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REG - ASA Intnl. Grp PLC - October 2021 business update

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RNS Number : 7422S  ASA International Group PLC  18 November 2021

 

 

ASA International Group plc October 2021 business update

 

Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 18 November 2021 - ASA International, ('ASA
International', the 'Company' or the 'Group'), one of the world's largest
international microfinance institutions, today provides the following update
of the impact of Covid-19 on its business operations as at 31 October 2021.

·    Liquidity remains high with approximately USD 103m of unrestricted
cash and cash equivalents across the Group.

·    The pipeline of funding deals under negotiation totalled
approximately USD 198m.

·    With the exception of India and Myanmar, all other operating
companies achieved collection efficiency of more than 90%.

·    India collections improved to 70% from 64% in September as markets
recover from recent lockdowns. Collection efficiency, excluding instalments
due from clients receiving the one-time loan restructuring offered by the
Reserve Bank of India ('RBI'), decreased to 91%.

·    Sri Lanka collections resumed to 91% following the end of nationwide
lockdowns.

·    Collections in Myanmar improved to 68% from 55% in September despite
the partial lockdown imposed by the local government.

·    Uganda collections improved to 94% from 89% in September with fewer
local lockdowns and travel restrictions across the country.

·    Portfolio quality remained challenging, particularly in India.
However, the benchmark PAR>30 for the Group, including off-book loans and
excluding loans overdue more than 365 days, improved to 11.8% from 13.8% in
September, and PAR>90 improved to 8.6% from 10.2% in September.

·    Excluding all loans which have been overdue for more than 180 days
and, as a result, have been fully provided for, PAR>30 improved from 5.2%
in September to 4.8%.

·    The Group's operating subsidiaries, excluding India, the Philippines
and Myanmar, collectively have been able to reduce PAR>30 to 2.0%.

·    Disbursements as percentage of collections exceeded 100% in 7
countries with much lower percentages seen in India, Myanmar and Sri Lanka,
due to the ongoing disruptions to our clients' business activities resulting
from the high ongoing infection rates, which caused, amongst others,
additional lockdowns and other Covid-19 related restrictions.

·    The number of clients remained around 2.5m, while Gross OLP increased
to USD 440m (1% higher than in September 2021 and 2% higher than in October
2020).

·    The moratoriums granted in October amounted to USD 36.0m, primarily
due to the loan restructuring of certain distressed clients in India as per
the RBI guidelines.

 

Health impact of COVID-19 on staff and clients

 

·    Since March 2020, the number of staff members confirmed as infected
by Covid-19 increased to 443 of over 12,800 staff, with two deaths. Confirmed
infections amongst 2.5m clients increased to 19,458 from 18,218 in the
previous month, resulting in 676 deaths since the start of the pandemic. Of
the 676 client deaths across the Group, 451 are from Myanmar, with 7 of those
deaths occurring in October 2021.

 

Funding

·    Unrestricted cash and cash equivalents remained high at approximately
USD 103m.

·    The Company secured approximately USD 2m of new loans from local and
international lenders in October 2021.

·    The majority of the Company's USD 198m pipeline of future wholesale
loans are supported by (agreed) term sheets and/or draft loan documentation.
The terms and conditions of the remaining loans are being negotiated with
lenders.

 

Collection efficiency until 31 October 2021((1, 2))

 Countries        Jan/21    Feb/21    Mar/21    Apr/21    May/21    Jun/21    Jul/21    Aug/21    Sep/21    Oct/21
 India            82%       84%       87%       87%       67%       55%       58%       60%       64%       70%
 Pakistan         98%       99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       99%
 Sri Lanka        97%       90%       91%       93%       57%       76%((3))  76%       80%((3))  Nil((3))  91%
 The Philippines  75%       80%       85%       84%       89%       99%       100%      99%       96%       97%
 Myanmar          89%       78%       59%       55%       67%       70%       64%((4))  Nil((5))  55%((6))  68%
 Ghana            99%       100%      100%      100%      99%       99%       99%       99%       99%       100%
 Nigeria          95%       97%       96%       95%       94%       96%       96%       96%       95%       96%
 Sierra Leone     95%       89%       96%       93%       92%       94%       93%       92%       91%       93%
 Kenya            97%       98%       100%      100%      99%       99%       99%       99%       100%      100%
 Uganda           87%       93%       99%       100%      100%      95%       83%       84%       89%       94%
 Tanzania         99%       100%      100%      100%      100%      100%      100%      100%      100%      100%
 Rwanda           93%       91%       96%       95%       96%       96%       96%       94%       96%       97%
 Zambia           100%      100%      100%      100%      99%       100%      100%      99%       100%      99%
 ((1)) Collection efficiency refers to actual collections from clients divided
 by realizable collections for the period.

 ((2)) As of December 2020, the definition of collection efficiency has been
 amended in view of the increased amount of overdue collection and advance
 payments in various countries to: the sum of actual regular collections,
 actual overdue collections and actual advance payments divided by the sum of
 realizable regular collections, actual overdue collections and actual advance
 payments. This also means that collection efficiency no longer can exceed
 100%.

 ((3)) The collection efficiency for 1-15 June 2021, 20-31 August 2021, and
 1-30 September is nil due to the lockdowns in Sri Lanka. Only the collection
 efficiency for 16-30 June 2021 and 1-19 August 2021 is provided.

 ((4)) Collection efficiency for 1-16 July 2021. The collection efficiency for
 17-31 July is nil due to the holiday from 17 July to 1 August 2021, announced
 by the Myanmar Government, so only the collection efficiency for 1-16 July
 2021 is provided.

 ((5)) Collection efficiency for August 2021 is nil due to the stay-at-home
 policy from 1 August to 24 September 2021, announced by the Myanmar
 Government.

 ((6)) Collection for September 2021 is only from clients who opted to repay
 instalments despite the ongoing lockdowns.

·    Collection efficiency across the Group increased or remained broadly
stable compared to the previous month in all countries.

·    Collections in India improved to 70% as clients' businesses continue
to slowly recover from the impact of recent lockdowns in most states.
Collection efficiency, excluding instalments due from clients receiving the
one-time loan restructuring, decreased to 91%.

·    It is important to note that India's 70% collection efficiency does
not properly account for the significant amount of overdue collection.
Collection efficiency, including regular and overdue collections as well as
advance payments, amounts to 91.5% as a percentage of the regular, realizable
collections, including advance payments, in October. The substantial
difference is due to the Group's policy that any loan instalment paid is first
credited against the oldest outstanding amount overdue. This has an adverse
impact on India's monthly collection efficiency, which is further aggravated
by the relatively long duration of the loans disbursed in India.

·    Collections in Sri Lanka resumed to 91% following the end of
nation-wide lockdowns.

·    Myanmar collections improved to 68% despite the partial lockdown
imposed by the government.

·    In Uganda collections improved to 94% with fewer lockdowns and travel
restrictions in place.

Loan portfolio quality up to and including October 2021((7, 8, 9))

                 Gross OLP (in USDm)                                                   Non-overdue loans                     PAR>30 less PAR>180
                Aug/21                Sep/21                Oct/21                    Aug/21  Sep/21      Oct/21            Aug/21        Sep/21        Oct/21
 India (total)        140                   132                   125                 55.4%   56.9%       55.7%             14.6%         13.9%         13.3%
 Pakistan               74                    74                    76                98.4%   98.5%       99.6%             0.3%          0.3%          0.2%
 Sri Lanka                8                     8                     8               63.5%   79.4%       81.1%             8.2%          8.8%          6.4%
 Philippines            55                    54                    55                76.3%   76.4%       77.7%             1.9%          2.2%          2.4%
 Myanmar                23                    20                    20                98.8%   89.8%       98.6%             0.6%          0.3%          0.4%
 Ghana                  44                    46                    47                98.8%   99.1%       99.1%             0.3%          0.3%          0.3%
 Nigeria                34                    35                    37                88.6%   89.9%       90.5%             3.0%          3.0%          2.9%
 Sierra Leone             7                     7                     7               81.1%   80.2%       79.7%             2.6%          2.7%          3.2%
 Kenya                  18                    18                    19                90.1%   90.8%       91.1%             0.5%          0.5%          0.5%
 Uganda                   8                     9                   10                70.9%   79.6%       85.5%             8.7%          7.2%          5.5%
 Tanzania               28                    29                    31                98.0%   98.1%       98.3%             0.3%          0.3%          0.3%
 Rwanda                   3                     3                     3               85.8%   88.7%       90.9%             2.9%          2.9%          2.8%
 Zambia                   1                     1                     2               98.9%   98.9%       97.7%             0.5%          0.5%          0.5%
 Group                442                   437                   440                 79.6%   80.8%       82.0%             5.6%          5.2%          4.8%
                 PAR>30                                                                PAR>90                                       PAR>180

                Aug/21                Sep/21                Oct/21                    Aug/21        Sep/21      Oct/21             Aug/21        Sep/21        Oct/21
 India (total)  35.9%                 33.1%                 29.4%                     24.8%         23.2%       20.3%              21.3%         19.2%         16.0%
 Pakistan       1.0%                  0.8%                  0.3%                      0.8%          0.7%        0.2%               0.7%          0.5%          0.1%
 Sri Lanka      10.8%                 11.6%                 9.1%                      5.9%          7.0%        6.7%               2.6%          2.8%          2.8%
 Philippines    19.1%                 18.9%                 18.2%                     18.1%         17.3%       16.6%              17.2%         16.7%         15.8%
 Myanmar        1.0%                  1.0%                  1.0%                      0.9%          0.9%        0.8%               0.3%          0.7%          0.6%
 Ghana          0.4%                  0.3%                  0.3%                      0.2%          0.2%        0.2%               0.1%          0.0%          0.1%
 Nigeria        5.0%                  4.6%                  4.5%                      3.6%          3.2%        2.9%               2.0%          1.6%          1.6%
 Sierra Leone   4.4%                  4.4%                  5.1%                      3.0%          2.8%        3.2%               1.8%          1.8%          1.9%
 Kenya          6.4%                  3.1%                  1.6%                      6.2%          2.8%        1.3%               6.0%          2.6%          1.1%
 Uganda         20.1%                 16.3%                 10.6%                     11.6%         9.9%        7.1%               11.5%         9.1%          5.1%
 Tanzania       1.1%                  0.8%                  0.6%                      0.9%          0.7%        0.5%               0.8%          0.5%          0.3%
 Rwanda         8.7%                  8.1%                  6.4%                      7.4%          6.5%        4.6%               5.8%          5.2%          3.6%
 Zambia         1.1%                  1.0%                  0.8%                      1.0%          0.9%        0.4%               0.6%          0.6%          0.3%
 Group          15.3%                 13.8%                 11.8%                     11.3%         10.2%       8.6%               9.8%          8.6%          7.0%
 ( )

 ((7) ) Gross OLP includes the off-book BC and DA model, excluding interest
 receivable and before deducting ECL provisions and modification loss.

 ((8) ) PAR>x is the percentage of outstanding customer loans with at least
 one instalment payment overdue x days, excluding loans more than 365 days
 overdue, to Gross OLP including off-book loans. Loans more than 365 days now
 comprise 3% of the Gross OLP

 ((9) ) The table "PAR>30 less PAR>180" shows the percentage of
 outstanding client loans with a PAR greater than 30 days, less those loans
 which have been fully provided for.

·    PAR>30 for the Group improved to 11.8%, primarily due to the
marginal improvements in India, Sri Lanka, Kenya, Uganda, and Rwanda as well
as moratoriums granted in India and Myanmar.

 

·    Credit exposure of the India off-book BC portfolio of USD 33.1m is
capped at 5%. The included off-book DA portfolio of USD 2.0m has no credit
exposure.

Disbursements vs collections of loans until 31 October 2021((10))

 Countries        Jan/21  Feb/21  Mar/21  Apr/21  May/21     Jun/21  Jul/21  Aug/21     Sep/21     Oct/21
 India            90%     104%    131%    71%     3%         5%      25%     36%        52%        39%
 Pakistan         97%     99%     99%     102%    89%((11))  102%    98%     103%       100%       100%
 Sri Lanka        95%     116%    92%     43%     17%        0%      56%     87%        Nil((13))  86%
 The Philippines  113%    101%    96%     88%     91%        88%     87%     91%        89%        90%
 Myanmar          144%    55%     71%     30%     76%        87%     64%     Nil((12))  37%        73%
 Ghana            94%     112%    118%    99%     91%((11))  99%     85%     112%       120%       111%
 Nigeria          68%     105%    109%    109%    108%       109%    103%    104%       110%       128%
 Sierra Leone     89%     109%    110%    95%     101%       118%    119%    133%       124%       112%
 Kenya            97%     113%    107%    100%    100%       93%     107%    97%        100%       96%
 Uganda           46%     99%     99%     105%    99%        53%     60%     93%        109%       115%
 Tanzania         78%     97%     102%    107%    109%       96%     86%     91%        100%       107%
 Rwanda           60%     73%     86%     95%     106%       81%     61%     95%        102%       101%
 Zambia           137%    140%    115%    107%    142%       170%    103%    102%       102%       110%
 ((10)) Disbursements vs collections refers to actual loan disbursements made
 to clients divided by total loans collected from clients in the period.

 ((11)) Slowdown in disbursements due to official EID holidays in second week
 of May.

 ((12)) Disbursements vs collections for August is nil due to the stay-at-home
 policy announced by the Myanmar Government.

 ((13)) Disbursements vs collections for September is nil due the nationwide
 lockdowns.

·    With the business environment continuing to gradually improve in many
countries, disbursements of new loans continued to stabilise or increase as a
percentage of weekly collections, with the main exception of India, primarily
due to the slow recovery from the impact of lockdowns in most states.

 

Development of Clients and Outstanding Loan Portfolio( )until 31 October 2021

                   Clients (in thousands)           Delta                         Gross OLP (in USDm)           Delta
 Countries        Oct/20     Sep/21     Oct/21     Oct/20-Oct/21  Sep/21-Oct/21  Oct/20    Sep/21    Oct/21    Oct/20-Oct/21 USD  Oct/20-Oct/21 CC ((14))  Sep/21-Oct/21 USD
 India            713        663        645        -10%           -3%            167       132       125       -25%               -25%                     -5%
 Pakistan         409        495        493        20%            0%             58        74        76        30%                39%                      2%
 Sri Lanka        56         53         52         -8%            -1%            9         8         8         -11%               -3%                      1%
 The Philippines  278        345        349        25%            1%             48        54        55        14%                19%                      2%
 Myanmar          128        116        114        -11%           -2%            30        20        20        -35%               -9%                      2%
 Ghana            151        150        153        1%             2%             41        46        47        15%                20%                      2%
 Nigeria          228        253        256        12%            1%             29        35        37        29%                39%                      7%
 Sierra Leone     35         43         44         27%            2%             4         7         7         65%                80%                      1%
 Kenya            86         121        124        45%            3%             13        18        19        46%                49%                      2%
 Uganda           81         84         86         6%             3%             8         9         10        22%                16%                      10%
 Tanzania         108        161        166        53%            3%             20        29        31        51%                50%                      5%
 Rwanda           19         17         17         -7%            0%             3         3         3         23%                25%                      6%
 Zambia           5          12         13         154%           8%             0.4       1         2         329%               259%                     19%
 Total            2,297      2,513      2,511      9%             -0.1%          431       437       440       2%                 7%                       1%

( )

((14)) Constant currency ('CC') implies conversion of local currency results
to USD with the exchange rate from the beginning of the period.

·    With disbursements as percentage of collections stabilising or
exceeding 100% in many countries, Gross OLP increased to USD 440m (1% higher
than in September 2021 and 2% higher than in October 2020).

 

Selected moratoriums((15)) on loan repayments until 31 October 2021

                   Clients under moratorium (in thousands)
 Countries        Aug/21              Sep/21              Oct/21              As % of Total Clients
 India            230                 205                 205                 32%
 Pakistan         0                   0                   0                   0%
 Sri Lanka        7                   3                   5                   10%
 The Philippines  0                   0                   0                   0%
 Myanmar          56                  58                  54                  47%
 Ghana            0                   0                   0                   0%
 Nigeria          0                   0                   0                   0%
 Sierra Leone     0                   0                   0                   0%
 Kenya            0                   0                   0                   0%
 Uganda           0                   0                   0                   0%
 Tanzania         0                   0                   0                   0%
 Rwanda           0                   0                   0                   0%
 Zambia           0                   0                   0                   0%
 Total            293                 266                 264                 11%
                             Moratorium amounts (USD thousands)

 Countries                  Aug/21              Sep/21              Oct/21     October Moratoriums as % of OLP    As % of Total Moratoriums
 India                      46,076              43,757              34,988    28%                                97%
 Pakistan                   0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Sri Lanka                  85                  29                  71        0.9%                               0.2%
 The Philippines            0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Myanmar                    1,317               1,239               1,001     5%                                 3%
 Ghana                      0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Nigeria                    0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Sierra Leone               0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Kenya                      0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Uganda                     0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Tanzania                   0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Rwanda                     0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Zambia                     0                   0                   0         0%                                 0%
 Total                      47,478              45,024              36,060    8%                                 100%

( )

((15)) Moratoriums relate to clients who have received an extension for the
payment of one or more loan instalments during the month.

·    Moratoriums on loan repayments relate primarily to approximately 32%
of clients in India, who accepted to benefit from the one-time debt
restructuring scheme established by the RBI. See RBI Covid-19 Restructuring
Guidelines
(https://www.rbi.org.in/Scripts/NotificationUser.aspx?Id=12086&Mode=0) .

·    Moratoriums granted in Sri Lanka and Myanmar were due to disruption
in operations following national lockdowns.

 

·    The moratorium amount across the Group was USD 36.0m, which
represents 8% of the Group's Gross OLP.

Please note that, while the Company's operational performance appears to
gradually normalize in most countries except for India, Myanmar, Sri Lanka and
Uganda, the risk of additional challenges to our operations should not be
underestimated, as we have recently seen in for instance India and Myanmar,
due to (i) the still relatively high infection rates, (ii) the current lack of
available vaccines in most of our operating countries, (iii) the risk of the
introduction of more infectious COVID-19 variants in our operating countries
as have been observed in the United Kingdom, South Africa, Brazil, the
Philippines, Myanmar and India, and (iv) the associated disruption this may
cause to the businesses of our clients.

 

---

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Enquiries:

ASA International Group plc

Investor
Relations
 
             +31 6 2030 0139

Véronique Schyns
 
  vschyns@asa-international.com (mailto:vschyns@asa-international.com)

 

About ASA International Group plc

ASA International is one of the world's largest international microfinance
institutions, with a strong commitment to financial inclusion and
socioeconomic progress. The company provides small, socially responsible loans
to low-income, financially underserved entrepreneurs, predominantly women,
across South Asia, South East Asia, West and East Africa.

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