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HDFC Securities initiates India's alcohol industry; prefers Radico Khaitan, United Spirits

BUZZ-HDFC Securities initiates India's alcohol industry; prefers Radico Khaitan, United Spirits

** HDFC Securities starts coverage of India's alcoholic beverages sector, saying it is entering a decade of structural change, driven by regulatory shifts, demographics and premiumization

** Rates Radico Khaitan RADC.NS, United Spirits UNSP.NS and Tilaknagar Industries TILK.NS with "Buy"; PTs at 5,300 rupees, 1,750 rupees and 700 rupees, respectively

** Starts Allied Blenders and Distillers ALLE.NS with "Add", PT at 685 rupees; United Breweries UBBW.NS with "Reduce", PT at 1,325 rupees

** Sees UNSP benefiting from Indian spirits growth and parent Diageo's DGE.L premium global portfolio

** Says RADC's enhanced execution will continue to get regulatory support; potential market openings in Bihar and Tamil Nadu state could support growth and margins

** Expects TILK to accelerate premium-and-above innovation and brand investment, aided by debt repayment

** Says ALLE needs to diversify growth beyond a single brand

** Remains cautious on UBBW due to competition, regulatory hurdles and supply rebalancing


(Reporting by Mridula Kumar in Bengaluru)

((Mridula.Kumar@thomsonreuters.com;))

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