** Analysts at Jefferies assume a high probability of Paine
Schwartz Partners (PSP) moving to a binding bid on current terms
for Australia's leading horticulture firm Costa Group CGC.AX
** Earlier this month, Costa gave PSP access to its books
after the latter's A$1.39 bln ($927.41 mln) indicative offer for
shares it does not already own
** Jefferies upgrades PT to A$3.15 from A$2.40, reflecting
minimal risk to deal completion
** Brokerage notes CGC has been materially affected in the
past 3-5 years by extreme climate conditions
** If conditions continue to normalise with El Niño, then
PSP may have timed its bid extremely well - Jefferies
** Brokerage estimates 1H23 net profit after tax before
SGARA of A$63 mln vs A$49.2 mln reported last year
** CGC stock up 18.9% YTD, as of last close
(Reporting by Himanshi Akhand in Bengaluru)
((Himanshi.Akhand@thomsonreuters.com;))