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REG - ASA Intnl. Grp PLC - ASA International February 2022 business update

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RNS Number : 5096F  ASA International Group PLC  22 March 2022

    Press release

 

ASA International Group plc February 2022 business update

Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 22 March 2022 - ASA International, ('ASA
International', the 'Company' or the 'Group'), one of the world's largest
international microfinance institutions, today provides the following update
of the impact of Covid-19 on its business operations as at 28 February 2022.

·    Liquidity remains high with approximately USD 103m of unrestricted
cash and cash equivalents across the Group.

·    The pipeline of funding deals under negotiation totalled
approximately USD 211m.

·    With the exception of India and Myanmar, all other operating
subsidiaries continued to achieve collection efficiency of more than 90% and 9
countries achieved more than 95%.

·    India collections remained at 76%, due to the substantial overdue
collections and moratoriums provided to clients. Collection efficiency,
excluding instalments due from clients receiving the one-time loan
restructuring offered by the Reserve Bank of India ('RBI'), increased to 102%.

·    Collections in Myanmar decreased to 72%, due to the ongoing conflict
and an internet and electricity outage in the conflict affected areas.

·    The benchmark PAR>30 for the Group, including off-book loans and
excluding loans overdue more than 365 days, slightly increased from 6.4% to
6.8%, primarily due to the end of the moratoriums in Myanmar, and PAR>90
decreased from 4.0% to 3.5%.

·    The PAR>30 for the Group's operating subsidiaries, excluding India
and Myanmar, slightly increased from 1.8% to 1.9%.

·    Excluding all loans which have been overdue for more than 180 days
and, as a result, have been fully provided for, PAR>30 increased from 3.8%
to 4.6%.

·    Disbursements as percentage of collections exceeded 100% in 6
countries. The decreasing percentage in India was primarily due to the
strategic decision to reduce disbursements.

·    With the number of clients broadly stable at 2.4m (slightly higher
than in January and 2.9% lower than in February 2021), and the continuing
strategic focus in India on only collections, Gross OLP decreased to USD 424m
(0.2% lower than in January 2022 and 7% lower than in February 2021).

·    The moratorium amount decreased to USD 23.8m, and is composed of the
restructured loans of certain distressed clients in India as per the RBI
guidelines. No other operating subsidiary granted moratoriums.

 

Health impact of COVID-19 on staff and clients

 

·    Since March 2020, the number of staff members confirmed as infected
by Covid increased to 549 of over 12,800 staff, with two deaths. Confirmed
infections amongst 2.4m clients increased to 22,791 from 21,659 in the
previous month, resulting in 697 deaths since the start of the pandemic. Of
the 697 client deaths across the Group, 451 took place in Myanmar, with no
deaths occurring in February 2022.

 

Funding

·    Unrestricted cash and cash equivalents remained high at approximately
USD 103m.

·    The Company secured approximately USD 6m of new loans from local and
international lenders in February 2022.

·    The majority of the Company's USD 211m pipeline of future wholesale
loans are supported by (agreed) term sheets and/or draft loan documentation.
The terms and conditions of the remaining loans are being negotiated with
lenders.

Collection efficiency until 28 February 2022((1))

 Countries        Sep/21    Oct/21    Nov/21    Dec/21    Jan/22    Feb/22
 India            64%       70%       69%       74%       76%       76%
 Pakistan         99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       100%
 Sri Lanka        Nil((2))  91%       92%       94%       93%       93%
 The Philippines  96%       97%       97%       97%       98%       98%
 Myanmar          55%((3))  68%((3))  75%((3))  78%((3))  78%((3))  72%((3))
 Ghana            99%       100%      99%       99%       99%       99%
 Nigeria          95%       96%       97%       96%       95%       96%
 Sierra Leone     91%       93%       92%       92%       92%       92%
 Kenya            100%      100%      100%      100%      99%       100%
 Uganda           89%       94%       98%       100%      100%      100%
 Tanzania         100%      100%      100%      100%      100%      100%
 Rwanda           96%       97%       97%       97%       97%       97%
 Zambia           100%      99%       99%       99%       100%      100%
 ((1)) Collection efficiency refers to actual collections from clients divided
 by realizable collections for the period. It is calculated as follows: the sum
 of actual regular collections, actual overdue collections and actual advance
 payments divided by the sum of realizable regular collections, actual overdue
 collections and actual advance payments. Under this definition collection
 efficiency cannot exceed 100%.

 ((2)) The collection efficiency for 1-29 September 2021 is nil due to the
 lockdowns in Sri Lanka.

 ((3)) Collections are impacted by the ongoing lockdowns and civil unrest in
 some areas of our operations.

·    Collection efficiency across the Group increased or remained broadly
stable compared to the previous month in all countries.

·    Collections in India remained at 76%, due to the substantial overdue
collections and moratoriums provided to clients. Collection efficiency,
excluding instalments due from clients receiving the one-time loan
restructuring, increased to 102%.

·    Collection efficiency in India, including regular and overdue
collections as well as advance payments, increased to 101% as a percentage of
the regular, realizable collections, including advance payments. The
substantial difference is due to the Group's policy that any loan instalment
paid is first credited against the oldest outstanding amount overdue. This has
an adverse impact on India's monthly collection efficiency, which is further
aggravated by the relatively long duration of the loans disbursed in India.
This adjusted collection efficiency metric illustrates that most clients in
India continue to make payments on their loans due.

·    Collections in Myanmar decreased to 72%, due to the ongoing conflict
and an internet and electricity outage in the conflict affected areas.

 

Loan portfolio quality up to and including February 2022((5, 6, 7) )

                          Gross OLP (in USDm)                                                                 Non-overdue loans                         PAR>30 less PAR>180
                         Dec/21                    Jan/22                    Feb/22                          Dec/21      Jan/22      Feb/22            Dec/21        Jan/22        Feb/22
 India (total)                 113                       111                       107                       67.3%       68.8%       69.7%             12.3%         11.1%         10.2%
 Pakistan                        79                        81                        83                      99.7%       99.7%       99.7%             0.2%          0.2%          0.2%
 Sri Lanka                         8                         8                         8                     87.2%       85.3%       85.9%             3.6%          3.9%          4.1%
 Philippines                     47                        46                        47                      95.7%       94.9%       95.7%             2.3%          2.0%          1.9%
 Myanmar                         20                        21                        21                      97.8%       64.3%       58.5%             0.6%          1.0%          22.7%
 Ghana                           49                        46                        44                      99.3%       99.2%       99.3%             0.2%          0.3%          0.2%
 Nigeria                         40                        37                        37                      92.7%       90.9%       90.6%             2.8%          3.4%          3.6%
 Sierra Leone                      7                         7                         7                     87.4%       72.3%       71.1%             5.6%          6.5%          7.1%
 Kenya                           17                        17                        18                      98.6%       98.6%       98.6%             0.5%          0.5%          0.6%
 Uganda                          10                        10                        10                      89.8%       90.7%       91.7%             3.1%          1.9%          0.9%
 Tanzania                        35                        36                        37                      99.1%       99.1%       99.1%             0.2%          0.2%          0.1%
 Rwanda                            3                         3                         3                     92.9%       92.6%       92.4%             2.6%          3.0%          3.2%
 Zambia                            2                         2                         2                     98.2%       98.2%       97.7%             0.5%          0.5%          0.8%
 Group                         429                       425                       424                       89.1%       87.5%       87.7%             4.1%          3.8%          4.6%
                 PAR>30                                                                                 PAR>90                                    PAR>180

                Dec/21                Jan/22                    Feb/22                                 Dec/21      Jan/22      Feb/22            Dec/21       Jan/22        Feb/22
 India (total)  22.8%                 19.3%                     17.1%                                  14.1%       11.6%       9.9%              10.5%        8.2%          6.9%
 Pakistan       0.2%                  0.2%                      0.2%                                   0.2%        0.2%        0.1%              0.0%         0.0%          0.0%
 Sri Lanka      6.0%                  6.6%                      6.9%                                   4.0%        4.0%        4.3%              2.5%         2.8%          2.8%
 Philippines    2.5%                  2.5%                      2.7%                                   1.5%        1.9%        2.0%              0.3%         0.6%          0.8%
 Myanmar        1.1%                  1.6%                      23.3%                                  0.7%        1.0%        0.9%              0.5%         0.6%          0.5%
 Ghana          0.3%                  0.3%                      0.3%                                   0.2%        0.2%        0.2%              0.1%         0.1%          0.1%
 Nigeria        4.6%                  5.4%                      5.8%                                   3.1%        3.6%        3.8%              1.8%         2.0%          2.2%
 Sierra Leone   7.5%                  8.7%                      9.5%                                   4.0%        5.5%        6.2%              1.9%         2.2%          2.4%
 Kenya          1.1%                  1.0%                      1.1%                                   0.8%        0.8%        0.8%              0.5%         0.5%          0.5%
 Uganda         3.8%                  2.9%                      2.4%                                   3.4%        2.8%        2.3%              0.7%         0.9%          1.4%
 Tanzania       0.5%                  0.4%                      0.4%                                   0.4%        0.4%        0.3%              0.3%         0.3%          0.3%
 Rwanda         4.5%                  4.8%                      5.1%                                   3.2%        3.2%        3.3%              1.9%         1.8%          1.9%
 Zambia         0.7%                  0.8%                      1.1%                                   0.5%        0.5%        0.5%              0.2%         0.2%          0.3%
 Group          7.3%                  6.4%                      6.8%                                   4.6%        4.0%        3.5%              3.1%         2.6%          2.2%
 ( )

 ((5) ) Gross OLP includes the off-book BC and DA model, excluding interest
 receivable and before deducting ECL provisions and modification loss.

 ((6) ) PAR>x is the percentage of outstanding customer loans with at least
 one instalment payment overdue x days, excluding loans more than 365 days
 overdue, to Gross OLP including off-book loans. Loans overdue more than 365
 days now comprise 3% of the Gross OLP.

 ((7) ) The table "PAR>30 less PAR>180" shows the percentage of
 outstanding client loans with a PAR greater than 30 days, less those loans
 which have been fully provided for.

·    PAR>30 for the Group slightly increased to 6.8%, primarily due to
the portfolio deterioration in Myanmar as moratoriums were no longer provided
to clients with overdue loan payments.

·    PAR>30 for Sierra Leone increased to 9.5% due to the increased
OLP/client.

·    Credit exposure of the India off-book BC portfolio of USD 33.7m is
capped at 5%. The included off-book DA portfolio of USD 1.7m has no credit
exposure.

 

Disbursements vs collections of loans until 28 February 2022((8))

 Countries        Sep/21    Oct/21  Nov/21  Dec/21  Jan/22  Feb/22
 India            52%       39%     85%     88%     78%     65%
 Pakistan         100%      100%    98%     100%    100%    96%
 Sri Lanka        Nil((9))  86%     100%    113%    70%     115%
 The Philippines  89%       90%     90%     81%     80%     93%
 Myanmar          37%       73%     90%     95%     99%     99%
 Ghana            120%      111%    114%    108%    74%     110%
 Nigeria          110%      128%    134%    93%     71%     98%
 Sierra Leone     124%      112%    112%    110%    97%     102%
 Kenya            100%      96%     103%    55%     95%     101%
 Uganda           109%      115%    121%    69%     81%     112%
 Tanzania         100%      107%    109%    107%    114%    112%
 Rwanda           102%      101%    105%    98%     65%     80%
 Zambia           102%      110%    111%    109%    76%     80%
 ((8)) Disbursements vs collections refers to actual loan disbursements made to
 clients divided by total amounts collected from clients in the period.

 ((9)) Disbursements vs collections for September is nil due the nationwide
 lockdowns.

·    Disbursements as percentage of collections exceeded 100% in 6
countries. The decreasing percentage in India was primarily due to the
strategic decision to reduce disbursements.

 

Development of Clients and Outstanding Loan Portfolio( )until 28 February
2022

                   Clients (in thousands)           Delta                         Gross OLP (in USDm)           Delta
 Countries        Feb/21     Jan/22     Feb/22     Feb/21-Feb/22  Jan/22-Feb/22  Feb/21    Jan/22    Feb/22    Feb/21-Feb/22 USD  Feb/21-Feb/22 CC ((10))  Jan/22-Feb/22 USD
 India            729        521        498        -32%           -4%            166       111       107       -35%               -34%                     -3%
 Pakistan         432        520        530        23%            2%             69        81        83        20%                34%                      2%
 Sri Lanka        56         52         52         -7%            0%             9         8         8         -10%               -7%                      2%
 The Philippines  313        290        295        -6%            2%             50        46        47        -7%                -2%                      2%
 Myanmar          128        112        111        -13%           -1%            30        21        21        -30%               -11%                     1%
 Ghana            154        158        161        4%             2%             44        46        44        -1%                16%                      -5%
 Nigeria          256        246        245        -4%            0%             32        37        37        16%                27%                      -1%
 Sierra Leone     38         43         43         12%            -2%            5         7         7         38%                59%                      0%
 Kenya            99         118        120        22%            2%             14        17        18        27%                32%                      4%
 Uganda           81         92         93         15%            2%             8         10        10        29%                25%                      2%
 Tanzania         129        179        185        44%            4%             22        36        37        64%                64%                      3%
 Rwanda           18         18         18         -1%            -1%            3         3         3         18%                22%                      -1%
 Zambia           6          15         16         145%           3%             0.6       2         2         280%               210%                     2%
 Total            2,439      2,364      2,368      -2.9%          0.1%           453       425       424       -7%                1%                       -0.2%

( )

((10)) Constant currency ('CC') implies conversion of local currency results
to USD with the exchange rate from the beginning of the period.

·    With the number of clients broadly stable at 2.4m, and the continuing
strategic focus in India on only collections, Gross OLP decreased to USD 424m
(0.2% lower than in January 2022 and 7% lower than in February 2021).

 

Selected moratoriums((11)) on loan repayments until 28 February 2022

                   Clients under moratorium (in thousands)
 Countries        Dec/21          Jan/22          Feb/22          As % of Total Clients
 India            205             205             205             41%
 Pakistan         0               0               0               0%
 Sri Lanka        0               0               0               0%
 The Philippines  0               0               0               0%
 Myanmar          44              0               0               0%
 Ghana            0               0               0               0%
 Nigeria          0               0               0               0%
 Sierra Leone     0               0               0               0%
 Kenya            0               0               0               0%
 Uganda           0               0               0               0%
 Tanzania         0               0               0               0%
 Rwanda           0               0               0               0%
 Zambia           0               0               0               0%
 Total            249             205             205             9%

 

                   Moratorium amounts (USD thousands)
 Countries        Dec/21         Jan/22         Feb/22          February Moratoriums as % of OLP    As % of Total Moratoriums
 India            28,351         25,950         23,782         22%                                 100%
 Pakistan         0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Sri Lanka        0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 The Philippines  0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Myanmar          778            0              0              0%                                  0%
 Ghana            0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Nigeria          0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Sierra Leone     0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Kenya            0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Uganda           0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Tanzania         0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Rwanda           0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Zambia           0              0              0              0%                                  0%
 Total            29,129         25,950         23,782         6%                                  100%

((11)) Moratoriums relate to clients who have received an extension for the
payment of one or more loan instalments during the month.

·    Moratoriums on loan repayments relate primarily to approximately 41%
of clients in India, who accepted to benefit from the one-time debt
restructuring scheme established by the RBI and confirmed in September 2021.
See RBI Covid-19 Restructuring Guidelines
(https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/NotificationUser.aspx?Id=12086&Mode=0) .

·    The moratorium amount across the Group decreased to USD 23.8m, which
represents 6% of the Group's Gross OLP.

 

 

Key events in March 2022

·    On 14 March 2022, the RBI announced new regulation for the
microfinance sector in India, applicable to all banks, NBFC-MFIs and other
participants in the microfinance sector. The Group's preliminary assessment is
that this is a positive development for ASA India as it creates a level
playing field in the microfinance sector. The key changes include the removal
of the interest rate cap and margin cap, loans shall be collateral-free (also
for banks providing microfinance loans), and lenders will be restricted to
provide microfinance loans to clients up to a maximum of 50% of the client's
household income. See Reserve Bank of India - Notifications (rbi.org.in)
(https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/NotificationUser.aspx?Id=12256&Mode=0)

·    Other than the existing partial lockdown and curfews in Myanmar, the
Company is not aware of any further restrictions implemented in its operating
countries as a result of the emergence of the Omicron variant up until 17
March 2022.

 

Please note that, while the Company's operational performance appears to
gradually normalize in most countries except for India and Myanmar, the risk
of additional challenges to our operations should not be underestimated, due
to (i) the still relatively high infection rates, (ii) the current lack of
available vaccines as well as vaccine hesitancy in most of our operating
countries, (iii) the risk of the introduction of more infectious Covid
variants in our operating countries, and (iv) the associated disruption this
may cause to the businesses of our clients.

 

---

 

 

 

 

Enquiries:

ASA International Group plc

Investor
Relations
 
             +31 6 2030 0139

Véronique
Schyns
                vschyns@asa-international.com
(mailto:vschyns@asa-international.com)

 

About ASA International Group plc

ASA International Group plc (ASAI: LN) is one of the world's largest
international microfinance institutions, with a strong commitment to financial
inclusion and socioeconomic progress. The company provides small, socially
responsible loans to low-income, financially underserved entrepreneurs,
predominantly women, across South Asia, South East Asia, West and East Africa.

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