Registered:
15/06/09
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Occupation: Blogger

Interests: Stocks

About Me:

I'm a UK based technologist (career) and psychologist (academic) with a long-term interest in financial markets, with a particular emphasis (and skill) in how to not make money out of them. When I'm not working or blogging I'm to be found childminding, walking the dog or hiding in the garden shed with a good book :)


Investment Strategy

Long-term, boring, stock based investing


Blog

A Sideways Look at Psychology and Finance

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Timarr's Latest Blogs

Confirm Ye Not Here's what ought to be a really boring idea - we need scientists in general and psychologists and economists in particular to stop hypothesising after results are known (HARKing, geddit?). Instead they need to state what they're looking for before they conduct their experiments because otherwise they cherrypick the results they find to confirm hypotheses they never previously had.The underlying problem is…

Back to the Future As you'll know the Psy-Fi Blog spends a lot of time pointing out to a (largely disinterested) audience of investors that there's a huge amount of psychological research out there that we can use to guide our investing behavior. In fact there are vast reams of the stuff, far too much for me to ever even summarize, let alone analyse. But…

One of the more thoughtful regulators around is Andrew Haldane of the Bank of England whose speech “ The Dog and the Frisbee[1]” from 2012 remains the touchstone for anyone wanting to appreciate the reasons that modern economics has made a mess out of understanding the real world.  To boil the whole thing down to a single statement: you can’t control a complex system with…

It’s an axiom of standard economics that you don’t get above average returns without taking above average risks. No risk, no reward.  It’s an appealing idea, an extension of the entrepreneur's creed: you don't become successful without taking chances.  It’s a meme that’s gone viral, an idea that permeates discussions about investment, drives hard headed analysis and leads us to celebrate the risk taking achievers…

“I made up my mind to be wise and play carefully, conservatively. Everybody knew that the way to do that was to take profits and buy back your stocks on reactions. And that is precisely what I did, or rather what I tried to do..... They say you never grow broke taking profits. No, you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four…



Timarr's Latest Comments

Hi AsagiI said "suitable", not "qualify" ... :-)But you're probably right anyway. Most of those 200 will qualify and will be suitable - the obvious exceptions are investment companies, which don't qualify, and some resources stocks (some of which are probably dual listed and don't qualify either).timarr

Hi Joe That's a very kind way of saying I should get out more ... :-) timarr

Hi JoeI did realise that the comment was tongue in cheek, but it does rather encapsulate a certain section of society's view on the relation between taxation and government spending - and indeed what we should be spending it on. So ...The Overseas Aid budget is fixed each year and is generally used as an extension of soft power - i.e. by spending money on…

For anyone browsing this thread in future it might be worth restating that putting an old person into a portfolio of AIM shares isn't a sensible approach. Seeking to protect the capital value of an estate by putting that capital value at risk in shares of any kind would be crazy, if only because the actual point at which IHT is triggered is completely out…

The 18-30 demographic was heavily Not voting, so you'd think they didn't give a monkeys either way The post-referendum analysis now suggests 64% of registered under 24's voted and 75% of those voted Remain. That's in contrast to the initial analysis that suggested only a third of young people voted. Obviously no one's allowed to know exactly who voted or how so this is all…

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