* A $2.7 bln proposal for creditors to swap debt to equity
* Central bank preparing regulations to allow debt-to-equity
swaps
* Investors worry banks may be saddled with sub-standard
equity
By Saikat Chatterjee
HONG KONG, March 23 (Reuters) - Shareholders of heavily
indebted China Huarong Energy Ltd 1101.HK will vote Thursday
on a ground-breaking debt-for-equity swap plan that has stoked
concern about the implications for Chinese banks taking on risky
equity stakes.
China's central bank is preparing regulations to allow banks
to swap debt for equity. Up until now, lenders have only done so
through investment units using opaque channels. A deal for
Huarong would be the first known instance of a swap at a listed
firm and is expected to pave the way for a raft of other
debt-laden companies to follow suit.
Allowing banks to exchange debt for equity would help their
balance sheets in the short-term by putting a lid on
non-performing loans which have grown to decade highs.
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But it also opens what some analysts and investors say is a
dangerous door to Chinese banks investing in weak non-financial
firms, as they would be saddling themselves with sub-standard
equity stakes that would likely be worth less than debt in the
event of bankruptcies.
That is very different from the status quo where lenders are
only allowed to invest in financial firms.
"I can't see this being positive for the banks any way you
slice it," said a fund manager at an Asian fund, declining to be
identified as he was not authorised to speak to the media.
"If banks are being forced to convert more of these dud
loans into equity, we may be looking at massive bank capital
injections down the line," he added.
Huarong has proposed creditors would swap 17.8 billion yuan
($2.7 billion) in debt for nearly 90 percent of the company.
Minority shareholders will see their combined holdings shrink to
7 percent from 64 percent.
The banks, whose names have not been disclosed, are expected
to accept it as they would little chance otherwise of recovering
their loans, analysts have said. Shareholders are also expected
to vote in favour as it lowers the position of creditors to a
similar footing to other stakeholders, even though minority
holdings would be drastically diluted.
Analysts note that under mainland regulations, exposure to
equities carries higher risk-weighted capital on balance sheets,
sometimes four to 12 times that of loans.
They add that banks can also unload bad loans to state-owned
asset management companies like Cinda Asset Management 1359.HK
but it is not clear how they would realistically offload
unattractive equity stakes.
Since making its transition from the troubled shipping
industry to energy last year, Huarong has seen 80 percent of its
market capitalisation wiped out, compared with a 28 percent
decline for the benchmark Hong Kong index .HSI in the same
period.
Losses from operating activities have grown in recent years
and debt has increased. The company owes 22.4 billion yuan to
creditors, 80 percent of which is either overdue or due over the
next 12 months.
David Yin, an assistant vice president at ratings agency
Moody's Investors Service, said he was particularly keen to see
how many other firms would follow in Huarong's footsteps.
($1 = 6.4922 Chinese yuan)
(Reporting by Saikat Chatterjee; Editing by Anne Marie Roantree
and Edwina Gibbs)
((annemarie.roantree@thomsonreuters.com; +852 97387151; Reuters
Messaging: annemarie.roantree.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net))
Keywords: HUARONG ENERGY DEBT/