Small Cap Value Report (Fri 21 Jul 2017 - Part 2) - QUIZ, IQE, Positive retail sales data

Friday, Jul 21 2017 by
41

Good morning! It's Paul here.

Graham usually does these reports on Fridays, but there are a few things I want to comment on too, so it's 2 reports today. Graham's report is taking shape here.

Please note that I had a late surge yesterday evening, and wrote 4 more sections in yesterday's report, which is here. (covering: Audioboom, Carrs, Mothercare, and Judges Capital)


QUIZ

This is a Glasgow-headquartered fashion retail business - physical stores, and online. It's in the process of floating on AIM, at a £200m market cap. Being my specialist sector, I was keen to meet management. I attended a group meeting earlier this month, and reported on my (mostly positive) thoughts here.

After much pondering, I decided to apply for the Quiz IPO, through my broker. Most placings are only available to investors who are classified as professional investors by their broker, or who meet suitability rules. It seems ridiculous that there are restrictions on who can buy new issues. Yet anyone can buy any share in the aftermarket, without any restrictions applying. Seems daft to me.

Anyway, the good news is that I think this is likely to be a successful new listing. The reason is that the allocations fell within the goldilocks zone - so there was enough excess demand for the new shares to make it a success, but not so much excess demand that allocations were derisory. Mind you, people tend to over-apply for the good placings, expecting to be scaled back.

There is an RNS here giving schedule 1 information. I see that the great & the good of institutional small cap investors are on board - e.g. Hargreave Hale 6.5%, BlackRock 5.0%, and Slater Investments at 3.1%.

The shares start trading on 28 Jul 2017. My hunch is that they're likely to go to a premium, but time will tell.




IQE (LON: IQE)

(in which I hold a long position)

There was a remarkable move up yesterday, on strong trading news, which I reported on here. For anyone (like me) who doesn't really understand what the company does, there is an outstanding video here from PI World, by IQE's CFO, at Mello Beckenham, in Jan 2016.

I think this presentation is an wonderful example of how to explain complicated technical…

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IQE plc is a United Kingdom-based holding company. The Company is engaged in the research, development and provision of engineering consultancy services to the compound semiconductor industry. The Company's segments include wireless, photonics, Infra Red and CMOS++. The Company is the manufacturer and supplier of Compound Semiconductor wafers or epiwafers using a process called epitaxy. Its photonics business enables a range of end applications, from data communications and advanced optical-fibers, to sensors in consumer and industrial applications. It operates through business units, including wireless, photonics, InfraRed, CPV (advanced solar), power switching, light emitting diodes (LEDs) and advanced electronics. It produces atomically engineered layers of crystalline materials containing a range of semiconductor materials, such as gallium, arsenic, aluminum, indium and phosphorous. The Company has operations in the United States, Asia and Europe. more »

LSE Price
128.97p
Change
-0.0%
Mkt Cap (£m)
882.5
P/E (fwd)
35.5
Yield (fwd)
n/a

AO World Plc is an online retailer of electrical products. The Company operates through two segments: online retailing of domestic appliances to customers in the UK, and online retailing of domestic appliances to customers in Europe (excluding the United Kingdom). The Company offers over 5,500 stock keeping units (SKUs) in the United Kingdom, approximately 2,000 in Germany and over 600 in the Netherlands. The Company offers a range of ancillary services, such as customer finance options, an unpack and recycle service, product care packs, and disposal and connection services. In the United Kingdom, the Company operates in approximately three categories: Major Domestic Appliances (MDA), Small Domestic Appliances (SDA) and Audio Visual (AV). The MDA market offers built-in appliances, such as dishwashers. The SDA market comprises small appliances, food preparation and floor care. The AV market includes television, audio, set-top boxes, digital versatile disc (DVD) and Blu-Ray players. more »

LSE Price
112.75p
Change
-1.5%
Mkt Cap (£m)
525.3
P/E (fwd)
n/a
Yield (fwd)
n/a

NEXT plc is a United Kingdom-based retailer offering clothing, footwear, accessories and home products. The Company's segments include NEXT Retail, a chain of over 500 stores in the United Kingdom and Eire; NEXT Directory, an online and catalogue shopping business with over four million active customers and international Websites serving approximately 70 countries; NEXT International Retail, with approximately 200 mainly franchised stores; NEXT Sourcing, which designs and sources NEXT branded products; Lipsy, which designs and sells Lipsy branded younger women's fashion products, and Property Management, which holds properties and property leases which are sub-let to other segments and external parties. Lipsy also sells directly through its own stores and Website, to wholesale customers and to franchise partners. The Company's franchise partners operate approximately 180 stores in over 30 countries. more »

LSE Price
4207p
Change
1.1%
Mkt Cap (£m)
6,122
P/E (fwd)
10.6
Yield (fwd)
5.7



  Is IQE fundamentally strong or weak? Find out More »


20 Comments on this Article show/hide all

Julianh 21st Jul 1 of 20
2

Arguably, Paul, you should have done your research first. And then you would have missed the tide and ended up buying IQE at a 20% higher price. There is no point in adding lots of shares to a Watchlist that never gets researched. So it can be better to buy first and check it out when you have a bit more time.
I will be doing some more checking on IQE over the next few days and might add to my initial holding if it looks good.
Thanks as always.

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ridavies 21st Jul 2 of 20
1

PayPoint (LON:PAY). I know they are probably way over your size limit now, but your interest and insight in the past (2014) into this in some ways strange and controversial company make them interesting!
Today we have an acquisition AND a bid! The bid is complicated and I dont see any reference to the Board of Directors recommending it. One largish shareholder - Old Mutual with 10% - wants out, but nothing more than that. The only other largish shareholder on the website (Fidelity - again around 10%) makes no comment.
Your comments would be very much appreciated on the content of the bid and the exact timing juxtapoisition of the acquisition and the bid.

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Trident 21st Jul 3 of 20

In reply to ridavies, post #2

Hi ridavies

I can't see any ref to a bid in the RNS announcements or to an acquisition for PayPoint (LON:PAY).

As a holder would be very interested in where you picked this up.

Thanks


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herbie47 21st Jul 4 of 20

In reply to Trident, post #3

Think they mean Paysafe (LON:PAYS).

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monions 21st Jul 5 of 20

In reply to Trident, post #3

The bid is for Paysafe (LON:PAYS)

Shares up at 580 based on the 590 bid. This is a low take over bid of only 9% premium on yesterday's close.

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tabhair 21st Jul 6 of 20
4

The competition in the restaurant sector must be hellacious at the moment. I see that your pick Revolution Bars (LON:RBG) are doing a burger/pizza and cocktail for just £9. Terrific value, but surely margins are going to take a pasting?

https://www.groupon.co.uk/deals/revolution-bars-pizza-burger-nationwide?CID=UK_AFF_5600_225_5383_1&utm_medium=afl&utm_campaign=206616&mediaId=531&utm_source=GPN&subs_group=afl

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Dennis Ayling 21st Jul 7 of 20
2

Re: RBG burger & cocktail for £9, agree can't be much profit in that - maybe just to get them in !

Is this the sort of food they sell? The pictures look mediocre & do people who buy expensive cocktails really want to eat burgers or pizzas ?

Still holding but watching like a hawk.

D.

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the0ni0nking 21st Jul 8 of 20

RE RBG burger & cocktail offer - unless I've misintepreted this is covering the "Revolution" branded stores as opposed to the more upmarket "Revolucion de Cuba" ones as when I specifically look at one location where I know that there are both it points you at the Revolution brand one.

While there is clearly possible cannibalisation between the two brands, from what I have seen they get materially different clientele with the Revolution brand attracting the younger age range (who in crude terms are more happy with a pizza, a pint and a table of shots) as opposed to the "de Cuba" side of things which is materially more upmarket both in terms of decor and price. It also attracts a more mature consumer.

Cheers,
0inK

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ridavies 21st Jul 9 of 20

In reply to Trident, post #3

Sory. My non-deliberate mistake - Paysafe (LON:PAYS) not PayPoint (LON:PAY).

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Mark Clenshaw 21st Jul 10 of 20
3

Paul, ZANE is a really excellent small charity that needs support badly. It does a huge amount despite limited resources and gets no government cash. No distended secretariat costs either. I suppport them from time to time and you have reminded me to send them a cheque!
Cheers,
Mark

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Paul Scott 21st Jul 11 of 20
4

In reply to Mark Clenshaw, post #10

Mark,

Absolutely, ZANE is a terrific charity. They raise about £2.5m p.a. from private donors, but don't even have an office! Everyone works from home, and they're all part-time self-employed, so that the charity doesn't incur any costs or liabilities of having employees. Really impressive stuff. ZANE must have saved thousands of lives, by giving out small cash grants to the needy in Zimbabwe, where conditions are absolutely atrocious. It's a really inspiring small charity. I try to bung them over a donation every now & then, if I've had a good run on the markets.

Regards, Paul.

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Fangorn 22nd Jul 12 of 20
2

"We need to lobby Government to use some of the bloated overseas aid budget to provide vital support & healthcare, to ex-servicemen in the Commonwealth, not just those in the UK. If people fought for the UK, then the military covenant should extend to them too."

Absolutely - Foreign Aid isnt being spent, in full, nor properly - splashing cash on Saddam Hussein's palace, or the Ethiopian spice girls is not how the money should be used.

Charity should go to those, first and foremost, British citizens in need, such as veterans...And then to those who fight for us.

Eg Nepal. *Long term supporter of Gurkha Welfare Trust"
Eg Fiji

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JollyBiologist 22nd Jul 13 of 20

Bloated overseas aid budget? 0.7% of the UK spend? Or a massive 7p of every £10 of tax? I think that's the absolute bare minimum a wealthy civilised country should be spending to help, for instance, victims of the Nepal earthquake, or provide access to effective TB treatment, or working to eradicate polio.
,

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JohnEustace 22nd Jul 14 of 20
5

It's 0.7% of Gross National Income, not taxation.
UK tax is roughly 34% of GNI, so foreign aid is 2% of the tax take.

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peterg 23rd Jul 15 of 20
1

JB's comment still applies, JE. 2% of tax take is not a large sum for the 5th richest country in the world to be paying. And it's well known that foreign aid has positive diplomatic and economic advantages to the donor countries - a lot gets paid back in contracts.

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Graham Ford 23rd Jul 16 of 20
9

Just a quick point about how rich a country we may or may not be. People often quote this based on GDP for the whole country, making no adjustment for the number of people living here or purchasing power.

A better measure is GDP per capita PPP. The different organisation such as IMF and World Bank come up with different numbers. But if you look at these figures on Wikipedia you can see that the UK doesn't actually make the top 20.

In other words there are lots of countries that may have a smaller economy than us but they are richer per person than we are and so more able to afford to spend more on overseas aid.

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jonthetourist 23rd Jul 17 of 20
8

In reply to peterg, post #15

That 5th richest country in the world statement irks me every time I read / hear it. It is true, but utterly misleading.It's usually accompanied by Why can't we have X,Yand Z when we are the 5th richest country in the world?
Another truth is we spend more on healthcare than Norway, Sweden and Canada combined. If anyone thinks the UK is richer than those countries they are, at best, confused.
The stat that counts is GDP per person, not in absolute terms.

Sorry, personal hobby horse.

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Golspie 23rd Jul 18 of 20

Paul,

A further reason to participate in a placing is Subscribed share Income Tax loss Relief in the event of a loss.

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Irishmanabroad 13th Aug 19 of 20

In reply to Julianh, post #1

IQE, is there any reason why this company would not be taken over? It has been very successful, would it make it sense for one of the companies it supplies to, to take it over?

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crazycoops 13th Aug 20 of 20
2

Re: IQE (LON:IQE) being taken over? I think it's a definite possibility! Let's hope UK investors are savvy enough to make it sufficiently expensive beforehand.

Blog: Share Knowledge
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About Paul Scott

Paul Scott

I trained as an accountant with a Top 5 firm, but that was so boring that I spent too much time in the 1990s being a disco bunny, and busting moves on the dancefloor, and chilling out with mates back at either my house or theirs, and having a lot of fun!Then spent 8 years as FD for a ladieswear retail chain called "Pilot", leaving on great terms in 2002 - having been a key player in growing the business 10 fold. If the truth be told, I partied pretty hard at the weekends too, so bank reconciliations on Monday mornings were more luck than judgement!! But they were always correct.I got bored with that and decided to become a professional small caps investor in 2002. I made millions, but got too cocky, and lost the lot in 2008, due to excessive gearing. A miserable, wilderness period occurred from 2008-2012.Since then, the sun has begun to shine again! I am now utterly briliant again, and immerse myself in small caps, and am a walking encyclopedia on the subject. I love writing a daily report for Stockopedia.com on most weekday mornings, constantly researching daily results & trading updates for small caps. Cheese! more »

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