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Something happened in June Many of us running a rules-based portfolio have noticed a recent slump in performance since June which has also afflicted the NAPS portfolios which are well documented on this site. NAPS portfolios have performed well over the last few years, but this year something interesting has happened, as illustrated in the graph below. This graph shows the 2018 NAPS and SNAPS…

THE IDEA Suppose we want to build a screener using a set of rules to create a portfolio which meets some criteria. (For example: good performance over the next year.) These rules look like: metric > value or metric < value.  So they divide the stocks into two sets: the stocks we keep and the stocks we reject - hopefully in a way which meets…

A recent question in another thread about how Q V M evolve over time prompted  me to have another look. I have in the past played with 3D representations but it is probably easier to see using good old-fashioned plots.So purely for interest here are the time evolutions of four stocks I have data for, each of which has a different experience over the last…

Stockopedia provides a comprehensive screening capability with hundreds of different ratios that can be combined to select a set of stocks based on set of criteria. But which ratios to use and how do they all interact? When you create a custom screen on Stockopedia you have about 100 different ratios to choose from. But unless you are careful you can fill your screen up…

It is easy to see the merit in a Stock Rank based on high Quality and high ( i.e. cheap) Value. And yet, over the last year or so, it is the expensive but high quality stocks which have performed well: the so-called "high flyers". But even while acknowledging that this is true for now, we can realise that there must come a point where…



Nick Ray's Latest Comments

If you want to change the size of an image, left-click it to "select" and then drag one of the handles that appear at the corners. You might need to be in the "text editor" mode first (option in top right)

Although it is down a lot, relative to the rest of the market it is performing quite well.Even being -27% off the 52-week high is about the median fall at the moment.

Suddenly the CAKE situation looks as serious as the Conviviality situation and it is unfolding in a similar way but much quicker. CVR started with a £5.2M material error; then they owed HMRC £30M; then they said they needed a £125M capital injection. Then they called in the administrators. With CAKE, we started with a £20M "error"; then HMRC were trying to wind them up…

That said, AIM has had a stellar run since 2016 up 80% in 2 years so a healthy bit of profit taking is only to be expected.Just a small correction. Your plot is of the AIM100 index. AIM itself is only up about 30% over the same timeframe.Certainly AIM100 has been a very happy hunting ground for quite some time.

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