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EUROPEAN CHEMICALS STUCK IN LIMBO
In the face of the spectre of recession, the European
chemical sector has been victim of a long downturn since the
second half of last year, with multiple producers seeing a worse
earnings outcome in 2023.
Is 2024 expected to bring a sigh of relief?
"The customer destocking is in its final innings which sets
up the stage for a swift volume and earnings recovery for the
sector as and when the macro starts to improve over 2024",
J.P.Morgan analysts said in a note on Monday.
They also believe that the recovery will be more pronounced
at chemical producers than distributors as the former can
benefit more from improving volumes and higher net prices.
As clients are almost done with inventories reductions,
recent comments from chemical producers and distributors point
out that volumes have touched the lowest level, although demand
is still struggling to take off, the broker added.
It downgrades Dutch IMCD IMCD.AS to "underweight" from
"neutral" and also remains "underweight" on German Brenntag
BNRGn.DE , which will be under the spotlight on Tuesday as
investors await the result of a strategic review and the future
path of its two divisions during the firm's Capital Markets Day.
JPM stays "overweight" on Belgian Azelis AZE.BR as it sees
its valuation "too attractive", considering a free cash flow
yield estimates of 5.4% for FY, much above the other two
aforementioned peers.
(Matteo Allievi)
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