(The authors are Reuters Breakingviews columnists. The
opinions expressed are their own.)
By Breakingviews columnists
LONDON/MELBOURNE, Feb 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Corona
Capital is a daily column updated throughout the day by
Breakingviews columnists around the world with short, sharp
pandemic-related insights.
LATEST
- Swedish loans
- Ryanair survives
- Aussie fintech
BAD DEBT. Sweden’s lax coronavirus policy has taken a toll.
As of Jan. 16 Covid-19 had claimed over 1,000 deaths per million
people in the Scandinavian country, compared with an average of
170 for Norway, Denmark and Finland, according to Our World in
Data https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&country=SWE~NOR~FIN~DNK®ion=World&deathsMetric=true&interval=total&perCapita=true&smoothing=0&pickerMetric=total_cases&pickerSort=desc.
The country’s banks, however, benefited from the absence of
tight lockdowns. Swedbank SWEDa.ST , worth $21 billion, on
Monday said https://internetbank.swedbank.se/ConditionsEarchive/download?bankid=1111&id=WEBDOC-PRODE72364798
just 0.26% of its loans were impaired in 2020 – the same as
domestic rival SEB’s SEBa.ST broadly equivalent measure https://sebgroup.com/siteassets/investor_relations1/interim_reports/2020_q4_interim.pdf
of bad debt. Danish peer DnB DNB.OL , by contrast, clocked up
dud credit equivalent to 0.7% of loans in the first nine months
of 2020, while euro zone peers were higher still.
The gap helps underline Swedish banks’ premium valuation.
Nordea Bank NDAFI.HE , SEB, Handelsbanken SHBa.ST and
Swedbank on average trade at 1.1 times their expected 2021
tangible book value, using Refinitiv estimates, compared with
0.6 for euro zone peers. A morbid victory still counts for
investors. (By Liam Proud)
SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST. Covid-19’s impact on aviation has
all the ingredients of a nature documentary. Alongside the
weaker specimens that have withered, died, or sought state
support, a handful are emerging from the crisis leaner and
meaner. Low-cost carrier Ryanair RYA.I falls into the latter
camp, despite forecasting a record net loss https://otp.tools.investis.com/clients/uk/ryanair/rns/regulatory-story.aspx?cid=901&newsid=1448682&culture=en-GB
of up to 950 million euros for the current financial year.
Even though Easter is officially a write-off and Europe’s
slow vaccine roll-out may delay the start of the summer boom,
Chief Executive Michael O’Leary is baring his fangs. His 16
billion euro company – worth more than Germany’s Deutsche
Lufthansa LHAG.DE and British Airways-parent IAG ICAG.L
combined – has snapped up seven UK airport slots from competitor
easyJet EZJ.L . And as rivals put planes up for sale, O’Leary
is taking delivery of two dozen fuel-efficient 737 MAX jets.
That will keep his costs low, further squeezing rivals even
after demand recovers. Charles Darwin would approve. (By Ed
Cropley)
FINTECH PHEW. A deal Down Under should relieve anxious
financial technology investors. National Australia Bank NAB.AX
on Friday agreed to buy https://yourir.info/e4600e4db4d0cc89-nab.asx-3A560216/NAB_Agreement_to_acquire_86_400_to_accelerate_UBank_growth.pdf
the 80% of online lender 86 400 it doesn’t already own for
A$220 million ($169 million). That’s a good outcome considering
local rival Xinja gave depositors back their money at the end of
last year.
In fact, 86 400 – named for the number of seconds in a day –
is being bought for more than double the valuation imputed by
its Series A funding in April. Better-established U.S. startups
Kabbage and OnDeck Capital sold last year for below their peak
prices after the pandemic whacked small-business loans. In
Australia, though, both home-loan commitments https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/finance/lending-indicators/latest-release
and house prices https://www.corelogic.com.au/news/australian-housing-values-reach-new-record-high-as-values-continue-to-rise-across
are hitting record highs, and 86 400 has some A$270 million in
mortgages. The only hitch could be the country’s competition
authorities. They’re worried about big banks taking over
would-be challengers, something new for fintech financiers to
fret about. (By Antony Currie)
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(Editing by Peter Thal Larsen and Karen Kwok)