Calling all deep value investors :-)
UK stock Currys (CURY.L) appears to have very healthy value accounting ratios AND good intrinsic/fair values …
What are your thoughts? Would you buy? If not, why not? :-)
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Calling all deep value investors :-)
UK stock Currys (CURY.L) appears to have very healthy value accounting ratios AND good intrinsic/fair values …
What are your thoughts? Would you buy? If not, why not? :-)
Just had a very quick look and I would avoid due to liquidity ratios. Revenue is predicted to reduce by around £500M in 2022 (estimate). Public Short notifications have increased from December to 3.36% (0.79% - 15/12/21, 0.5% - 20/12/21 & 2.07% - 4/1/22). On top of this they're likely experiencing international supply chain issues, the threat of COVID-19 and the Omicron variant and the tighter squeeze on UK consumer pockets with rising prices of (inflation & energy prices) etc - Technology also being the highest depreciating asset out there, which is what Currys business model is based on selling and they are heavily dependent on consumer electronic sales, to produce revenue. One could argue that the chip supply shortage has been created due to high demand in electronic goods, but if those electronic goods remain on the shelf then this creates a blow.
On the 15/12/21 Currys stated themselves that "consumer demand had softened in the run up to christmas". - Therefore, I would speculate that their immediate outlook becomes more uncertain.
Unfortunately, my view is that of increased pessimism and I would welcome any other views - However, I would personally avoid at this time.
I would also avoid, from a technical perspective price is in a down trend and has failed to hold the 38.2% Fibonacci level from its recent rise on the monthly tf.
UPDATE:
14/01/22 - Profit Warning
FY profit forecast down to £155M from last months profit guidance of £160M… Like for like revenues fell 5% in the 10 weeks to January 2022. Reporting that it is a “challenging” technology market at Christmas with uneven customer demand and supply disruption.
Furthermore, The CEO said "The direction is definitely inflationary. That's one of the contributors ... also to the uncertainty in the outlook because consumers are keeping a close eye on the cost of living at the moment”.
Current short positions are:
Net short positions have increased to 4.03% (14/01/2022)
-BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited - 0.79% (15/12/21)
-GLG Partners LP - 2.10% - (12/01/22)
-Marshall Wace LLP - 0.60% - (01/11/22)
-SFM UK Management LLP - 0.54% (01/12/22)
Current share price fell 6.85% on the news; furthermore, it is currently down now 11.50% year to day (January 2022).
Take care,
GI
Might be one to watch on as I suspect when the FY results come through the price will drop even further.