Bankruptcy Risk (Altman Z-Score)

The Bankruptcy Risk Meter gives a visual representation of how likely a company is to head into serious financial difficulty within the next two years.

The meter is derived from the Altman Z-Score, a statistical bankruptcy indicator generated from a set of balance sheet ratios. If the meter is in the safe zone (*indicating a Z-Score greater than 3*) the financial health of the company is good, whereas a company is in serious trouble if the meter is in the distress zone (*indicating a Z-Score less than 1.8*). Tests have shown that the Distress Zone is 80-90% accurate in predicting bankruptcy.

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The Altman score is based on multi-variate analysis. However, the following tests give an indication for the key factors driving the Z-score (by assessing whether Vertu Motors is closer to the average value for bankrupt vs. non-bankrupt firms):

Are liquid assets a significant proportion of the assets?
Do reinvested earnings make up a significant portion of the assets?
Are the assets relatively productive in terms of earnings?
Does firm value compare favourably to its liabilities?

For further information on how the Z-Score is calculated click here.

For a list of the stocks with the worst Altman Z Scores click here.