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Nick Ray's Latest Blogs

A recent question in another thread about how Q V M evolve over time prompted  me to have another look. I have in the past played with 3D representations but it is probably easier to see using good old-fashioned plots.So purely for interest here are the time evolutions of four stocks I have data for, each of which has a different experience over the last…

Stockopedia provides a comprehensive screening capability with hundreds of different ratios that can be combined to select a set of stocks based on set of criteria. But which ratios to use and how do they all interact? When you create a custom screen on Stockopedia you have about 100 different ratios to choose from. But unless you are careful you can fill your screen up…

It is easy to see the merit in a Stock Rank based on high Quality and high ( i.e. cheap) Value. And yet, over the last year or so, it is the expensive but high quality stocks which have performed well: the so-called "high flyers". But even while acknowledging that this is true for now, we can realise that there must come a point where…

These are some notes that arose from the key idea that we should cultivate a "portfolio" approach to investing, rather than trying to live or die on the success of each individual stock pick. For me the conclusions emerged from a understanding the underlying statistics. However the conclusions are also very similar to Stockopedia's "NAPS" approach. NAPS uses a QVM ranking whereas I use a…

The London Stock Exchange has gone "live" with some new support for MiFID II/TRADEcho which has managed to break things again today. "O" trades don't seem to be labelled; timestamps are wrong; and prices are sometimes out by a factor 100. According to Google about eight of my stocks are currently down by 99%. As before they had a dress rehearsal the weekend before -…



Nick Ray's Latest Comments

The QVM history for Halfords (LON:HFD) looks like this (QVM are Red,Green,Blue with Stock Rank the dotted Magenta line):As you can see it has consistently high Q and V and SR scores but the price stays within a channel. It pays a healthy dividend but there is little capital growth. It wouldn't surprise me if the chart in five year's time looks pretty similar to…

Curious thing is that if you turn off the two P/E-related rules you will also pick up stocks like Games Workshop (LON:GAW) Burford Capital (LON:BUR) Advanced Medical Solutions (LON:AMS) NMC Health (LON:NMC) and Rentokil Initial (LON:RTO) which are also excellent performers. The latter three also seem to have excellent stable long-term behaviour too. I am increasingly finding that the valuation-based ratios (the P/ ones) have…

Talk #6 (Paul McNamara) was extremely interesting. Maybe not from an investor perspective, but definitely from an engineering perspective.

Currently St. James's Place (LON:STJ) is a "sucker stock". Make of that what you will. It seems a rather harsh verdict to me.

It would be really handy to be able to get that pop-up directly from the stock report without having to add the stock to a dummy portfolio first! I think the main point I wanted to make was how useful those filled boxes actually are. I used to ignore them and just look at the numbers, but now I am a convert to the merits…

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