Registered:
29/07/14
Seen:
8:53am
Followers:
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Comments
157

Occupation: Analyst, Consultant, Private Investor

Interests: Economics, European Markets, Stocks, US Market

Fantasy Fund: Andrewdb's Fund 1

About Me:

Day job

started as an actuarial student because it started with 'a' turned programmer turned admin consultant turned systems consultant/project manager/ whatever clients are happy to pay for.

Always liked topology/numeric analysis. Did 2/3 msc in AI. Moved house.

Grow vines to make bad wine.

Lately been interested in SVMs/ NNets, but not seen the amazing results quoted in my attempts.


Investment Strategy
I trade... a few times per year
I tend to buy... according to my system
I hold for... years
I invest with... <£1m
Diversification is ... essential to reduce risk
Like others here, start with a stocko screen to some extent based on the core SRs. Then prune: SIPP I do not buy : 'jam tomorrow' stocks, loss making companies, companies in dying industries, companies whose products are easily substituted ISA I do not buy : companies in dying industries, companies whose products are easily substituted Internationalist in the long term: Well run countries will outperform - the us/sweden/(and yes) the uk/most of the EU Badly run countries will eventually fail - china/parts of s.america, africa/russia, italy Admit that the SRs are backward looking so they are not a 'magic bullet', so before doing anything, need to look wider. Struggling with timing exits. Made early mistakes selling at/near lows. Currently considering just not selling.


Andrewdb's Latest Blogs

Index data is available from many places (including Stocko) I am in the habit of recording the FT all share index, yield on the index and the cover on a weekly basis - have been doing this since 2008. This used to be available from the FT (https://markets.ft.com/data/dataarchive) but now it seems I have to become a paid subscriber to access the data. Hopefully the…

Just read the Article in the register about Redcentric (LON:RCN)I had a small holding - that is worth 60% less than it was last friday.What do I do now?Personally I think it is too late and so will sit tight and see what happens next.Wondered what others thought.

Had a small holding since '11. Not really paid attention to it as it seemed to be doing just fine by itself. Noticed sp has been fairly sideways since March '15.IC said 'Buy' on 15/06 as the property portfolio has grown and noted it trades on a premium to NAV.My calculation of NAV :-(Accs 31/12/14) Net debt 448m, Long term investments 1284m(RNS 1 April) "At…



Andrewdb's Latest Comments

Of course just my opinion, but, i think things are complicated. Some importing companies may have bought a load of stock up front, others wont. Some may have hedged currency, others not. The same applies to companies that export We will not know until the next results. My only useful opinion is that companies that import or export or have significant overseas earnings will be…

I know this is more Paul than Graham but Next (LON:NXT) released a trading statement that has been positively received so far this morning.

I work in the more consulty side of sw dev and thought that I first named the common modern development methodology of "S*** in a bag, throw it over a wall, run away, see who catches it". Clearly nothing new in the world.

On my phone it is much a much better experience.The discussion pages are better too.I used to download ranks and prices into a spreadsheet (I can see from other comments that this is on the list and others do similar) and then place them in a google spreadsheet I use to track everything.Later on I wrote a script that scraped the table from the page…

On overvaluation and monetary madness: I believe seasonality is a thing and -never go long in Feb, July, October, November. -never go short in April, May, Dec (disclaimer : based on personal experience only) Currently gathering cash and tightening stop-losses


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