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Occupation: Consultant, Private Investor

Interests: Economics, Private Equity, Property, Stocks

Location: Wimbledon, SW London

About Me:

Fundamentalist investor - value & growth seeker.  My current large cap favourites are Unite Group (UTG), Burford BUR, Vodafone (VOD), Sage (SGE).  My approach is to focus in-depth on a relatively small number of value stocks with a long tail of smaller cap growth stocks. My Investment Criteria are: Growth Stocks: in a Growing market; with Excellent Management and Strategy (i.e GEMS). Value Stocks: looking for hidden value with good dividend yield. Activist in nature, I like to meet the directors and I support strongly ShareSoc’s goals of greater shareholder democracy/advocacy.


Investment Strategy
I trade... monthly
I tend to buy... according to my system
I hold for... years
I invest with... >£1m
Diversification is ... important, but not beyond 10 positions

Fundamentalist investor - value & growth seeker. My current larger cap favourites are Unite Group (UTG), Burford (BUR), GVC, Vodafone (VOD), Sage (SGE). My approach is to focus in-depth on a relatively small number of value stocks with a long tail of smaller cap growth stocks. Other current holdings Ideagen (IDEA), Imimobile (IMO), Jarvis Securities (JIM), Xlmedia (XLM) and most recently Zoo Digital (ZOO) and LoopUp (LOOP).

My Investment Criteria are: Growth Stocks: in a Growing market; with Excellent Management and Strategy (i.e GEMS). Value Stocks: looking for hidden value with good dividend yield. Activist in nature, I like to meet the directors and I support strongly ShareSoc’s goals of greater shareholder democracy/advocacy. I do not short.



Maddox's Latest Blogs

With the announcement by International Consolidated Airlines SA (LON:IAG) that The Information Commissioner's Office (ICO) intends to fine it £183,390,000 we have the first indication of the huge escalation in the value of fines to be levied under the UK Data Protection Act 2018. This fine is equivalent to 1.5 per cent of British Airways' worldwide turnover for the financial year ended 31 December 2017;…

An investment in Vodafone is currently very much a binary bet between whether you believe that they are going to have to cut the dividend or not. Guy Peddy of Macquarie Securities, forecasts that Vodafone (LON:VOD) will cut the dividend to €0.08 (or ¢8) and the share price will fall 19% to 125p. At this level Vodafone (LON:VOD) would still be yielding an attractive 5.65%.…

Great StockSlam event last night, great fun and nice to meet some first-timers pitching some very interesting ideas: a wonderful variety of choices, many with high 90+ StockRanks but credit to Neville pitching eServeGlobal on a SR of zero! My StockSlam choice is online gambling company GVC Holdings (LON:GVC) (Gaming VC as it was originally called). They have just reported excellent H1 results and Q3…

This was the Stockopedia Stockslam pick that I presented at Damian Cannon’s excellent event. I thought I'd put it on it's own thread for discussion/dissection. Allergy Therapeutics (LON:AGY) sits in my speculative portfolio that contains my picks in my search for the elusive multi-bagger. Huge Opportunity: The target market is the many millions of people that suffer from allergies – 30% of Europeans and 25%…

I thought I’d highlight this little gem in advance of its full year results to 31st December 2017 that are due any day now. Jarvis Securities (LON:JIM) provides stockbroking services on a white label basis to other stockbrokers and investment managers. Its last couple of results have been very strong and the share price ran up to over 600p but have now dropped back towards…



Maddox's Latest Comments

Thanks for taking the initiative Heather - great to meet you all and stimulating chat on stocks and our wide range of investment styles.  Looking forward to doing it again next month.Cheers Maddox

Yep, one wonders how they got their financial modelling so badly wrong the first time?  The only thing that has occurred since their initial detailed appraisal is a highly positive trading update and the Muddy Waters attack; which as it plagiarizes Canaccord's own critique, added no new insights.   The notion that they are cash constrained is somewhat bizarre - they reported having $400m in cash/cash…

Interesting that Canaccord's valuation on BUR is 1196p - which is a 73% premium to the sp as I write.  Portial Patel has based this on a far more conservative cost accounting basis using the Gordon Growth Model as she fully explains in the video.  

Yes, its due to Hasbro buying Entertainment One that may put its Peppa Pig distribution deal in jeopardy.

I'd like to pick holes in this concept of 'cost accounting' being preferable to 'fair value' accounting.  We are to believe that cost accounting  is a better valuation of Burford's assets, that is the money invested in in-flight court cases, being better than managements'  fair valuation.   However, where money, hard cash, is spent on a  legal case - it hasn't been attributed to some tangible…

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