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I have read a lot of material on various websites on Frontier. I thought I would put down my thoughts in the following. Of course do your own research and the following is not investment advice. The issue that has particular bemused me is that a lot of commentary seems to be based on 'it has gone up so it must go down' rather than…

Let me start with a question - which of the following will perform best:1. A careful selected portfolio of 20 stocks?OR2. A portfolio of 20 stocks that are chosen at random but with strict money management rules?I am a value orientated investor but I would suggest that the performance of portfolio 2 might surprise many people. A lot of modern investment management is focussed on…

Following are the opening paras from an article in the FT today: Nearly three decades ago, Warren Buffett penned an annual letter to his adoring investors mocking an insidious new trend beginning to make its mark in the money management industry: the computer. “In my opinion, investment success will not be produced by arcane formulas, computer programs or signals flashed by the price behaviour of…

I have been trying to decide my own views on Just Eat. What is striking is the contrast between it's Value ranking, and its Quality and Momentum rankings:Interestingly, looking singularly at V, Q and M (or even QM) for historic returns brings home the contrast in potential returns.In May 2014 the company joined the FTSE 250 - so one of the questions in my mind…



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Looking back at this - was very prescient - especially the way that bear markets often creep up on one. 

May I point you all to the company presentations at https://corporate.superdry.com/investors/results-and-presentations/ , in particular yesterday's presentation at https://corporate.superdry.com/media/2545/fy19-interim-results.pdf To me some of the presentation appears to be straight out of MBA school eg 'brand development', 'fundamental product repositioning', 'transformation programme', 'cost review'. Looking at some of the product comments (eg 'Wincheater - legacy products kept in range for too long' on slide 18 yesterday) I…

The comment about Brexit and SuperDry is interesting because of the disconnect it implies. I believe that (to simplify) the young voted to remain whilst the old voted to leave. Hence if anything the founder's donation would enhance the brand value of SuperDry with its core market. I think a more fundamental question is whether 'professional management' enhances a business when it takes over from…

One of the issues with Superdry appears to be the weather (first sentence in the prose of the RNS today and last page of the presentation). The following suggests the weather is about to turn - https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1057730/BBC-Weather-forecast-UK-snow-Met-Office-snow-warning-BBC-Carol-Kirkwood I am wondering if that will impact Superdry sales? Secondly it is worth noting that the stock is now trading at a discount to its tangible book value…

I was at the office of a friend of mine (another fund manager) recently. A couple of things struck me: 1. A lot of 'fund of funds', 'family offices' and other institutional investors do due diligence on funds before they invest. 2. However based on my own experience (I manage a fund) and what I have observed I think a lot of people fail to…

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