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Source: Thomson Reuters
Description: Attractive financing and increased air travel have
lead to a slew of negotiations for big aircraft
leasing deals, reinvigorating a once volatile
investment, says Breakingviews' Peter Thal Larsen.
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Short Link: http://reut.rs/XYyeHv
Transcript (May be auto-generated)
Anybody sitting on an airport tarmac here in Asia trying to get into China on a
full plane knows there's a big demand for aircraft over here. That must spell a
lot of good things for the aircraft leasing industry. Well, that definitely
seems to be the case, judging by the reported interest we've had over the last
couple of weeks in some big deals in aircraft leasing. So, we've seen most
recently reports that CIC, China's sovereign wealth fund is interested in buying
a leasing company called Avolon which is owned by some private equity guys. And
that comes only a week after Li Ka-shing, his Cheung Kong Group confirmed it had
submitted a preliminary bid for a portfolio of aircraft leases owned by another
private equity group called AWAS. So, there's definitely a lot of interest from
Asia in this industry and that really seems to be driven by the expectations as
you say that air travel is only going to increase in China and around the
region. Still, it's got to be very volatile I mean, and during the financial
crisis, we saw this leasing industry take a big, big hit.
It's hard to understand why people really want to get back in now again. You're
right. It did fall out of vogue quite heavily during the crisis. I mean, a
couple of things happened. First of all, there were a couple of big financial
groups that have leasing arms that were forced to sell those businesses in order
to raise capital. Royal Bank of Scotland sold its business to the Japanese. And
then the biggest deal was AIG's business which was eventually sold. Well, they
tried to sell it to the Chinese and eventually that fell apart and they sold it
to another leasing company. The other thing that's happened is that the changes
in bank regulation have made it much less attractive for Banks to provide these
very long term loans to finance aircraft. So, they've kind of pulled back from
that business as well. But that's actually played to the advance of just some of
these leasing companies. And underlying all of this, there is still very strong
and healthy growth in the number of aircraft that are being built and are being
bought. So the industry estimates that about 35,000 commercial aircrafts will be
delivered over the next 20 years. And leasing is currently about 35% of the
business and the expectation is that will grow to about 40%, 45% business so you
have a growing market and leasing growing as a share of that. If- and this is a
big if- the leasing companies can make sure they have access to cheap and
reliable sources of financing, then it can be a very attractive business and
that really explains, I think, what is driving this interest from China and from
Li Ka-shing. Busy airspace around the world. Aircraft leasing back in vogue in
Asia
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