Registered:
25/01/11
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Occupation: Private Investor

Interests: Economics, Stocks

Twitter: mech_bull

About Me:

I am a private investor with an interest in mechanical and rules based investing for UK stocks


Investment Strategy
I trade... monthly
I tend to buy... according to my system
I hold for... a year
I invest with... <£500k
Diversification is ... essential to reduce risk
I look for stocks that score well over a wide range of metrics. I hold until something better comes along.

Blog

An investment blog with a focus on mechanical and rules based investing.

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Mechanical Bull's Latest Blogs

*** Reposted after fixing major flaws in original analysis *** I have been using Stockpedia's high StockRanks as the basis of my investment strategy since they were first published in 2013. Since then I have more than doubled my capital. However, the last year has been very challenging. My total wealth is down over 6% since the start of the year and more than 8%…

I have been using StockRanks for almost five years with a fair amount of success. However, I seem to have hit a bit of a rough patch. My portfolio has barely recovered from market lows in March. Indeed, it has underperformed the FTSE 100 for 5 weeks in a row. In April the FTSE was up 6.8% but I was only up 1.8%. This bull…

I'm just watching Conviviality's share price fall off a cliff this morning following release of their Half Year Results:http://otp.investis.com/clients/uk/conviviality_plc/rns/regulatory-story.aspx?newsid=971298&cid=2022 As of midday it is about 18% down. It is an "in-line with expectations" and I'm struggling to see any reason for it. I am a holder and normally I would sell on this kind of drop, but surely this is overdone? At the moment I…

I was an earlier adopter of high StockRank based investing and I have done pretty well averaging over 25% pa over the past 4 years. Last July I decided to diversify and apply the same strategy in Australasian markets. However, the results so far are not encouraging. I am down about 6% versus the ASX200, which is up about 10% and the NSX50, which is…

Following Ed’s New Years update on his NAPs strategy, I will give an update on my own version of a high Stockranks based strategy. I have been applying this now for over 3.5 years, more or less from the time that the Stockranks were first launched. So quite possibly I have been using a rules based Stockranks strategy longer than anyone.The basic strategy is pretty…



Mechanical Bull's Latest Comments

One thing missing is the lack of institutional buying. According to MM this is usually needed to sustain a share price above the new high.

It is true that Minervini does not always buy at the 52 week high, but he does always buy into a long term upward trend and with the price moving upward through a 'pivot point'. The ideal set-up is where the price action is contracting over some months or weeks within a chart base and daiy volume is declining (especially on any pullbacks). The buy…

Thanks for sharing these results. However, I find it very difficult to believe that 53% of investors have achieved positive returns this calendar year. All the evidence points to 2018 as being quite a bit more difficult year than average:- The FTSE All Share is down around 8% - AIM is down 11%.- Stockopedia's top decile QVM stocks were down around 3-4% in mid October-…

Thanks for pointing this out. I have discovered a major flaw in how I have calculated % change from the StockRank figures. I will redo the the analysis and repost in due course.

A word of warning - in the current market conditions, UK Consumer Defensives as a group have not proved very resilient. They are 5.7% down over the month (about the same for the market as a whole) and 9% down for the year (a little bit worse than the overall market). Investors shouldn't be lured into thinking that this sector label necessarily provides protection against…

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