Carlsberg listing makes most of Indian froth
10/04/2026 13:00
The author is a Reuters Breakingviews columnist. The opinions expressed are her own. By Ujjaini Dutta BENGALURU, April 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) - As India’s busiest beer season approaches, Carlsberg CARLb.CO is readying its taps. The Tuborg-maker is preparing a $700 million listing of its India arm in a market that offers room for growth at a time when the brewer is grappling with high debt and sluggish beer sales in the West. A premium valuation, possible in a country where wealthy drinkers are trading up, could help the brewer pay down its chunky deal-making tab. Carlsberg has spent 20 years building its India business. The $18 billion brewer reckons its high-end Tuborg brand is the “most-consumed” in the world’s fourth-largest economy. It has also seen its share of the 639 billion rupees ($6.86 billion) beer market increase to 22% from just about 5% in 2011. But debt has been hanging over the brewer since its $4 billion acquisition of soft drinks maker Britvic in 2024. Since that deal, its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio roughly doubled to 3.25 in the year ended December 2025, well above its 2.5 target. An India listing gives Carlsberg a shot at a richer valuation that can help bring down this debt. Carlsberg trades at about 13 times its expected earnings this year, trailing rival Anheuser-Busch InBev’s ABI.BR over 17 times. Heineken HEIN.AS-owned United Breweries UBBW.NS in India, by comparison, trades at 80 times. That valuation gap is not unique: Nestlé India NEST.NS at 73, Hindustan Unilever HLL.NS at 47 and LG Electronics India LGEL.NS at 54 trade at multiples higher than their parent companies. Carlsberg can also use the proceeds from the listing to help fund its expansion plans in India. The growing beer market looks compelling as booze loses pull in ageing, health-conscious populations in Europe and North America. India's beer consumption is still very low - just 2 litres per person annually, according to market research firm IMARC Group. That's far below consumption levels in the U.S. and Europe, suggesting significant room for growth. Meanwhile, the market is expected to grow over 5% annually, compared to Europe’s 2% and North America’s 4%, amid a surge of demand from affluent Indians. Still, India won’t be an easy win. The sector faces complex state regulations, high levies, and increasing competition from local beer makers and giants like United Breweries and AB InBev. United Breweries, India’s listed beer market leader, is also pushing further into the premium segment in a bid to restore its net profit margin which has halved since 2019. But a local listing will hand Carlsberg's CEO Jacob Aarup-Andersen a currency to strike deals in the country. And with a lighter debt load, he has a shot at growing beyond India too. Follow Ujjaini Dutta on LinkedIn and X. CONTEXT NEWS Carlsberg CEO Jacob Aarup-Andersen on February 4 said that the company was exploring a potential listing of its India business. Carlsberg has appointed three banks - Kotak Mahindra Capital Co. and the local units of JPMorgan Chase & Co and Citigroup - for the potential listing of its India arm, Bloomberg reported on February 23, citing people familiar with the matter. This offering could raise as much as $700 million. A draft red herring prospectus could be filed as early as May. Carlsberg's debt increased after its Britvic acquisition https://www.reuters.com/graphics/BRV-BRV/zdpxgajmbvx/chart.png Foreign companies’ Indian arms trade at higher multiples than the parent https://www.reuters.com/graphics/BRV-BRV/jnpwrlkmqvw/chart.png (Editing by Aimee Donnellan; Production by Aditya Srivastav) ((For previous columns by the author, Reuters customers can click on DUTTA/ujjaini.dutta@thomsonreuters.com))