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RNS Number : 6234M Braemar Shipping Services PLC 24 May 2022
London, UK, 24 May 2022
Edison initiates on Braemar Shipping Services (BMS)
Braemar recently completed a corporate transformation that will see it move
away from being a widely spread shipping services company, to grow into a
clearly focused shipbroking operation. Allied to the transformation is the
company's growth strategy, supported by growing global trade, and shipping's
status as the most energy-efficient and lowest carbon method of freight
transport, that has management focused on doubling the business inside four
years. We value the shares at 400p, a c 40% premium to the current price, but
see greater upside as evidence of success is delivered over the next two to
three years.
Braemar is trading on a P/E of 10.1x in FY23e, a material discount to the only
other quoted shipbroker, Clarkson, which trades on c 18x in FY22e. We believe
such a large differential is unjustified as it gives no credit for the growth
ambition and proven ability to execute, suggesting upside in Braemar's rating.
We value Braemar at 400p/share based on a dividend discount model with a 7.25%
cost of capital and a growth rate of 5.5%. This valuation implies a P/E of c
17x, a c 5% discount to Clarkson, and a terminal growth rate of c -5% in our
DCF model. Furthermore, we believe there is upside to earnings forecasts and
the potential for a re-rating of the shares, which would suggest a higher
valuation than 400p is possible if management can successfully deliver the
growth strategy.
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