCE etc. but have tiny margins which I normally take to be a sign of a poor company.

I can never quite reconcile the two things in my head and tend to shy away from them. I'm always too worried that with thin margins profitability can disappear too quickly.

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cholertonandrew 5th Oct 4 of 12
1

Hi Paul, interested if you have a view on Gfinity. Interesting RNS about them running an eSports competition for the Premier League. Problem is the cash burn is so high.

Thanks
Andrew

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sharw 5th Oct 5 of 12
2

I would also welcome your views on the Indigovision (LON:IND) scheme. My back of envelope calculation is that they would get the maximum (20% of capital) at eps $1, currently 77p. Taking the p/e of 14 of rival Synectics (LON:SNX) as a guide that would give a share price of 1078p which would delight those currently holding at 106.5p!

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Paul Scott 5th Oct 6 of 12
1

In reply to post #404914

Hi Andrew,

As it's a quiet news day, I've had a quick look at Gfinity (LON:GFIN)

The last interim results were absolutely dire! £1.8m revenues and a £7.7m loss before tax, in just 6 months!

So it's likely to need regular fundraisings.

Personally, I wouldn't go near anything trading this badly, burning through cash so fast, and in a sector that I don't really understand. So definitely not for me!

I think Nigel Wray is involved in this, and he tends to back management that he rates highly.

Regards, Paul.

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Paul Scott 5th Oct 7 of 12
3

Stop press! Profit warning from QUIZ (LON:QUIZ)
I'll add a section on this once I've finished lunch.

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paraic84 5th Oct 8 of 12
4

I follow QUIZ (LON:QUIZ) closely so here's my take on their mid-afternoon RNS. I sold out a few weeks ago over the concerns about Debenhams (LON:DEB) future as QUIZ (LON:QUIZ) is heavily exposed. See here for my take on that: https://www.stockopedia.com/co...

Today they say revenues for H1 18/19 are up 19% overall and 44% online. They warn that there is flat revenue from third party websites. As you can see from previous statements, their growth is slowing:


Total revenue growth

H1 17/18 

Xmas 17

H2 17/18

FY 18

H1 18/19 

35.2%

31.9%

24.8%

30%

19%

 

 

Online revenue growth

H1 17/18 

Xmas 17

H2 17/18

FY 18

H1 18/19 

204.6%

119%

127%

158%

44%

 

They helpfully provide some numbers on full-year expectations, although referencing EBITDA is a bit annoying. Expected full-year revenue was £152m (and 7.95p adjusted EPS) and they are now saying it will be £138m.


"The Board anticipates that, as a result of lower than expected sales through third-party online partners in the second quarter of the financial year, the performance of our UK stores and concessions during September and the provision against the outstanding House of Fraser debt, EBITDA for H1 2019 will be not less than £5.5m, being £1.5m lower than its previous expectations. In addition, the Board has taken the prudent assumption that should the trend in online third-party sales continue during the second half of the financial year, Group revenue for the full year to 31 March 2019 would be lower than current market expectations at approximately £138m (FY 2018: £116.4m) and the Group's EBITDA for FY 2019 would to be in the region of £11.5m."


Not a disaster. But presumably EPS will now be closer to say 7p? (if one ignores the House of Fraser provision). The trouble is I am still concerned by the Debenhams exposure so I probably would still want a slightly cheaper entry point than this.


Separately I am intrigued by this: "the Group experienced a lower sales performance across its stores and concessions during September reflecting less footfall." Could this be because September has been warmer than most so maybe people aren't needing to rush out and buy new clothes? That could affect other clothing retailers too obviously.

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Laughton 5th Oct 9 of 12
2

Bit naughty of QUIZ (LON:QUIZ) releasing that update midway through a Friday afternoon.

I don't hold any of these but I take comfort from their own website on-line sales progress as a read across to Boohoo (LON:BOO) and Sosandar (LON:SOS) where I do hold (a lot).

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cholertonandrew 5th Oct 10 of 12
2

In reply to post #404944

Re Gfinity,

Thanks Paul, that’s really helpful, I appreciate you taking a look. I guess it will be very difficult to build shareholder value near-term with those sort of losses.

The trades on Cloudcall (I hold) are intriguing- I hadn’t spotted what was going on. Be very interesting to see who the buyer or buyers are. I’m a bit surprised/worried though about likely several institutions throwing in the towel. I personally think the drivers for stronger growth going forwards are probably there and current levels of growth are decent enough.

Regards
Andrew

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Gromley 5th Oct 11 of 12
3

In reply to post #404914

Gfinity (LON:GFIN) is another of my large array of very small shorts, so the 17% share price rise yesterday was not especially welcome. But  the beauty of these positions being individually so small is that a single move like that barely moves the needle.

I'm fighting a loosing battle to remain strategically ignorant about the companies in my short folio, so I am having to settle for being strategically indifferent .

Yesterday's announcement seemed pretty impressive

entered into an agreement with the Premier League to become Tournament Operator of the inaugural ePremier League ("ePL") tournament.
Gfinity will develop and execute the Online Qualification for the Tournament via its proprietary tournament management platform. It will also develop and execute 20 competitions for the Club Knockout Rounds and host the final round, to be played at the Gfinity Arena, London, in March 2019 and will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and Premier League social media channels.

Good and impressive stuff, could it be a game changer for the company?

I really don't know, it seems like a pretty cool badge of honour, but unfortunately they left out the part of the RNS that would have told us whether they will actually make any money out of this.

I'm quite happy therefore to keep my short open and ride this out. (The share price has already given back 1/3rd of yesterday's gains).



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herbie47 5th Oct 12 of 12
3

Had a look at cars at Motorpoint (LON:MOTR) I thought they were quite expensive and little choice, I looked on Autotrader and found one at a dealer not far from me for far less money, low mileage and in the colour I wanted, they also gave me a good trade in price. I think there is quite a bit of competition. In a recession people don't change their cars so much, so it's not one for me.

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About Paul Scott

Paul Scott

I trained as an accountant with a Top 5 firm, but that was so boring that I spent too much time in the 1990s being a disco bunny, and busting moves on the dancefloor, and chilling out with mates back at either my house or theirs, and having a lot of fun!Then spent 8 years as FD for a ladieswear retail chain called "Pilot", leaving on great terms in 2002 - having been a key player in growing the business 10 fold. If the truth be told, I partied pretty hard at the weekends too, so bank reconciliations on Monday mornings were more luck than judgement!! But they were always correct.I got bored with that and decided to become a professional small caps investor in 2002. I made millions, but got too cocky, and lost the lot in 2008, due to excessive gearing. A miserable, wilderness period occurred from 2008-2012.Since then, the sun has begun to shine again! I am now utterly briliant again, and immerse myself in small caps, and am a walking encyclopedia on the subject. I love writing a daily report for Stockopedia.com on most weekday mornings, constantly researching daily results & trading updates for small caps. Cheese! more »

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