Occupation: Company Director, Entrepreneur, Private Investor

Interests: Economics, Interest Rates, Stocks

Fantasy Fund: Capital Preservation Fund

About Me:

Interested in empirically proven factors that increase the probability of choosing winning stocks.

Investment Strategy
I trade... constantly
I tend to buy... according to my system
I hold for... a few months
Diversification is ... essential to reduce risk
I like very liquid stocks with a small bid offer spread, preferably with a dividend and an improving momentum rank. Ideally with a decent balance sheet. Not hunting out multi-baggers, more looking to avoid capital loss whilst picking up the dividends. Basically very boring stuff.

Dfs12's Latest Blogs

A bit of fun and only a starter document - please add your own via comments.Progressive dividend policyWhat it really means: "we want to be able to do what we want with the levels of dividend instead of tying it to a proportion of earnings"Revenue is to be second half weightedWhat it really means: "look out for an imminent profit warning"Reviewing our capital structure 1"We…

I'm always on the lookout for turning points in the market, even though I know it's tricky, and most people get it wrong - therefore should not try (me included). However, I've been lucky enough to duck some of the biggest drops in the last 18 years by reducing shares held when it looks like there are storms ahead. So I can't help but consider…

I have held an account with Barclays Stockbrokers for nearly 20 years. And generally I've found the system and service pretty good. Barclays have decided to move everyone onto a new platform "Smart Investor". I'm no spring chicken and I've been involved in a lot of software projects over the years - but my oh my... what a mess. Stacks of people can't log in…

I'm always looking for hints to determine where we are in the cycle of share price swings. Are we in bargain basement territory with lots of beaten up shares (that we should be buying)? Or are we in the land of irrational exuberance with overpriced stocks (that we should be selling)? It's not usually a clear cut process and many people would say that you're…

Dfs12's Latest Comments

Interesting stuff but surely it is critical that this sort of analysis is based on the ratings at the start of the period being analysed rather than the end. Otherwise we are just stating that good and steady performance generates a good and steady rating within stockopedia.... and guess what if you look backwards their performance looks good and steady. I know there is lots…

Many thanks for the info and your travails. I have had a similar experience with the text editor. You've got the results - that's the main thing. up 2.5% doesn't seem too bad. I thought it might have been worse than that.

Any ideas of how the 2019 NAPS portfolio has performed in the first quarter?

I like the idea of selecting high yielding shares - but taking the highest yielding stocks from each sector doesn't look like a diversification strategy to reduce risk. Rather than reduce risk it may ensure you cream off all the duff stocks with high debt and low dividend cover - the exact ones that are most likely to cut their dividends. It may well be…

Many thanks for all your hard work posting the monthly update figures Velo. It is great to see such fine detail on the progress of the Naps. I don't blame you for ducking out next year. Like you I'd love to find a stock picking system that creates a positive return regardless of the market conditions. But I reckon that is a pretty tall order…

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