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Alstom H1 adjusted EBIT margin falls on project delays; cuts FY 2026 outlook

Alstom H1 adjusted EBIT margin falls on project delays; cuts FY 2026 outlook 


Overview

  • France-based rail equipment maker's preliminary H1 sales rose 3% yr/yr to €9.3 bln

  • Adjusted EBIT margin fell to around -4%, hit by execution issues and project delays

  • Company cut FY 2026/27 guidance for sales growth, EBIT margin, and free cash flow


Outlook

  • Alstom lowers FY 2026/27 car production forecast to around 4,000 from 4,400-4,500 previously

  • Company now sees FY 2026/27 organic sales growth at low- to mid-single digit, down from around 5%

  • Alstom cuts FY 2026/27 adjusted EBIT margin forecast to around 1% from 6.5% previously


Result Drivers

  • CORADIA MAX ISSUES - Production and profitability were hit by execution challenges and extended homologation timelines for the Coradia Max platform

  • GERMANY PROJECTS - Gross margin adjustments and delays on projects executed for, and from, Germany weighed on results

  • PROJECT REVIEWS - Strengthened project reviews identified further execution risks and additional work, affecting margins and timelines


Company press release: ID:nGNELfvx6


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

H1 Sales

EUR 9.30 bln

H1 Free Cash Flow

-EUR 1.25 bln

H1 Orders

EUR 11 bln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 8 "strong buy" or "buy", 7 "hold" and 3 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the heavy machinery & vehicles peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Alstom SA is €19.50, about 23.3% above its October 30 closing price of €15.81

  • The stock recently traded at 9 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 9 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Oct 30 - Earnings give European auto stocks respite as China reshapes the industry

  • Oct 30 - Fugro third-quarter core profit slumps on pricing pressure, Middle East costs


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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