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Live Markets: Insurers: Not cheap, but still in play

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INSURERS: NOT CHEAP, BUT STILL IN PLAY

European insurers have been standout performers over the past few years. Even after a 17% surge so far in 2025 and with the sector no longer cheap, Berenberg says there's still value to be found.

At 11.5 times forward earnings - one standard deviation above the historical mean - the German bank notes that the sector is trading at "levels some investors perceive as high".

Yet sustained, albeit moderating, earnings growth, strong solvency levels, and attractive capital distributions make Berenberg analysts upbeat about what lies ahead.

"We believe that the sector can continue to push the valuation boundaries," they say. "Excess capital remains largely untapped, providing further valuation support".

Berenberg sees scope for 6–9% annual EPS growth over the next two years, driven by a mix of factors including GDP growth and consolidation-driven margin gains. That could support a total dividend and buyback yield  of around 7% over the same period, with solvency ratios averaging a robust 222%.

The bank's top picks include ASR ASRNL.AS, Phoenix PHNX.L, SCOR SCOR.PA, Swiss Re SRENH.S, Beazley BEZG.L, Sabre SBRE.L, AXA AXAF.PA and Allianz ALVG.DE.

(Danilo Masoni)

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EARLIER ON LIVE MARKETS:

TARIFF HIT TO ASIAN PMIS MUTED FOR NOW, SAY HSBC CLICK HERE

STOXX 600 EDGES UP, SANOFI AND JET2 WEIGH  CLICK HERE

BEFORE THE BELL: EUROPEAN FUTURES STEADY CLICK HERE

RELIEF AS JAPAN DEBT AUCTION SAILS THROUGH CLICK HERE

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