REG-Lancashire Hld Ltd: Final Results
10/02/2021 07:05
LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED
10 February 2021
Hamilton, Bermuda
Lancashire Holdings Limited (“Lancashire” or “the Group”) announces
its results for the year ended 31 December 2020.
Highlights:
* Gross premiums written increased by 15.2% year on year to $814.1 million.
* Group RPI (Renewal Price Index) of 112% for the year.
* Combined ratio of 107.8%, including the impact of COVID-19.
* Year to date total investment return, including unrealised gains and losses,
of 3.9%.
* Final dividend of $0.10 per common share.
Year ended
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Financial highlights ($m)
Gross premiums written 814.1 706.7
Net premiums written 519.4 424.7
Underwriting profit 77.0 186.5
Profit before tax 5.9 119.5
Comprehensive income (1) 24.3 145.7
Change in FCBVS (2) 10.2 % 14.1 %
Financial ratios
Total investment return 3.9 % 4.9 %
Net loss ratio 59.6 % 30.8 %
Combined ratio 107.8 % 80.9 %
(1) These amounts are attributable to Lancashire and exclude non-controlling
interests.
2 Defined as the change in fully converted book value per share, adjusted for
dividends. See the section headed “Alternative Performance Measures”
below.
Alex Maloney, Group Chief Executive Officer, commented:
“The whole world faced a uniquely challenging year in 2020. Our first
thoughts go to those whose lives have been impacted by personal tragedy and
hardship. Similarly, our thanks go to all those who in their work and conduct
are helping to defeat the current threat of the COVID-19 pandemic.
This last year has demonstrated the value of our strategic planning in
preparing for challenges and opportunities, both expected and unexpected. In
the face of these challenges I am pleased to report that the Group’s Change
in FCBVS (formerly termed Return on Equity or RoE(1)) was 10.2% for the full
year. As we entered 2020 I believed that we were then in the early stages of a
necessary market correction. Since then the COVID-19 pandemic has generated a
level of dislocation and uncertainty in the global economy and markets which
has demonstrably accelerated a pronounced re-rating and improvement in the
pricing of many of the (re)insurance products which we sell. In these times of
heightened uncertainty, insurance has retained its value as an important risk
management tool which remains central in the strategic planning of many of our
clients.
The strengthening in market pricing is illustrated by our cross class RPI of
112% for the year.
(1Refer to Alternative Performance Measures (APMs) section below.)
We have also achieved a year on year increase in our gross premiums written
under management which was $1,067.1 million in 2020, compared to $934.8
million in 2019.
We have used the improving market not only to grow our premium income but also
to build up our expertise. Across our business we have been active during 2020
in recruiting new employees both to our underwriting teams and within the
wider business. As we enter 2021 we have added to our underwriting portfolio
a casualty reinsurance book of business underwritten from our Bermuda office,
which we intend to build out cautiously over the coming years.
The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the whole insurance industry as a loss
event. Whilst it is too early to comment on total global insured losses from
this event, I am pleased that Lancashire’s approach to reserving for
COVID-19 losses has remained consistent throughout the year, albeit
uncertainty still remains as this is an ongoing event. As a business we have
generally avoided those retail and SME classes which have been most heavily
impacted. Lancashire does not write the following lines of business: travel
insurance; trade credit; and long-term life and prior to the COVID-19 pandemic
did not write Directors’ and Officers’ liability or medical malpractice.
The Group underwrites a small number of event cancellation contracts and has
minimal exposure through mortgage, accident and health business. We also
witnessed windstorm losses in the second half of the year and an unusually
high level of frequency in non-natural catastrophe specialty losses throughout
the year. Although these events were within our board-approved tolerances, a
combination of these factors has meant that our underwriting returns have been
stressed, resulting in a combined ratio of 107.8% for the year.
Our conservative investment philosophy has again served us well for the year,
and after initial volatility in the first quarter, it was pleasing to see the
investment portfolio recover and ultimately contribute to our profitability
for the full year. The growth in shareholder equity achieved during the year
was helped by the strong support from our shareholders for the equity placing
which we conducted in June 2020. We are beginning to take advantage of the
improving market conditions and there was evidence of further strengthening
over the January renewal season.
As we pass the end of another year, I would like to thank all our staff, our
shareholders, clients and their brokers for their continuing support for our
business. We understand that the challenges of the current pandemic are
ongoing. But it is with some optimism that we enter 2021 with the right
skill-set and capital base to enable us to trade in a market which is
materially improved from the soft market of recent years.”
Natalie Kershaw, Group Chief Financial Officer, commented:
“We are pleased to have navigated 2020 relatively unscathed given the number
of catastrophe and risk losses incurred in addition to the financial impacts
of COVID-19. In such a difficult year we consider making an overall profit
after tax of $4.2 million and comprehensive income of $24.3 million a very
positive result. Our investment portfolio contributed significantly to our
profitability, generating returns of 3.9% for the year.
Our capital position coming into 2020 was strong and sufficient to fund the
15.2% gross written premium growth during the year. Our outlook for 2021 is
one of further rate hardening and we expect to utilise the $340.3 million of
capital raised in our equity placing in June 2020 to fund further growth in
our business during 2021. In line with our stated dividend policy we are
declaring our standard final ordinary dividend of $0.10 per share.
The Group also retained its strong operational resilience in 2020 as we
transitioned from a world in which remote working was not the business norm,
to one where we have all become adept at virtual forms of communication.”
Underwriting results
Year ended 31 December
Gross premiums written 2020 2019 Change Change RPI
$m $m $m % %
Property 426.9 382.1 44.8 11.7 108
Aviation 151.0 119.6 31.4 26.3 121
Energy 144.7 128.1 16.6 13.0 113
Marine 91.5 76.9 14.6 19.0 116
Total 814.1 706.7 107.4 15.2 112
Gross premiums written increased by 15.2% in 2020 compared to 2019. The
Group’s four principal segments, and the key market factors impacting them,
are discussed below.
Within the property segment, our (re)insurance lines contain a high degree of
catastrophe risk and as such have seen pricing dislocation during 2020 leading
to a property segment RPI of 108% for the year. As well as these rating trends
in renewal business, we have seen an increase in new business flows, in
particular within the property catastrophe class and the property direct and
facultative classes. These positive trends were marginally offset by the
property political risk and property terrorism classes, a good portion of
which are, by their nature, non-renewing.
Our aviation segment has been building steadily in the past few years, growing
our product offering as market conditions improve. The increase in aviation
gross premiums written in 2020 was primarily due to new business and rate
increases in the aviation deductible and the aviation hull and liability
classes of business with strong support from the aviation reinsurance class.
Our energy portfolio continued to evolve during 2020. The increase in energy
gross premiums written was primarily focused in the power and downstream
energy classes where both rate increases and new business led to the premiums
almost doubling relative to 2019. Upstream energy remained broadly stable, as
modest rate increases were offset by small reductions in exposures.
Marine pricing has been rising, due to capacity withdrawals over a number of
years, demonstrated by our RPI of 116% during 2020. The increase in marine
gross premiums written was primarily due to new business growth in the marine
cargo and the marine hull classes of business supported by rate and exposure
increases across all lines of business. The marine segment also benefited from
the favourable timing impact of multi-year policies renewing in 2020 compared
to 2019.
*******
Ceded reinsurance premiums increased by $12.7 million, or 4.5%, in 2020
compared to in 2019. The higher level of inwards gross premiums written has
resulted in an increased level of outwards quota share reinsurance spend while
the newer classes of business that the Group has started underwriting have
also resulted in additional cover being purchased when compared to the prior
year. These increases were somewhat offset by lower outwards reinstatement
premiums compared to the prior year and a lower ceding percentage applied on
some of the outwards quota share contracts purchased.
*******
The Group’s net loss ratio for 2020 was 59.6% compared to 30.8% in 2019. The
accident year loss ratio for 2020, including the impact of foreign exchange
revaluations, was 71.4% compared to 51.3% in 2019.
During 2020, Lancashire experienced an active loss environment across both its
specialty and catastrophe lines, with exposure to COVID-19 related losses and
to a number of natural catastrophe events, including hurricanes Laura and
Sally, the Midwest derecho storm and the wildfires in California. In addition,
as noted in our Q3 trading update, risk losses were higher than our
expectations and this continued into Q4 2020, impacting all our segments.
These loss events reflect the nature of the insurance products offered by the
Group’s trading subsidiaries as part of their usual business and are within
the Group’s risk tolerances.
Our net losses, excluding the impact of inwards and outwards reinstatement
premiums, from COVID-19 related losses, natural catastrophe and large risk
loss events, amounted to $149.5 million for the year ended 31 December 2020.
Our COVID-19 loss primarily relates to exposures within our property segment.
Given the ongoing nature of the COVID-19 pandemic and the uncertain impact on
the insurance industry, the Group’s actual ultimate loss may vary, perhaps
materially, from the current estimate. The final settlement of all of these
claims is likely to take place over a considerable period of time. The
Group’s estimated ultimate net financial impact of COVID-19, including
losses and reinstatement premiums, is consistent with that reported in July at
approximately $42 million. In 2019, our net losses from catastrophe events,
excluding the impact of inwards and outwards reinstatement premiums, were
$52.1 million.
Excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations, the table below shows
the impact of current accident year COVID-19 related losses and catastrophe
loss events on the Group’s loss ratio for the year ended 31 December 2020:
Losses Loss ratio
$m %
Reported at 31 December 2020 283.8 59.6 %
Absent catastrophe events noted above 216.8 45.5 %
Absent COVID-19 losses 244.1 51.0 %
Absent catastrophe and COVID -19 losses 177.1 36.9 %
(Note: The table does not sum to a total due to the impact of reinstatement
premium.)
As reported in the Group’s results for the year ended 31 December 2019, and
excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations, the impact of the
catastrophe loss events on the Group’s 2019 loss ratio was as follows:
Losses Loss ratio
$m %
Reported at 31 December 2019 129.8 30.8 %
Absent all catastrophe events 77.7 18.5 %
Prior year favourable development for 2020 was $52.0 million, compared to
$88.0 million of favourable development in 2019. The favourable development in
both 2020 and 2019 was primarily due to general IBNR releases across most
lines of business due to a lack of reported claims. The second half of 2020
also included favourable development on the 2017 accident year, mainly from
reserve releases on natural catastrophe loss events within the property
segment. This was somewhat offset in the first half of the year by a number of
late reported losses from the 2019 accident year, reserve deterioration on a
couple of marine claims in the 2017 and 2019 accident years, and adverse
development on the 2010 New Zealand earthquake in the property segment. In the
prior year, the Group benefited from favourable development on the 2017
catastrophe loss events partially offset by 2018 accident year claims in the
energy segment.
The table below provides further detail of the prior years’ loss development
by class, excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations.
Year ended 31 December 2020 2019
$m $m
Property 46.6 44.9
Aviation 3.3 6.8
Energy 17.2 23.9
Marine (15.1) 12.4
Total 52.0 88.0
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
The table below provides further detail of the prior years’ loss development
by accident year, excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations.
Year ended 31 December 2020 2019
$m $m
2015 accident year and prior (1.8) 19.0
2016 accident year 0.9 19.3
2017 accident year 20.7 30.8
2018 accident year 25.3 18.9
2019 accident year 6.9 —
Total 52.0 88.0
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
The ratio of IBNR to total net loss reserves was 34.4% at 31 December 2020
compared to 30.9% at 31 December 2019.
Investments
Net investment income, excluding realised and unrealised gains and losses, was
$29.0 million for 2020, a decrease of 23.1% compared to 2019. Total investment
return, including net investment income, net other investment income, net
realised gains and losses, impairments and net change in unrealised gains and
losses, was $69.1 million in 2020 compared to $83.2 million for 2019.
In a year of significant volatility, the investment portfolio generated a
strong total return of 3.9%, with positive returns generated from all asset
classes. The returns were driven primarily by the fixed maturity portfolios,
given the decline in treasury yields and the tightening of credit spreads
during the year. The tighter spreads and stronger equity markets also drove
significant returns in the hedge fund and private debt portfolios. All other
asset classes also had positive returns on a year to date basis, similar to
2019.
The managed portfolio was as follows:
As at As at
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Fixed maturity securities 82.8 % 79.0 %
Cash and cash equivalents 8.5 % 11.4 %
Private investment funds 4.7 % 0.9 %
Hedge funds 4.0 % 8.7 %
Total 100.0 % 100.0 %
Key investment portfolio statistics for our fixed maturities and managed cash
were:
As at As at
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Duration 2.0 years 1.8 years
Credit quality A+ A+
Book yield 1.7 % 2.4 %
Market yield 0.7 % 2.1 %
Third Party Capital Management
The total contribution from third party capital activities consisted of the
following items:
Year ended 31 December 2020 2019
$m $m
Lancashire Capital Management underwriting fees 10.0 7.9
Lancashire Capital Management profit commission 1.8 1.0
Lancashire Syndicates’ fees & profit commission 3.5 2.5
Total other income 15.3 11.4
Share of profit of associate 10.7 5.9
Total net third party capital management income 26.0 17.3
The higher Lancashire Capital Management (“LCM”) underwriting fees in 2020
reflect the increased level of premiums under management compared to 2019. The
amount of LCM profit commission recognised is driven by the timing of loss
experience, settlement of claims and collateral release and therefore varies
year on year. The share of profit of associate reflects Lancashire’s equity
interest in the LCM managed vehicle.
Other operating expenses
Other operating expenses were $114.4 million in 2020 compared to $106.0
million in 2019. The increase was primarily driven by higher employment costs
due to an increase in the number of employees from 218 in the prior year to
255 in the current year. Non-employment costs increased slightly due to a
number of project initiatives during the year which drove an increase in legal
and external consulting fees. These increases were partly offset by reduced
expenditure on travel and entertainment and promotional events.
Equity based compensation
The equity based compensation expense was $12.3 million in 2020 compared to
$9.6 million in 2019. The equity based compensation charge was driven by
anticipated vesting levels of active awards based on current performance
expectations. Increased equity based compensation charges were recorded in
2020 as higher performance targets were met.
Capital
On 10 June 2020 a total of 39,568,089 new common shares in Lancashire were
placed at a price of 700 pence per share, raising proceeds of $340.3 million
for the Company. The shares issued represented approximately 19.5% of the
issued common share capital of Lancashire prior to the placing.
As at 31 December 2020, total capital available to Lancashire was $1.866
billion, comprising shareholders’ equity of $1.539 billion and $327.5
million of long-term debt. Tangible capital was $1.712 billion. Leverage was
17.6% on total capital and 19.1% on total tangible capital. Total capital and
total tangible capital as at 31 December 2019 were $1.517 billion and $1.363
billion respectively.
Per share data
Year ended 31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Fully converted book value per share $6.28 $5.84
Change in FCBVS (1) 10.2 % 14.1 %
Dividends per common share for the financial year $0.15 $0.15
Diluted earnings per share $0.02 $0.58
(1) Defined as the change in fully converted book value per share, adjusted
for dividends. See the section headed “Alternative Performance Measures”
below.
Dividends
The Lancashire Board declared the following dividends during 2020:
* A final dividend relating to 2019 of $0.10 per common share; and
* An interim dividend of $0.05 per common share.
Lancashire announces that its Board of Directors has declared a final dividend
for 2020 of $0.10 (approximately £0.08) per common share, subject to a
shareholder vote of approval at the AGM to be held on 28 April 2021, which
will result in an aggregate payment of approximately $24.4 million. On the
basis that the final dividend is approved by shareholders at the AGM, the
dividend will be paid in Pounds Sterling on 4 June 2021 (the “Dividend
Payment Date”) to shareholders of record on 7 May 2021 (the “Record
Date”) using the £ / $ spot market exchange rate at 12 noon London time on
the Record Date.
Shareholders interested in participating in the dividend reinvestment plan
(“DRIP”), or other services including international payment, are
encouraged to contact the Group’s registrars, Link Asset Services, for more
details at:
https://www.linkassetservices.com/shareholders-and-investors/shareholder-services-uk.
Financial Information
The Audited Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended 31 December
2020 are published on Lancashire’s website at www.lancashiregroup.com.
The 2020 Annual Report and Accounts are expected to be circulated to
shareholders on 8 March 2021 and will also be made available on Lancashire’s
website.
Analyst and Investor Earnings Conference Call
There will be an analyst and investor conference call on the results at 1:00pm
UK time / 9:00am Bermuda time / 8:00am EST on Wednesday 10 February 2021. The
conference call will be hosted by Lancashire management.
Participant Access:
Dial in 5-10 minutes prior to the start time using the number / confirmation
code below:
United Kingdom Toll-Free: 08003589473
United Kingdom Toll: +44 3333000804
United States Toll-Free: +1 855 85 70686
United States Toll: +1 6319131422
PIN code: 74690404#
URL for additional international dial in numbers:
https://event.sharefile.com/share/view/s7bae1d9235d495a8
The call can also be accessed via webcast, for registration and access:
https://onlinexperiences.com/Launch/QReg/ShowUUID=E62A27A0-01C0-4486-A6BC-405997B36CDB
A webcast replay facility will be available for 12 months and accessible at:
https://www.lancashiregroup.com/en/investors/results-reports-and-presentations.html
For further information, please contact:
Lancashire Holdings Limited
Christopher Head +44 20 7264 4145 chris.head@lancashiregroup.com
Jelena Bjelanovic +44 20 7264 4066 jelena.bjelanovic@lancashiregroup.com
FTI Consulting +44 20 37271046
Edward Berry Edward.Berry@FTIConsulting.com
Tom Blackwell Tom.Blackwell@FTIConsulting.com
About Lancashire
Lancashire, through its UK and Bermuda-based operating subsidiaries, is a
provider of global specialty insurance and reinsurance products. The Group
companies carry the following ratings:
Financial Strength Rating ((1)) Financial Strength Outlook ((1)) Long Term Issuer Rating ((2))
A.M. Best A (Excellent) Stable bbb+
S&P Global Ratings A- Stable BBB
Moody’s A3 Stable Baa2
(1) Financial Strength Rating and Financial Strength Outlook apply to
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited and Lancashire Insurance Company (UK)
Limited.
(2) Long Term Issuer Rating applies to Lancashire Holdings Limited.
Lancashire Syndicates Limited benefits from Lloyd’s ratings: A.M. Best: A
(Excellent); S&P Global Ratings: A+ (Strong); and Fitch: AA- (Very Strong).
Lancashire has capital of approximately $1.9 billion and its common shares
trade on the premium segment of the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange
under the ticker symbol LRE. Lancashire has its head office and registered
office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 11, Bermuda.
For more information, please visit Lancashire’s website at
www.lancashiregroup.com.
The Bermuda Monetary Authority (“BMA”) is the Group Supervisor of the
Lancashire Group.
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited is regulated by the BMA, with its
registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 11,
Bermuda.
Lancashire Insurance Company (UK) Limited is authorised by the Prudential
Regulation Authority (“PRA”) and regulated by the Financial Conduct
Authority (“FCA”) and the PRA, with its registered office at Level 29, 20
Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY, United Kingdom.
Lancashire Syndicates Limited is authorised by the PRA and regulated by the
FCA and the PRA. It is also authorised and regulated by Lloyd’s, with its
registered office at Level 29, 20 Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY, United
Kingdom.
Lancashire Capital Management Limited is regulated by the BMA, with its
registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM 11,
Bermuda.
This release contains information, which may be of a price sensitive nature,
that Lancashire is making public in a manner consistent with the EU Market
Abuse Regulation and other regulatory obligations. The information was
submitted for publication, through the agency of the contact persons set out
above, at 07:00 GMT on 10 February 2021.
Alternative Performance Measures (APMs)
As is customary in the insurance industry, the Group utilises certain non-GAAP
measures in order to evaluate, monitor and manage the business and to aid
users’ understanding of the Group. Management believes that the APMs
included in this release are important for understanding the Group’s overall
results of operations and may be helpful to investors and other interested
parties who may benefit from having a consistent basis for comparison with
other companies within the industry. However, these measures may not be
comparable to similarly labelled measures used by companies inside or outside
the insurance industry. In addition, the information contained herein should
not be viewed as superior to, or a substitute for, the measures determined in
accordance with the accounting principles used by the Group for its audited
consolidated financial statements or in accordance with GAAP.
In compliance with the Guidelines on APMs of the European Securities and
Markets Authority, as applied by the FCA, information on APMs which the Group
uses is described below. This information has not been audited.
All amounts, excluding share data, percentage or where otherwise stated, are
in millions of U.S. dollars.
Net loss ratio: Ratio, in per cent, of net insurance losses to net premiums
earned. This ratio gives an indication of the amount of claims expected to be
paid out per $1.00 of net premium earned in the financial year.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Net insurance losses 283.8 129.8
Divided by net premiums earned 475.8 421.7
Net loss ratio 59.6% 30.8%
Net acquisition ratio: Ratio, in per cent, of net insurance acquisition
expenses to net premiums earned. This ratio gives an indication of the amount
expected to be paid out to insurance brokers and other insurance
intermediaries per $1.00 of net premium earned in the financial year.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Net acquisition expenses 115.0 105.4
Divided by net premiums earned 475.8 421.7
Net acquisition cost ratio 24.2% 25.0%
Net expense ratio: Ratio, in per cent, of other operating expenses, excluding
restricted stock expenses, to net premiums earned. This ratio gives an
indication of the amount of operating expenses expected to be paid out per
$1.00 of net premium earned in the financial year.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Other operating expenses 114.4 106.0
Divided by net premiums earned 475.8 421.7
Net expense ratio 24.0% 25.1%
Combined ratio (KPI): Ratio, in per cent, of the sum of net insurance losses,
net acquisition expenses and other operating expenses to net premiums earned.
The Group aims to price its business to ensure that the combined ratio across
the cycle is less than 100%.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Net loss ratio 59.6% 30.8%
Net acquisition cost ratio 24.2% 25.0%
Net expense ratio 24.0% 25.1%
Combined ratio 107.8% 80.9%
Accident year loss ratio: The accident year loss ratio is calculated using the
accident year ultimate liability revalued at the current balance sheet date,
divided by net premiums earned. This ratio shows the amount of claims expected
to be paid out per $1.00 of net premium earned in an accident year.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Current accident year ultimate liability 339.1 217.8
Divided by net premiums earned * 474.9 424.8
Accident year loss ratio 71.4% 51.3%
*For the accident year loss ratio, net premiums earned excludes inwards and
outwards reinstatement premium from prior accident years.
Fully converted book value per share (‘FCBVS’) attributable to the Group:
Calculated based on the value of the total shareholders’ equity attributable
to the Group and dilutive restricted stock units as calculated under the
treasury method, divided by the sum of all shares and dilutive restricted
stock units, assuming all are exercised. Shows the Group net asset value on a
diluted per share basis for comparison to the market value per share.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Shareholders’ equity attributable to the Group 1,538,466,664 1,193,631,460
Common voting shares outstanding * 241,811,908 201,453,615
Shares relating to dilutive restricted stock 3,333,356 2,837,041
Fully converted book value denominator 245,145,264 204,290,656
Fully converted book value per share $6.28 $5.84
*Common voting shares outstanding comprise issued share capital less amounts
held in trust.
Change in FCBVS (previously termed “ROE”) (KPI). The internal rate of
return of the change in FCBVS in the period, plus accrued dividends. Sometimes
referred to as ROE. The Group’s aim is to maximise risk-adjusted returns for
shareholders across the cycle through a purposeful and sustainable business
culture.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Opening FCBVS ($5.84) ($5.26)
Q1 dividend per share - $0.10
Q2 dividend per share $0.10 -
Q3 dividend per share $0.05 $0.05
Q4 dividend per share + closing FCBVS $6.28 $5.84
Change in FCBVS* 10.2% 14.1%
*Calculated using the internal rate of return.
For the year ended 31 December 2020, the Group has renamed return on equity
(“ROE”) to Change in FCBVS. It should be noted that the methodology in
calculating this metric has remained unchanged and has been calculated in a
consistent manner by the Group over the reporting periods.
Total investment return (KPI): Total investment return in percentage terms, is
calculated by dividing the total investment return excluding foreign exchange
by the investment portfolio net asset value, including managed cash on a daily
basis. These daily returns are then annualized through geometric linking of
daily returns. The return can be approximated by dividing the total
investment return excluding foreign exchange by the average portfolio net
asset value, including managed cash. The Group’s primary investment
objectives are to preserve capital and provide adequate liquidity to support
the Group’s payment of claims and other obligations. Within this framework
we aim for a degree of investment portfolio return.
31 December 2020 31 December 2019
Total investment return 69.1 83.2
Average invested assets* 1,873.9 1,732.2
Approximate total investment return 3.7% 4.8%
Reported total investment return 3.9% 4.9%
*Calculated as the average between the opening and closing investments and
externally managed cash.
NOTE REGARDING RPI METHODOLOGY
THE RENEWAL PRICE INDEX (“RPI”) IS AN INTERNAL METHODOLOGY THAT MANAGEMENT
USES TO TRACK TRENDS IN PREMIUM RATES OF A PORTFOLIO OF INSURANCE AND
REINSURANCE CONTRACTS. THE RPI WRITTEN IN THE RESPECTIVE SEGMENTS IS
CALCULATED ON A PER CONTRACT BASIS AND REFLECTS MANAGEMENT’S ASSESSMENT OF
RELATIVE CHANGES IN PRICE, TERMS, CONDITIONS AND LIMITS AND IS WEIGHTED BY
PREMIUM VOLUME. THE RPI DOES NOT INCLUDE NEW BUSINESS, TO OFFER A CONSISTENT
BASIS FOR ANALYSIS. THE CALCULATION INVOLVES A DEGREE OF JUDGEMENT IN RELATION
TO COMPARABILITY OF CONTRACTS AND THE ASSESSMENT NOTED ABOVE. TO ENHANCE THE
RPI METHODOLOGY, MANAGEMENT MAY REVISE THE METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS
UNDERLYING THE RPI, SO THE TRENDS IN PREMIUM RATES REFLECTED IN THE RPI MAY
NOT BE COMPARABLE OVER TIME. CONSIDERATION IS ONLY GIVEN TO RENEWALS OF A
COMPARABLE NATURE SO IT DOES NOT REFLECT EVERY CONTRACT IN THE PORTFOLIO OF
CONTRACTS. THE FUTURE PROFITABILITY OF THE PORTFOLIO OF CONTRACTS WITHIN THE
RPI IS DEPENDENT UPON MANY FACTORS BESIDES THE TRENDS IN PREMIUM RATES.
NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS:
CERTAIN STATEMENTS AND INDICATIVE PROJECTIONS (WHICH MAY INCLUDE MODELLED LOSS
SCENARIOS) MADE IN THIS RELEASE OR OTHERWISE THAT ARE NOT BASED ON CURRENT OR
HISTORICAL FACTS ARE FORWARD-LOOKING IN NATURE INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION,
STATEMENTS CONTAINING THE WORDS “BELIEVES”, “ANTICIPATES”, “AIMS”,
“PLANS”, “PROJECTS”, “FORECASTS”, “GUIDANCE”, “INTENDS”,
“EXPECTS”, “ESTIMATES”, “PREDICTS”, “MAY”, “CAN”,
“LIKELY”, “WILL”, “SEEKS”, “SHOULD”, OR, IN EACH CASE, THEIR
NEGATIVE OR COMPARABLE TERMINOLOGY. ALL SUCH STATEMENTS OTHER THAN STATEMENTS
OF HISTORICAL FACTS INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THE FINANCIAL POSITION OF
THE COMPANY AND ITS SUBSIDIARIES (THE “GROUP”), THE GROUP’S TAX
RESIDENCY, LIQUIDITY, RESULTS OF OPERATIONS, PROSPECTS, GROWTH, CAPITAL
MANAGEMENT PLANS AND EFFICIENCIES, ABILITY TO CREATE VALUE, DIVIDEND POLICY,
OPERATIONAL FLEXIBILITY, COMPOSITION OF MANAGEMENT, BUSINESS STRATEGY, PLANS
AND OBJECTIVES OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS (INCLUDING DEVELOPMENT
PLANS AND OBJECTIVES RELATING TO THE GROUP’S INSURANCE BUSINESS) ARE
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE KNOWN AND
UNKNOWN RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS THAT COULD CAUSE THE
ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE GROUP TO BE MATERIALLY
DIFFERENT FROM FUTURE RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS EXPRESSED OR
IMPLIED BY SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THESE FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: THE ACTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF
LOSSES AND EXPENSES IMPACTING ESTIMATES FOR CLAIMS WHICH ARISE AS A RESULT OF
THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC WHICH IS AN ONGOING EVENT AS AT THE DATE OF THIS
RELEASE, HURRICANES LAURA AND SALLY, MIDWEST DERECHO STORM AND THE WILDFIRES
IN CALIFORNIA WHICH OCCURRED DURING THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2020, TYPHOON
HAGIBIS WHICH OCCURRED IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2019, HURRICANE DORIAN AND
TYPHOON FAXAI WHICH OCCURRED IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2019, THE CALIFORNIAN
WILDFIRES AND HURRICANE MICHAEL WHICH OCCURRED IN THE FOURTH QUARTER OF 2018,
HURRICANE FLORENCE AND THE TYPHOONS THAT OCCURRED IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF
2018, HURRICANES HARVEY, IRMA AND MARIA AND THE EARTHQUAKES IN MEXICO THAT
OCCURRED IN THE THIRD QUARTER OF 2017 AND THE WILDFIRES WHICH IMPACTED PARTS
OF CALIFORNIA DURING 2017; THE IMPACT OF COMPLEX AND UNIQUE CAUSATION AND
COVERAGE ISSUES ASSOCIATED WITH ATTRIBUTION OF LOSSES TO WIND OR FLOOD DAMAGE
OR OTHER PERILS SUCH AS FIRE OR BUSINESS INTERRUPTION RELATING TO SUCH EVENTS;
POTENTIAL UNCERTAINTIES RELATING TO REINSURANCE RECOVERIES, REINSTATEMENT
PREMIUMS AND OTHER FACTORS INHERENT IN LOSS ESTIMATIONS; THE GROUP’S ABILITY
TO INTEGRATE ITS BUSINESSES AND PERSONNEL; THE SUCCESSFUL RETENTION AND
MOTIVATION OF THE GROUP’S KEY MANAGEMENT; THE INCREASED REGULATORY BURDEN
FACING THE GROUP; THE NUMBER AND TYPE OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS
THAT THE GROUP WRITES OR MAY WRITE; THE GROUP’S ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT
SUCCESSFULLY ITS BUSINESS STRATEGY DURING ‘SOFT’ AS WELL AS ‘HARD’
MARKETS; THE PREMIUM RATES WHICH MAY BE AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF SUCH RENEWALS
WITHIN THE GROUP’S TARGETED BUSINESS LINES; THE POSSIBLE LOW FREQUENCY OF
LARGE EVENTS; POTENTIALLY UNUSUAL LOSS FREQUENCY; THE IMPACT THAT THE
GROUP’S FUTURE OPERATING RESULTS, CAPITAL POSITION AND RATING AGENCY AND
OTHER CONSIDERATIONS MAY HAVE ON THE EXECUTION OF ANY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
INITIATIVES OR DIVIDENDS; THE POSSIBILITY OF GREATER FREQUENCY OR SEVERITY OF
CLAIMS AND LOSS ACTIVITY THAN THE GROUP’S UNDERWRITING, RESERVING OR
INVESTMENT PRACTICES HAVE ANTICIPATED; THE RELIABILITY OF, AND CHANGES IN
ASSUMPTIONS TO, CATASTROPHE PRICING, ACCUMULATION AND ESTIMATED LOSS MODELS;
INCREASED COMPETITION FROM EXISTING ALTERNATIVE CAPITAL PROVIDERS, INSURANCE
LINKED FUNDS AND COLLATERALISED SPECIAL PURPOSE INSURERS, AND THE RELATED
DEMAND AND SUPPLY DYNAMICS AS CONTRACTS COME UP FOR RENEWAL; THE EFFECTIVENESS
OF THE GROUP’S LOSS LIMITATION METHODS; THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF KEY PERSONNEL;
A DECLINE IN THE GROUP’S OPERATING SUBSIDIARIES’ RATINGS WITH A.M. BEST,
S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, MOODY’S OR OTHER RATING AGENCIES; INCREASED COMPETITION
ON THE BASIS OF PRICING, CAPACITY, COVERAGE TERMS OR OTHER FACTORS; CYCLICAL
DOWNTURNS OF THE INDUSTRY; THE IMPACT OF A DETERIORATING CREDIT ENVIRONMENT
FOR ISSUERS OF FIXED MATURITY INVESTMENTS; THE IMPACT OF SWINGS IN MARKET
INTEREST RATES, CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES AND SECURITIES PRICES; CHANGES BY
CENTRAL BANKS REGARDING THE LEVEL OF INTEREST RATES; THE IMPACT OF INFLATION
OR DEFLATION IN RELEVANT ECONOMIES IN WHICH THE GROUP OPERATES; THE EFFECT,
TIMING AND OTHER UNCERTAINTIES SURROUNDING FUTURE BUSINESS COMBINATIONS WITHIN
THE INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE INDUSTRIES; THE IMPACT OF TERRORIST ACTIVITY IN
THE COUNTRIES IN WHICH THE GROUP WRITES RISKS; A RATING DOWNGRADE OF, OR A
MARKET DECLINE IN, SECURITIES IN THE GROUP’S INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO; CHANGES
IN GOVERNMENTAL REGULATIONS OR TAX LAWS IN JURISDICTIONS WHERE THE GROUP
CONDUCTS BUSINESS; LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED OR ANY OF THE GROUP’S
BERMUDIAN SUBSIDIARIES BECOMING SUBJECT TO INCOME TAXES IN THE UNITED STATES
OR IN THE UNITED KINGDOM; THE IMPACT OF THE CHANGE IN TAX RESIDENCE ON
STAKEHOLDERS OF THE COMPANY; AND THE IMPACT OF THE EXPIRATION OF THE
TRANSITION PERIOD ON 31 DECEMBER 2020 FOLLOWING THE UK’S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE
EUROPEAN UNION ON THE GROUP’S BUSINESS, REGULATORY RELATIONSHIPS,
UNDERWRITING PLATFORMS OR THE INDUSTRY GENERALLY.
ALL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS RELEASE SPEAK ONLY AS AT THE DATE OF
PUBLICATION. LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY OBLIGATION OR
UNDERTAKING (SAVE AS REQUIRED TO COMPLY WITH ANY LEGAL OR REGULATORY
OBLIGATIONS INCLUDING THE RULES OF THE LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE) TO DISSEMINATE
ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT TO REFLECT ANY
CHANGES IN THE GROUP’S EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES ON WHICH ANY SUCH
STATEMENT IS BASED. ALL SUBSEQUENT WRITTEN AND ORAL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE GROUP OR INDIVIDUALS ACTING ON BEHALF OF THE GROUP ARE
EXPRESSLY QUALIFIED IN THEIR ENTIRETY BY THIS NOTE. PROSPECTIVE INVESTORS
SHOULD SPECIFICALLY CONSIDER THE FACTORS IDENTIFIED IN THIS RELEASE WHICH
COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS TO DIFFER BEFORE MAKING AN INVESTMENT DECISION.
Consolidated statement of comprehensive income
For the year ended 31 December 2020
2020 2019
$m $m
Gross premiums written 814.1 706.7
Outwards reinsurance premiums (294.7) (282.0)
Net premiums written 519.4 424.7
Change in unearned premiums (51.5) (35.8)
Change in unearned premiums on premiums ceded 7.9 32.8
Net premiums earned 475.8 421.7
Net investment income 29.0 37.7
Net other investment income 6.5 8.0
Net realised gains (losses) and impairments 12.8 8.9
Share of profit of associate 10.7 5.9
Other income 15.3 11.4
Net foreign exchange gains (losses) 1.4 (1.5)
Total net revenue 551.5 492.1
Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses 363.6 264.5
Insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses recoverable (79.8) (134.7)
Net insurance acquisition expenses 115.0 105.4
Equity based compensation 12.3 9.6
Other operating expenses 114.4 106.0
Total expenses 525.5 350.8
Results of operating activities 26.0 141.3
Financing costs 20.1 21.8
Profit before tax 5.9 119.5
Tax charge (1.4) (1.3)
Profit after tax 4.5 118.2
Non-controlling interests (0.3) (0.3)
Profit after tax attributable to Lancashire 4.2 117.9
Net change in unrealised gains/losses on investments 20.8 28.6
Tax charge on net change in unrealised gains/losses on investments (0.7) (0.8)
Other comprehensive income 20.1 27.8
Total comprehensive income attributable to Lancashire 24.3 145.7
Net loss ratio 59.6 % 30.8 %
Net acquisition cost ratio 24.2 % 25.0 %
Administrative expense ratio 24.0 % 25.1 %
Combined ratio 107.8 % 80.9 %
Basic earnings per share $ 0.02 $ 0.59
Diluted earnings per share $ 0.02 $ 0.58
Change in FCBVS 10.2 % 14.1 %
Consolidated balance sheet
As at 31 December 2020
2020 2019
$m $m
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 432.4 320.4
Accrued interest receivable 8.0 7.2
Investments 1,856.0 1,525.1
Inwards premiums receivable from insureds and cedants 371.9 350.5
Reinsurance assets
- Unearned premiums on premiums ceded 97.4 89.5
- Reinsurance recoveries 338.7 327.5
- Other receivables 31.1 16.9
Other receivables 27.3 51.7
Investment in associate 127.2 108.3
Property, plant and equipment 0.7 1.2
Right-of-use asset 16.1 18.2
Deferred acquisition costs 89.0 81.7
Intangible assets 154.5 154.5
Total assets 3,550.3 3,052.7
Liabilities
Insurance contracts
- Losses and loss adjustment expenses 952.8 874.5
- Unearned premiums 457.9 406.4
- Other payables 22.5 27.4
Amounts payable to reinsurers 151.7 126.6
Deferred acquisition costs ceded 19.6 17.6
Other payables 46.1 47.5
Corporation tax payable 1.5 2.4
Deferred tax liability 10.9 9.6
Interest rate swap — 1.1
Lease liability 20.9 21.9
Long-term debt 327.5 323.5
Total liabilities 2,011.4 1,858.5
Shareholders’ equity
Share capital 122.0 101.5
Own shares (21.2) (13.3)
Other reserves 1,221.6 881.3
Accumulated other comprehensive income 33.6 13.5
Retained earnings 182.5 210.6
Total shareholders’ equity attributable to equity shareholders of Lancashire 1,538.5 1,193.6
Non-controlling interest 0.4 0.6
Total shareholders’ equity 1,538.9 1,194.2
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity 3,550.3 3,052.7
Basic book value per share $6.36 $5.92
Fully converted book value per share $6.28 $5.84
Consolidated statement of cash flows
For the year ended 31 December 2020
2020 2019
$m $m
Cash flows from operating activities
Profit before tax 5.9 119.5
Tax paid (1.6) (2.1)
Depreciation 3.3 3.9
Interest expense on long-term debt 15.7 18.5
Interest expense on finance leases 1.3 1.3
Interest and dividend income (36.9) (39.7)
Net amortisation of fixed maturity securities 4.9 (1.3)
Equity based compensation 12.3 9.6
Foreign exchange (gains) losses (3.2) 2.5
Share of profit of associate (10.7) (5.9)
Net other investment income (7.4) (8.8)
Net realised (gains) losses and impairments (12.8) (8.9)
Net unrealised losses on interest rate swaps (1.1) 0.7
Changes in operational assets and liabilities
- Insurance and reinsurance contracts 84.5 (46.0)
- Other assets and liabilities 26.7 (8.8)
Net cash flows from operating activities 80.9 34.5
Cash flows (used in) from investing activities
Interest and dividends received 39.9 41.1
Purchase of property, plant and equipment — (1.1)
Purchase of underwriting capacity — (0.7)
Investment in associate (8.2) (35.3)
Purchase of investments (1,129.7) (948.3)
Proceeds on sale of investments 837.9 1,127.7
Net cash flows (used in) from investing activities (260.1) 183.4
Cash flows from (used in) financing activities
Interest paid (15.9) (18.5)
Lease liabilities paid (3.5) (3.6)
Proceeds from issuance of common shares 340.3 —
Dividends paid (32.3) (30.2)
Dividends paid to minority interest holders (0.5) —
Distributions by trust (0.8) (1.3)
Net cash flows from (used in) financing activities 287.3 (53.6)
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents 108.1 164.3
Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of year 320.4 154.6
Effect of exchange rate fluctuations on cash and cash equivalents 3.9 1.5
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period 432.4 320.4
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