Registered:
29/07/14
Seen:
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Comments
150

Occupation: Analyst, Consultant, Private Investor

Interests: Economics, European Markets, Stocks, US Market

Fantasy Fund: Andrewdb's Fund 1

About Me:

Day job

started as an actuarial student because it started with 'a' turned programmer turned admin consultant turned systems consultant/project manager/ whatever clients are happy to pay for.

Always liked topology/numeric analysis. Did 2/3 msc in AI. Moved house.

Grow vines to make bad wine.

Lately been interested in SVMs/ NNets, but not seen the amazing results quoted in my attempts.


Investment Strategy
I trade... a few times per year
I tend to buy... according to my system
I hold for... years
I invest with... <£1m
Diversification is ... essential to reduce risk
Like others here, start with a stocko screen to some extent based on the core SRs. Then prune: SIPP I do not buy : 'jam tomorrow' stocks, loss making companies, companies in dying industries, companies whose products are easily substituted ISA I do not buy : companies in dying industries, companies whose products are easily substituted Internationalist in the long term: Well run countries will outperform - the us/sweden/(and yes) the uk/most of the EU Badly run countries will eventually fail - china/parts of s.america, africa/russia, italy Admit that the SRs are backward looking so they are not a 'magic bullet', so before doing anything, need to look wider. Struggling with timing exits. Made early mistakes selling at/near lows. Currently considering just not selling.


Andrewdb's Latest Blogs

Index data is available from many places (including Stocko) I am in the habit of recording the FT all share index, yield on the index and the cover on a weekly basis - have been doing this since 2008. This used to be available from the FT (https://markets.ft.com/data/dataarchive) but now it seems I have to become a paid subscriber to access the data. Hopefully the…

Just read the Article in the register about Redcentric (LON:RCN)I had a small holding - that is worth 60% less than it was last friday.What do I do now?Personally I think it is too late and so will sit tight and see what happens next.Wondered what others thought.

Had a small holding since '11. Not really paid attention to it as it seemed to be doing just fine by itself. Noticed sp has been fairly sideways since March '15.IC said 'Buy' on 15/06 as the property portfolio has grown and noted it trades on a premium to NAV.My calculation of NAV :-(Accs 31/12/14) Net debt 448m, Long term investments 1284m(RNS 1 April) "At…



Andrewdb's Latest Comments

I have been waiting for HMLA to be 'reasonably priced' since mid 17. Looking at recent performance (excellent company and has been for decades) of the SP, all I can think is 'this is nuts, when is the crash'

The MMs know as a lot of retail investors put orders in over the weekend. The opening auction matches buyers (usually PIs) with sellers (some PIs but I suspect a lot of the stock at open comes from the MMs book). The MM can make a tidy profit at that point and as Gromley notes, often buy back over the next 1-2 months. I do…

I have tracked my own decisions since '11 and can see (like others) that my buying decisions are a bit 'above average' and selling decisions were 'woeful' -> more recently 'nearly average'There seems to be an assumption here:When you sell, it is with the intention of reinvesting. This is not true in this place (or if you are neil woodford :). Some people need the…

HL says they show live prices. Depends what you are wanting to do

On IPOs generally, istr that there is research out there that indicates that post ipo, the share price tends to underperform the market for the first 3 years on average. On uber itself, what jonesj said and would note - they dont seem to be doing that brilliantly in india / asia - european regulators are waking up and reducing their ability to exploit legal…


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