Registered:
15/06/09
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Comments
391
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Occupation: Blogger

Interests: Stocks

About Me:

I'm a UK based technologist (career) and psychologist (academic) with a long-term interest in financial markets, with a particular emphasis (and skill) in how to not make money out of them. When I'm not working or blogging I'm to be found childminding, walking the dog or hiding in the garden shed with a good book :)


Investment Strategy

Long-term, boring, stock based investing


Blog

A Sideways Look at Psychology and Finance

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Timarr's Latest Blogs

Confirm Ye Not Here's what ought to be a really boring idea - we need scientists in general and psychologists and economists in particular to stop hypothesising after results are known (HARKing, geddit?). Instead they need to state what they're looking for before they conduct their experiments because otherwise they cherrypick the results they find to confirm hypotheses they never previously had.The underlying problem is…

Back to the Future As you'll know the Psy-Fi Blog spends a lot of time pointing out to a (largely disinterested) audience of investors that there's a huge amount of psychological research out there that we can use to guide our investing behavior. In fact there are vast reams of the stuff, far too much for me to ever even summarize, let alone analyse. But…

One of the more thoughtful regulators around is Andrew Haldane of the Bank of England whose speech “ The Dog and the Frisbee[1]” from 2012 remains the touchstone for anyone wanting to appreciate the reasons that modern economics has made a mess out of understanding the real world.  To boil the whole thing down to a single statement: you can’t control a complex system with…

It’s an axiom of standard economics that you don’t get above average returns without taking above average risks. No risk, no reward.  It’s an appealing idea, an extension of the entrepreneur's creed: you don't become successful without taking chances.  It’s a meme that’s gone viral, an idea that permeates discussions about investment, drives hard headed analysis and leads us to celebrate the risk taking achievers…

“I made up my mind to be wise and play carefully, conservatively. Everybody knew that the way to do that was to take profits and buy back your stocks on reactions. And that is precisely what I did, or rather what I tried to do..... They say you never grow broke taking profits. No, you don't. But neither do you grow rich taking a four…



Timarr's Latest Comments

Not interesting really, unless you're a Hogg Robinson (LON:HRG) shareholder waiting for your cash: https://www.investegate.co.uk/...Pursuant to the terms of the Scheme and Listing Rule 5.3, the Company announces that trading in Hogg Robinson Shares on the London Stock Exchange's Main Market for listed securities and the listing of Hogg Robinson Shares on the Official List of the UK Listing Authority will each be suspended with…

Why doesn't someone just write to the HMRC and ask them?Just to note that there is a review of IHT and reliefs under way, so this discussion might well end up being moot:https://assets.publishing.serv...How, if at all, does the IHT framework, including the related tax considerations set out above, make business decisions challenging? For example, does it affect or distort decisions regarding:... d) investment in unlisted…

While it's far from definitive this answer to a Daily Telegraph reader question suggests that the 2 year IHT exemption can be rolled over onto new qualifying shares:“If you do replace your current holding with another qualifying AIM share you would still qualify for inheritance tax relief, based on the date of your original investment, provided the whole of the sale proceeds are used to…

How can a lag in reporting impact the performance of the portfolio when it's only re-balanced annually? timarr

Yes. This only seemed to go wrong recently. It is very frustrating not to be able to work out who a poster is replying to in a long thread.Click on the link in the "in reply to post #" and it shows you the original message. It's a bit annoying, but hardly the end of the world. Stocko obviously have a few issues with a…

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