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Earnings Poll: Alior Bank Q2 net profit seen down 30% y/y

EARNINGS POLL-Alior Bank Q2 net profit seen down 30% y/y

Q2 results due August 4

Net profit forecast at 448 million zlotys, down 30% y/y

- Polish lender Alior Bank ALRR.WA is expected to report a second-quarter net profit of 448 million zlotys ($120 million), down 30% from a year earlier, driven by a corporate income tax hike on banks, falling interest rates, and higher loan-loss and legal provisions, a Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The bank's net interest income is forecast to edge down 2.6% year-on-year to 1.26 billion zlotys, as Poland's central bank cut rates several times from May 2025, bringing the benchmark down to 3.75% from 5.75% by March 2026.

Net fee and commission income is expected to rise almost 4% to 231 million zlotys.


(Figures in millions of zlotys unless stated otherwise)

SECOND QUARTER OF 2026


Net Interest Income

Net Fee & Commission Income

Net Profit

Median

1256

231

448

Average

1210

229

422

Lowest

1094

223

338

Highest

1275

234

488

No. of forecasts

6

6

6

Q2 2025

1289

222

640

Q1 2026

1248

221

403

Forecasts provided by: Trigon DM, BM Millennium, mBank, PKO BP, DM BOS, Erste Group Research

($1 = 3.7323 zlotys)


(Reporting by Rafal Nowak in Gdansk
Editing by Louise Heavens)

((RafalWojciech.Nowak@thomsonreuters.com; +48 58 769 66 63;))

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