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RNS Number : 4231M Utilico Emerging Markets Trust PLC 11 January 2023
11 January 2023
UTILICO EMERGING MARKETS TRUST PLC
(LEI Number: 2138005TJMCWR2394O39)
Publication of monthly factsheet
The latest monthly factsheet for Utilico Emerging Markets Trust plc ("UEM" or
the "Company") will shortly be available through the Company's website at:
https://www.uemtrust.co.uk/investor-relations/factsheet-archive
(https://www.uemtrust.co.uk/investor-relations/factsheet-archive)
Monthly commentary
PERFORMANCE
In December, UEM's NAV total return decreased by 0.9%, although this was an
outperformance against the MSCI Emerging Markets total return Index which fell
by 2.7% in Sterling terms for the month. For the year to 31 December 2022,
UEM's NAV total return increased by 2.9%, significantly outperforming the MSCI
Emerging Markets total return Index which fell 10.6% over the same period.
Global markets in December were generally weaker, with the Federal Reserve
raising rates by 50bps to 4.5% and the committee gave a hawkish outlook
indicating continued monetary tightening throughout 2023. The European Central
Bank and Bank of England also raised rates in December. China suddenly and
surprisingly dropped its zero Covid policy, anecdotally triggering a large
wave of Covid infections although this was not reflected in official figures.
We expect a short period of disruption but ultimately a return towards
normality after three years of travel and other restrictions, giving rise to
consumer demand.
A mild start to the winter in Europe eased concerns over potential natural gas
shortages and fuel prices generally weakened, which, if sustainable, should
help ease inflationary pressures in the coming months. In Brazil, there was
some volatility as investors digested what the new Lula administration might
look like.
Developed markets were generally weak, with the S&P 500 declining by 5.9%
during December, the Eurostoxx down 4.3% and the FTSE 100 down by 1.6%. Many
of the EM indices also declined with the Brazilian Bovespa down by 2.4%, the
Indian Sensex down by 3.6%, the Mexican IPC down by 6.2% and the Vietnam Ho
Chi Minh down by 3.9%.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index advanced by 6.4% although the Shanghai
Composite was weaker by 2.0% for December. There were modest gains of 2.0% and
0.4% respectively in the Thai SET and Bursa Malaysia Indices.
The US Dollar continued to weaken, losing 1.0% of its value against Sterling
and the Euro continued its recovery, gaining 2.6% against Sterling. EM
currencies were mixed, with the Chilean Peso gaining 4.2% against Sterling and
the Vietnamese Dong gaining 3.5%. The Indian Rupee weakened by 2.5% and the
Brazilian Real by 1.4% against Sterling for December.
PORTFOLIO
Performance across the portfolio in December was mixed with some significant
positive and negative moves, which appear predominantly driven by sentiment in
specific countries.
There were three changes within the top thirty with Umeme, Chindata and TAV
replacing Adani Ports, TTS and Vamos. Umeme is the main Ugandan electricity
distribution company, in which UEM has been invested since the IPO over ten
years ago. Chindata operates energy efficient data centres in China,
Malaysia, India and Thailand with Bytedance (owner of the Tik Tok social media
platform and Douyin, its Chinese equivalent) as its principal customer. TAV
operates airports in Turkey and internationally.
Companies that posted strong share price gains in December included Umeme, up
by 31.0%. In December, the Ugandan government formally notified Umeme that its
concession, which expires in 2025, would not be renewed. Umeme is
contractually entitled to compensation for unrecovered investment which
amounts to approximately three times the current market capitalisation.
Other strong gainers in the month included China Gas Holdings, which continued
its recovery, up by 14.7%. InPost's share price was up by 12.1% reflecting
improved sentiment, Chindata was up 11.3% after strong results in November and
Engie Energia Chile's share price was up by 6.6%.
Stocks that weakened materially were in Brazil and Mexico. Orizon's share
price declined by 13.7% and Eletrobras was down by 11.9%. The Mexican
airports, GAP and OMA both declined by 10.4%, reflecting weakness in the
Mexican stock market.
During December, purchases for the portfolio totalled £6.7m and realisations
totalled £5.0m.
DEBT
UEM's bank debt increased marginally to £26.1m from £25.7m reflecting
exchange rate movements with £18.6m drawn in Euros (EUR 21.0m) and £7.5m in
US Dollars (USD 9.0m).
OTHER
UEM's share price ended December at 209.00p, up by 1.0% over the month and in
addition shareholders received a 2.15p quarterly interim dividend during
December.
The discount to NAV narrowed to 13.3% from 15.7%. During December, UEM bought
back 0.2m shares at an average price of 204.29p.
Name of contact and telephone number for enquiries:
ICM Investment Management
Limited
+44(0)1372 271486
Charles Jillings / Alastair Moreton
Montfort Communications
Gay Collins, Pippa Bailey
+44(0)20 3770 7913
utilico@montfort.london
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