Picture of BH Macro logo

BHMG BH Macro News Story

0.000.00%
gb flag iconLast trade - 00:00
FinancialsConservativeMid CapNeutral

REG-BH Macro Limited: Monthly Shareholder Report - March 2016 <Origin Href="QuoteRef">BHMG.L</Origin>

BH MACRO LIMITED                                                    
                         MONTHLY SHAREHOLDER REPORT:                                         
                         MARCH 2016                                                          
                                                                                             
                         YOUR ATTENTION IS DRAWN TO THE DISCLAIMER AT THE END OF THIS        
                         DOCUMENT                                                            
                                                                                             

   

BH Macro        Overview                                                                           
Limited                                                                                            
                                                                                                   
Manager:        BH Macro Limited ("BHM") is a closed-ended investment company, registered and      
Brevan Howard   incorporated in Guernsey on 17 January 2007 (Registration Number: 46235).          
Capital         BHM invests all of its assets (net of short-term working capital) in the           
Management LP   ordinary shares of Brevan Howard Master Fund Limited (the "Fund").                 
("BHCM")        BHM was admitted to the Official List of the UK Listing Authority and to           
Administrator:  trading on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange on 14 March 2007.          
Northern Trust                                                                                     
International                                                                                      
Fund                                                                                               
Administration                                                                                     
Services                                                                                           
(Guernsey)                                                                                         
Limited                                                                                            
("Northern                                                                                         
Trust")         Total       $1,337 mm¹                                                             
Corporate       Assets:                                                                            
Broker:                                                                                            
J.P. Morgan                                                                                        
Cazenove                                                                                           
Listings:                                                                                          
London Stock                                                                                       
Exchange                                                                                           
(Premium                                                                                           
Listing)                                                                                           
NASDAQ Dubai -  1. As at 31 March 2016. Source: BHM's administrator, Northern Trust.               
USD Class                                                                                          
(Secondary                                                                                         
listing)                                                                                           
Bermuda Stock                                                                                      
Exchange                                                                                           
(Secondary                                                                                         
listing)                                                                                           
                                                                                                   
Summary         BH Macro Limited NAV per Share (as at 31 March 2016)                               
Information                                                                                        
                  Share    NAV (USD     NAV per                                                    
                  Class       mm)        Share                                                     
                                                                                                   
                   USD          308.4      $20.25                                                  
                 Shares                                                                            
                                                                                                   
                   EUR           80.4      €20.46                                                  
                 Shares                                                                            
                                                                                                   
                   GBP          948.1      £21.10                                                  
                 Shares                                                                            
                                                                                                   
                BH Macro Limited NAV per Share % Monthly Change                                    
                                                                                                   
                 USD   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   YTD 
                                                                                                   
                2007               0.10  0.90  0.15  2.29  2.56  3.11  5.92  0.03  2.96  0.75 20.27
                                                                                                   
                2008   9.89  6.70 -2.79 -2.48  0.77  2.75  1.13  0.75 -3.13  2.76  3.75 -0.68 20.32
                                                                                                   
                2009   5.06  2.78  1.17  0.13  3.14 -0.86  1.36  0.71  1.55  1.07  0.37  0.37 18.04
                                                                                                   
                2010  -0.27 -1.50  0.04  1.45  0.32  1.38 -2.01  1.21  1.50 -0.33 -0.33 -0.49  0.91
                                                                                                   
                2011   0.65  0.53  0.75  0.49  0.55 -0.58  2.19  6.18  0.40 -0.76  1.68 -0.47 12.04
                                                                                                   
                2012   0.90  0.25 -0.40 -0.43 -1.77 -2.23  2.36  1.02  1.99 -0.36  0.92  1.66  3.86
                                                                                                   
                2013   1.01  2.32  0.34  3.45 -0.10 -3.05 -0.83 -1.55  0.03 -0.55  1.35  0.40  2.70
                                                                                                   
                2014  -1.36 -1.10 -0.40 -0.81 -0.08 -0.06  0.85  0.01  3.96 -1.73  1.00 -0.05  0.11
                                                                                                   
                2015   3.14 -0.60  0.36 -1.28  0.93 -1.01  0.32 -0.78 -0.64 -0.59  2.36 -3.48 -1.42
                                                                                                   
                2016   0.71  0.73 -1.81                                                       -0.39
                                      *                                                           *
                                                                                                   
                 EUR   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   YTD 
                                                                                                   
                2007               0.05  0.70  0.02  2.26  2.43  3.07  5.65 -0.08  2.85  0.69 18.95
                                                                                                   
                2008   9.92  6.68 -2.62 -2.34  0.86  2.84  1.28  0.98 -3.30  2.79  3.91 -0.45 21.65
                                                                                                   
                2009   5.38  2.67  1.32  0.14  3.12 -0.82  1.33  0.71  1.48  1.05  0.35  0.40 18.36
                                                                                                   
                2010  -0.30 -1.52  0.03  1.48  0.37  1.39 -1.93  1.25  1.38 -0.35 -0.34 -0.46  0.93
                                                                                                   
                2011   0.71  0.57  0.78  0.52  0.65 -0.49  2.31  6.29  0.42 -0.69  1.80 -0.54 12.84
                                                                                                   
                2012   0.91  0.25 -0.39 -0.46 -1.89 -2.20  2.40  0.97  1.94 -0.38  0.90  1.63  3.63
                                                                                                   
                2013   0.97  2.38  0.31  3.34 -0.10 -2.98 -0.82 -1.55  0.01 -0.53  1.34  0.37  2.62
                                                                                                   
                2014  -1.40 -1.06 -0.44 -0.75 -0.16 -0.09  0.74  0.18  3.88 -1.80  0.94 -0.04 -0.11
                                                                                                   
                2015   3.34 -0.61  0.40 -1.25  0.94 -0.94  0.28 -0.84 -0.67 -0.60  2.56 -3.22 -0.77
                                                                                                   
                2016   0.38  0.78 -1.60                                                       -0.46
                                      *                                                           *
                                                                                                   
                 GBP   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   YTD 
                                                                                                   
                2007               0.11  0.83  0.17  2.28  2.55  3.26  5.92  0.04  3.08  0.89 20.67
                                                                                                   
                2008  10.18  6.86 -2.61 -2.33  0.95  2.91  1.33  1.21 -2.99  2.84  4.23 -0.67 23.25
                                                                                                   
                2009   5.19  2.86  1.18  0.05  3.03 -0.90  1.36  0.66  1.55  1.02  0.40  0.40 18.00
                                                                                                   
                2010  -0.23 -1.54  0.06  1.45  0.36  1.39 -1.96  1.23  1.42 -0.35 -0.30 -0.45  1.03
                                                                                                   
                2011   0.66  0.52  0.78  0.51  0.59 -0.56  2.22  6.24  0.39 -0.73  1.71 -0.46 12.34
                                                                                                   
                2012   0.90  0.27 -0.37 -0.41 -1.80 -2.19  2.38  1.01  1.95 -0.35  0.94  1.66  3.94
                                                                                                   
                2013   1.03  2.43  0.40  3.42 -0.08 -2.95 -0.80 -1.51  0.06 -0.55  1.36  0.41  3.09
                                                                                                   
                2014  -1.35 -1.10 -0.34 -0.91 -0.18 -0.09  0.82  0.04  4.29 -1.70  0.96 -0.04  0.26
                                                                                                   
                2015   3.26 -0.58  0.38 -1.20  0.97 -0.93  0.37 -0.74 -0.63 -0.49  2.27 -3.39 -0.86
                                                                                                   
                2016   0.60  0.70 -1.82                                                       -0.54
                                      *                                                           *
                                                                                                   
                Source: Fund NAV data is provided by the administrator of the Fund,                
                International Fund Services (Ireland) Limited. BHM NAV and NAV per Share data      
                is provided by BHM's administrator, Northern Trust. BHM NAV per Share % Monthly    
                Change is calculated by BHCM.  BHM NAV data is unaudited and net of all            
                investment management fees (2% annual management fee and 20% performance fee)      
                and all other fees and expenses payable by BHM. In addition, the Fund is           
                subject to an operational services fee of 50bps per annum.                         
                NAV performance is provided for information purposes only. Shares in BHM do not    
                necessarily trade at a price equal to the prevailing NAV per Share.                
                *Based on estimated NAVs as at 31 March 2016                                       
                PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS                               

   

ASC 820 Asset   Brevan Howard Master Fund Limited                                    
Valuation                                                                            
Categorisation* Unaudited estimates as at 31 March 2016                              
                                                                                     
                          % of Gross Market                                          
                               Value*                                                
                                                                                     
                Level 1         72.1                                                 
                                                                                     
                Level 2         27.7                                                 
                                                                                     
                Level 3          0.2                                                 
                                                                                     
                Source: BHCM                                                         
                * These estimates are unaudited and have been calculated by BHCM     
                using the same methodology as that used in the most recent audited   
                financial statements of the Fund. These estimates are subject to     
                change.                                                              
Performance     Level 1: This represents the level of assets in the portfolio which  
Review          are priced using unadjusted quoted prices in active markets that are 
                accessible at the measurement date for identical, unrestricted assets
                or liabilities.                                                      
                Level 2: This represents the level of assets in the portfolio which  
                are priced using either (i) quoted prices that are identical or      
                similar in markets that are not active or (ii) model-derived         
                valuations for which all significant inputs are observable, either   
                directly or indirectly in active markets.                            
                Level 3: This represents the level of assets in the portfolio which  
                are priced or valued using inputs that are both significant to the   
                fair value measurement and are not observable directly or indirectly 
                in an active market.                                                 
                                                                                     
                The information in this section has been provided to BHM by BHCM.    
                                                                                     
                Losses in March were fairly evenly split between FX and interest rate
                trading, with smaller gains from credit trading being offset by      
                losses in equity. Interest rate losses came predominately from long  
                positions in Europe, with further losses from Japanese directional   
                and volatility trading. Smaller gains in NZD, BRL, MXN and TRY       
                interest rate trading were offset by losses in US and European       
                volatility positions. FX trading generated an overall loss, driven   
                primarily by short positioning in EUR as well as to a much lesser    
                degree losses in KRW & GBP which were partially offset by gains in   
                commodity linked currencies, such as AUD, CAD, MXN, NOK and BRL.     
                Credit gains from European credit indices were offset by losses from 
                directional equity positioning in the US and Europe as well as losses
                in equity volatility trading.                                        
                                                                                     
                The performance review and attributions are derived from data        
                calculated by BHCM, based on total performance data for each period  
                provided by the Fund's administrator (International Fund Services    
                (Ireland) Limited) and risk data provided by BHCM, as at 31 March    
                2016.                                                                

   

                Performance by Asset Class                                                          
                                                                                                    
                Monthly, quarterly and annual contribution (%) to the performance of BHM USD        
                Shares (net of fees and expenses) by asset class*                                   
                                                                                                    
                   2016     Rates      FX    Commodity  Credit   Equity   Discount   Total          
                                                                         Management                 
                                                                                                    
                March 2016  -1.07    -0.96     0.04      0.29    -0.30      0.19     -1.81          
                                                                                                    
                 Q1 2016     1.14    -0.84     -0.14     0.03    -1.14      0.57     -0.39          
                                                                                                    
                 YTD 2016    1.14    -0.84     -0.14     0.03    -1.14      0.57     -0.39          
                                                                                                    
                PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.                               
                                                                                                    
                *Based on estimated NAVs as at 31 March 2016                                        
                                                                                                    
                Methodology and Definition of Contribution to Performance:                          
                                                                                                    
                Attribution by asset class is produced at the instrument level, with                
                adjustments made based on risk estimates.                                           
                                                                                                    
                The above asset classes are categorised as follows:                                 
                                                                                                    
                "Rates": interest rates markets                                                     
                "FX": FX forwards and options                                                       
                "Commodity": commodity futures and options                                          
                "Credit": corporate and asset-backed indices, bonds and CDS                         
                                                                                                    
                "Equity": equity markets including indices and other derivatives                    
                                                                                                    
                "Discount Management": buyback activity for discount management purposes            
                                                                                                    
                Performance by Strategy Group                                                       
                                                                                                    
                Monthly, quarterly and annual contribution (%) to the performance of BHM USD        
                Shares (net of fees and expenses) by strategy group*                                
                                                                                                    
                  2016   Macro Systematic Rates  FX   Equity Credit  EMG  Commodity  Discount  Total
                                                                                    Management      
                                                                                                    
                 March   -1.40   -0.02    -0.64 -0.03 -0.00  -0.10  0.19    -0.00      0.19    -1.81
                  2016                                                                              
                                                                                                    
                Q1 2016  -1.12    0.01    0.54  -0.02 -0.01  -0.36  -0.00   -0.00      0.57    -0.39
                                                                                                    
                YTD 2016 -1.12    0.01    0.54  -0.02 -0.01  -0.36  -0.00   -0.00      0.57    -0.39
                                                                                                    
                PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.                               
                                                                                                    
                *Based on estimated NAVs as at 31 March 2016                                        
                                                                                                    
                Methodology and Definition of Contribution to Performance:                          
                                                                                                    
                Strategy Group attribution is approximate and has been derived by allocating        
                each trader book in the Fund to a single category. In cases where a trader book     
                has activity in more than one category, the most relevant category has been         
                selected.                                                                           
                                                                                                    
                The above strategies are categorised as follows:                                    
                                                                                                    
                "Macro": multi-asset global markets, mainly directional (for the Fund, the          
                majority of risk in this category is in rates)                                      
                                                                                                    
                "Systematic": rules-based futures trading                                           
                                                                                                    
                "Rates": developed interest rates markets                                           
                                                                                                    
                "FX": global FX forwards and options                                                
                                                                                                    
                "Equity": global equity markets including indices and other derivatives             
                                                                                                    
                "Credit": corporate and asset-backed indices, bonds and CDS                         
                                                                                                    
                "EMG": global emerging markets                                                      
                                                                                                    
                "Commodity": liquid commodity futures and options                                   
                                                                                                    
                "Discount Management": buyback activity for discount management purposes            
                                                                                                    
Manager's       The information in this section has been provided to BHM by BHCM                    
Market Review                                                                                       
and Outlook     Market Commentary                                                                   
                                                                                                    
                US                                                                                  
                Growth appears to have been disappointing in the first quarter. Consumption         
                outlays have slowed and business investment is at a standstill. Growth was also     
                weak in the first quarter of the last two years, but that could be attributed       
                to obvious transitory factors, for instance bad weather. The somewhat puzzling      
                pattern of consumption spending coupled with a lack of pick up in business          
                investment, creates the worry that a combination of financial market volatility     
                and the global slowdown may be impacting the key parts of aggregate demand. At      
                this point, the best scenario is that the lull is temporary given the robust        
                labour market, which is creating jobs at a brisk pace, bringing in workers from     
                out of the labour force, and driving income growth.                                 
                                                                                                    
                Wage and price inflation have been scrutinised for signs that they are moving       
                up. The evidence is mixed. After surging in January, average hourly earnings        
                slowed in the last two months leaving the year-over-year gain stuck in the          
                middle of the 2%-2.5% range that has prevailed for the last year. The news          
                about price inflation has been punchier. While headline prices have been pushed     
                down and then back up by developments in energy markets, the underlying trend       
                in core Personal Consumption Expenditures ("PCE") inflation looks to have           
                firmed. The combination of favourable base effects and an especially robust         
                increase in core inflation in January has brought the year-over-year rate to        
                1.7% for the last two months. That is close to the Federal Reserve's 2%             
                inflation target, an encouraging sign that would point to a healthier economy       
                and perhaps a faster pace of interest rate increases. However, some caution is      
                appropriate since the upside surprises have been driven importantly by volatile     
                prices, such as apparel, that may fall in the coming months. Given that the         
                economy is at or near full employment, any news about inflation takes on            
                outsized importance in shaping the prospects for monetary policy.                   
                                                                                                    
                After having been stung by markedly tighter financial conditions during the         
                first quarter, Federal Reserve ("Fed") policy makers decided not to raise           
                interest rates in March. In a notably dovish move, the majority of them pointed     
                to two rate hikes in 2016 and a lower longer-term neutral interest rate.            
                Following the meeting, Chair Yellen in a major speech at the New York Economic      
                Club highlighted some of the reasons for the Fed's cautious approach which          
                included headwinds to the recovery and the asymmetric risks posed by the zero       
                lower bound on nominal interest rates. The difficulties experienced by the          
                European Central Bank and Bank of Japan with negative rates only underline the      
                Fed's cautious approach.                                                            
                                                                                                    
                EMU                                                                                 
                February data suggests euro area activity accelerated slightly in Q1 relative       
                to the previous quarter, supported by domestic demand. Construction was buoyant     
                spurred by unseasonable warm weather and consumer spending was brisk as             
                indicated by both retail sales, growing at a 3.8% pace in February on a 3m/3m       
                annualised metric, and car registrations, mainly due to the steep drop in           
                energy prices. Industrial production ("IP") growth moderated in February after      
                overshooting in January. German IP fell by 0.5% m/m following a downward            
                revision to 2.3% m/m expansion, looking forward it should moderate further,         
                indicated by available business surveys. In addition, consumer confidence is        
                deteriorating, the European Commission survey indicator fell to -9.7 in March       
                from -5.7 at the end of 2015, and the impact of the terrorist attacks in            
                Brussels in March could dent it further. The EMU labour market continues to         
                send positive signals, due to the extremely low potential growth rate. Even the     
                current, modest rate of expansion is enough to lower the unemployment rate,         
                which fell to 10.3% in February (the lowest level since September 2011). The        
                common currency labour market still has a long way to go in order to return to      
                pre-crisis levels of employment and the amount of slack remains ample.              
                Accordingly, price pressures remain muted. The euro zone Harmonised Index of        
                Consumer Prices ("HICP") inflation rate remained in negative territory for a        
                second consecutive month at -0.1% y/y in March, up slightly from -0.2% y/y in       
                the previous month, still far away from the ECB's definition of price               
                stability. Core inflation (which excludes volatile items including energy and       
                food), rose to 1.0% y/y in March from 0.8% in February although only because of     
                a temporary effect due to the early timing of Easter this year, and it is           
                poised to fall back in April. In general, underlying price pressures remain         
                extremely weak, as highlighted by the steeper fall of producer price inflation,     
                and are poised to slow further under the impact of the recent appreciation of       
                the Euro on import prices.                                                          
                                                                                                    
                The measures of monetary policy easing announced in March by the ECB have           
                failed to ease financial conditions, although the impact on credit conditions       
                is still unclear. Since the March ECB policy easing, the Euro has risen while       
                equity prices have generally fallen, especially in the periphery. Government        
                bond yields have dropped in the core, while in the weakest countries of the         
                periphery they are showing renewed upward tensions. Long-term inflation             
                expectations expressed by financial markets have in general fallen back towards     
                all-time lows, as council members are struggling to convince markets that they      
                would be willing and able to ease monetary conditions enough to boost inflation     
                towards the central bank target. The ECB's accommodative policy is also facing      
                increased criticism from the German public opinion and financial lobbies.           
                Renewed financial and political tensions are emerging in the periphery; from        
                Greece, where there is a struggle on how to proceed between the IMF and Germany     
                as the public finance targets set seem out of reach, to Portugal, Spain and         
                even Italy.                                                                         
                                                                                                    
                UK                                                                                  
                The UK economy grew solidly in 2015, however 2016 is proving more challenging       
                due to the uncertainty created by the EU referendum, an unforgiving global          
                environment and on-going fiscal austerity. The latest estimate of Q4 GDP was        
                revised up by 0.1 percentage points to 0.6% q/q,  due to an upward revision to      
                services output, demonstrating that UK private domestic demand remained             
                resilient in earlier months. Looking forward, business surveys continue to          
                point towards moderation in the manufacturing sector. Although the recent           
                depreciation of Sterling (approximately 10% against the dollar in the last 6        
                months) may provide some support, it is unlikely to be enough to offset the         
                drag from modest external demand, as well as the uncertainty caused by the          
                referendum. Surveys on the services industry have also deteriorated in recent       
                months. Although the services Purchasing Manager's Index ("PMI") ticked up one      
                point in March to 53.7, it is still more than five points below the level of a      
                year ago. Retailing and general consumption has continued to do well, supported     
                by persistently high consumer confidence, increasing consumer lending and a         
                further fall in the savings rate. Mortgage approvals had picked up in recent        
                months as individuals sought to buy properties ahead of the additional 3%           
                stamp-duty tax on secondary homes that came into effect in April. However, some     
                surveys suggest this recent flurry has started to unwind and it's possible the      
                housing market will cool in the coming months. House prices continue to rise at     
                a pace of around 7% y/y, broadly in line with recent history. The unemployment      
                rate declined 0.5 percentage points in the period from June 2015 to November        
                2015 and has since been unchanged at 5.1%. In that same period, employment grew     
                at a very high pace of 2.5% annualised but surveys indicate it has since lost       
                momentum. Despite the tightening in the labour market, wage inflation fell from     
                a peak of 3% down to 2% in November, and has since stabilised. Overall, wage        
                inflation remains well below the 4% pace experienced before the crisis.             
                Headline inflation remains subdued at 0.3% y/y and it continues to be pushed        
                down by low energy prices. Core inflation (which excludes volatile items like       
                energy prices) also remains muted, recording 1.2% y/y in February.                  
                                                                                                    
                Whatever the outcome on 23 June (the referendum date), the uncertainty may          
                delay both investment and hiring, stinting growth in the 2nd and possibly 3rd       
                quarters of 2016. The Bank of England's ("BoE") Monetary Policy Committee           
                ("MPC") voted again unanimously to keep rates unchanged (at 0.5%) at its latest     
                meeting in March. Given the lack of inflation in both Consumer Price Index          
                ("CPI") and wages, the BoE is not yet under any pressure to vote for an             
                interest rate hike. In addition, it will be difficult for the BoE to give clear     
                guidance regarding monetary policy just ahead of the referendum.                    
                                                                                                    
                China                                                                               
                China activity data in March showed signs of a near-term gradual turnaround.        
                Both the official and the Caixin PMIs improved notably, recording the strongest     
                reading since mid-2015. Industrial Production ("IP") growth peaked from the         
                extremely subdued levels recorded in the first two months of the year. On the       
                demand side, the support seems to be provided by infrastructure investments and     
                housing activity, both spurred by a renewed large increase in credit formation.     
                Exports are not contributing to the cyclical pick up, as global demand remains      
                subdued. The People's Bank of China has maintained a relatively accommodative       
                monetary policy stance; cutting the required reserve ratio by 50bps in February     
                while keeping the 7-day repo rate stable at around 2.3%. However, the               
                transmission mechanism from interbank market rates to economic growth is less       
                clear. FX reserves in March increased by about US$10bn, slightly more than          
                market expectations.                                                                
                                                                                                    
                Japan                                                                               
                According to press reports, the Bank of Japan ("BoJ") will likely debate easing     
                monetary policy at its upcoming meeting at the end of April.  The economic          
                backdrop supports that supposition.  Survey data on economic activity have          
                either deteriorated or moved sideways at subpar levels.  The index of actual        
                conditions for all enterprises in the quarterly Tankan surveys declined in the      
                first quarter, though the level remains in the range seen over the last few         
                years.  The index of expected conditions also moved down but barely above zero      
                - the index is currently at the bottom of the range seen recently.  February        
                data in the economy watchers survey dropped sharply to its lowest level in over     
                five years, excluding a brief pothole due to the introduction of the                
                consumption tax.  The Shoko-Chukin index of small and medium-sized businesses       
                slipped in April.  It has generally drifted sideways in the past year.              
                Industrial production fell noticeably in February to its lowest level in over       
                three years.                                                                        
                                                                                                    
                Inflation-related data didn't fare much better.  National consumer prices           
                excluding food and energy (western-core price index) moved up 0.2% on a             
                seasonally adjusted basis in February, following a 0.1% decline in January.         
                The six-month annualised rate at 0.4%, is half the 12-month change.  The            
                seasonally adjusted Tokyo western core rate was flat in March. The yen has          
                appreciated 7-8% against the US dollar in the last three months, pointing to        
                further downward pressure on inflation.  Consumer inflation expectations appear     
                to continue to deteriorate.                                                         
                At the same time, the Government appears to be wrestling with a decision on         
                whether to raise the consumption tax next year.  Prime Minister Abe indicated       
                that there are no plans to delay the hike barring some big external shock.          
                However, according to press reports, at the same time the administration is         
                actively considering plans to support consumption in the event that VAT is          
                raised, such as cutting income taxes.  When VAT was raised in 2014, increased       
                Government spending plans to help cushion the blow were inadequate. It's likely     
                that any fiscal offsets this time are akin to a consumption subsidy or tax cut,     
                rather than increased Government spending.  Despite these plans, some analysts      
                suspect that a delay is still possible.  The Prime Minister was right when he       
                said a month ago that following through with the tax hike involved politics;        
                it's probably tied to a decision to call lower-house snap elections.  A             
                definitive decision is expected towards the end of May.                             
                                                                                                    
Enquiries       Northern Trust International Fund Administration Services (Guernsey) Limited        
                Harry Rouillard +44 (0) 1481 74 5315                                                

Important Legal Information and Disclaimer

BH Macro Limited ("BHM") is a feeder fund investing in Brevan Howard Master
Fund Limited (the "Fund").  Brevan Howard Capital Management LP ("BHCM") has
supplied certain information herein regarding BHM's and the Fund's performance
and outlook.

The material relating to BHM and the Fund included in this report is provided
for information purposes only, does not constitute an invitation or offer to
subscribe for or purchase shares in BHM or the Fund and is not intended to
constitute "marketing" of either BHM or the Fund as such term is understood for
the purposes of the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive as it has
been implemented in states of the European Economic Area. This material is not
intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision.
Information and opinions presented in this material relating to BHM and the
Fund have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but
none of BHM, the Fund or BHCM make any representation as to their accuracy or
completeness. Any estimates may be subject to error and significant
fluctuation, especially during periods of high market volatility or disruption.
Any estimates should be taken as indicative values only and no reliance should
be placed on them. Estimated results, performance or achievements may
materially differ from any actual results, performance or achievements. Except
as required by applicable law, BHM, the Fund and BHCM expressly disclaim any
obligations to update or revise such estimates to reflect any change in
expectations, new information, subsequent events or otherwise.

Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each investor in BHM
and may be subject to change in the future. Returns may increase or decrease as
a result of currency fluctuations.

You should note that, if you invest in BHM, your capital will be at risk and
you may therefore lose some or all of any amount that you choose to invest.
This material is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as,
investment advice.  All investments are subject to risk. You are advised to
seek expert legal, financial, tax and other professional advice before making
any investment decisions.

THE VALUE OF INVESTMENTS CAN GO DOWN AS WELL AS UP.  YOU MAY NOT GET BACK THE
AMOUNT ORIGINALLY INVESTED AND YOU MAY LOSE ALL OF YOUR INVESTMENT.  PAST
PERFORMANCE IS NOT A RELIABLE INDICATOR OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Risk Factors

Acquiring shares in BHM may expose an investor to a significant risk of losing
all of the amount invested. Any person who is in any doubt about investing in
BHM (and therefore gaining exposure to the Fund) should consult an authorised
person specialising in advising on such investments. Any person acquiring
shares in BHM must be able to bear the risks involved. These include the
following:

• The Fund is speculative and involves substantial risk.

• The Fund will be leveraged and will engage in speculative investment
practices that may increase the risk of investment loss. The Fund may invest in
illiquid securities.

• Past results of the Fund's investment managers are not necessarily indicative
of future performance of the Fund, and the Fund's performance may be volatile.

• An investor could lose all or a substantial amount of his or her investment.

• The Fund's investment managers have total investment and trading authority
over the Fund, and the Fund is dependent upon the services of the investment
managers.

• Investments in the Fund are subject to restrictions on withdrawal or
redemption and should be considered illiquid. There is no secondary market for
investors' interests in the Fund and none is expected to develop.

• The investment managers' incentive compensation, fees and expenses may offset
the Fund's trading and investment profits.

• The Fund is not required to provide periodic pricing or valuation information
to investors with respect to individual investments.

• The Fund is not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds.

• A portion of the trades executed for the Fund may take place on foreign
markets.

• The Fund and its investment managers are subject to conflicts of interest.

• The Fund is dependent on the services of certain key personnel, and, were
certain or all of them to become unavailable, the Fund may prematurely
terminate.

• The Fund's managers will receive performance-based compensation. Such
compensation may give such managers an incentive to make riskier investments
than they otherwise would.

• The Fund may make investments in securities of issuers in emerging markets.
Investment in emerging markets involve particular risks, such as less strict
market regulation, increased likelihood of severe inflation, unstable
currencies, war, expropriation of property, limitations on foreign investments,
increased market volatility, less favourable or unstable tax provisions,
illiquid markets and social and political upheaval.

The above summary risk factors do not purport to be a complete description of
the relevant risks of an investment in shares of BHM or the Fund and therefore
reference should be made to publicly available documents and information.



END



Copyright © 2016 PR Newswire Association, LLC. All Rights Reserved

Recent news on BH Macro

See all news