Fitch Revises Outlook on Capital Securities Corporation to Negative; Affirms 'BBB-'
(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
Fitch Ratings-Hong Kong/Taipei-March 24:
Fitch Ratings has revised the Outlook on Taiwan-based Capital Securities
Corporation's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'BBB-' and National
Long-Term Rating of 'A(twn)' to Negative from Stable and has affirmed the
ratings. Fitch has also affirmed the National Short-Term Rating of 'F1(twn)'.
The Outlook revision reflects heightened uncertainty in the operating
environment of Taiwan's securities industry arising from the coronavirus
pandemic. It also reflects the associated pressure on Capital Securities'
profitability amid potential proprietary trading losses due to increased
capital-market volatility as well as lower brokerage income over the medium
term.
The rating affirmation reflects Fitch's view that Capital Securities has
adequate capital buffers to withstand the immediate shock brought about by the
pandemic.
Capital Securities is a major comprehensive securities firm in Taiwan, with a
market share of 4.2% in domestic brokerage business. It is the country's largest
independent securities firm. Its rank and market share in retail brokerage have
been steady since 2015. It also has strong market positions in fixed income
underwriting and warrant issuance.
Key Rating Drivers
Capital Securities' ratings are driven by its long-standing and stable franchise
in Taiwan's stockbroking sector, and sound capital profile. The ratings are
constrained by the company's limited diversity, which could lead to volatile
earnings. Its major income source, brokerage, is liable to weak market
sentiment, while income from trading and underwriting is inherently more
volatile and subject to market risk.
Capital Securities' proprietary trading performance has been under pressure amid
the challenging capital market as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. The
company's investment portfolio comprises large exposure to government and
investment-grade private-sector bonds and a largely diversified stock portfolio.
However, increased correlation in asset markets has heightened systemic risk,
resulting in impairment loss to its investment portfolio.
Capital Securities has maintained a sound capital profile. Its Fitch-defined net
adjusted leverage ratio was a low 4x as of end-2019 and hovered between
3.2x-4.6x from 2015 to 2019. High capital levels allow Capital Securities to
absorb potential trading losses. A large capital base is essential for the
company as a buffer to capital-market fluctuations, since its business model
relies on stockbrokerage and proprietary trading income.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
The ratings would face downward pressure if the uncertain environment
contributed to ongoing weak proprietary trading performance that leads to
significant losses and severely erodes its capital base. Ratings would also be
sensitive to an increased appetite for risk, in particular, higher balance-sheet
exposure to market risk or greater revenue sensitivity from trading activities.
A weakening in franchise strength due to an inability to navigate current
conditions would also lead to negative rating action.
Rating upgrade is less likely in light of the current environment.
Capital Securities Corporation; Long Term Issuer Default Rating; Affirmed; BBB-;
RO:Neg
; National Long Term Rating; Affirmed; A(twn); RO:Neg
; National Short Term Rating; Affirmed; F1(twn)
Contacts:
Primary Rating Analyst
Leo Wah,
Director
+852 2263 9951
Fitch (Hong Kong) Limited
19/F Man Yee Building 60-68 Des Voeux Road Central
Hong Kong
Secondary Rating Analyst
Rowena Chang,
Associate Director
+6 8175 7602
Committee Chairperson
Mark Young,
Managing Director
+44 20 3530 1318
Media Relations: Alanis Ko, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9953, Email:
alanis.ko@thefitchgroup.com; Wai Lun Wan, Hong Kong, Tel: +852 2263 9935, Email:
wailun.wan@thefitchgroup.com.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
National Scale Ratings Criteria (pub. 18 Jul 2018)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10038626
Non-Bank Financial Institutions Rating Criteria (pub. 28 Feb 2020)
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10110170
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10115304
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10115304#solicitation
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory
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