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Earnings Poll: Alior Bank Q1 net profit seen down nearly 20% y/y

Alior Bank first quarter results due April 24

Net profit forecast at 383 million zlotys, down nearly 20% y/y

April 23 (Reuters) - Polish lender Alior Bank ALRR.WA is expected to report a first-quarter net profit of 383 million zlotys ($106 million), down nearly 20% from a year earlier, driven mainly by a corporate income tax hike for banks and falling interest rates, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday.

The bank's net interest income is forecast to fall by over 4% year-on-year to 1.23 billion zlotys, as Poland's central bank enacted multiple rate cuts starting in May 2025, bringing the benchmark down to 3.75% from 5.75% by March 2026.

Net fee and commission income is expected to rise by almost 8% to 225 million zlotys.

(Figures in millions of zlotys unless stated otherwise)

        FIRST QUARTER OF 2026

Net profitNet Interest IncomeNet Fee Income
Median3831229225
Average3821234225
Lowest3681227219
Highest3961252230
No. of forecasts444
Q1 20254761285209
Q4 20256881265240
Forecasts provided by: Erste Group Research, Trigon DM, BM Millennium, DM BOS ($1 = 3.6278 zlotys) (Reporting by Rafal Nowak in Gdansk Editing by Kim Coghill) ((RafalWojciech.Nowak@thomsonreuters.com; +48 58 769 66 63;))

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