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Carriage Services Q2 revenue misses estimates on lower national mortality trend

Carriage Services Q2 revenue misses estimates on lower national mortality trend


Overview

  • U.S. funeral and cemetery operator's Q2 revenue rose 0.8% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q2 missed consensus, while adjusted EBITDA slightly beat estimates

  • Company cited lower at-need funeral volume, offset by growth in preneed programs and higher contract values


Outlook

  • Carriage Services lowers 2026 revenue outlook to $435-$445 mln from $440-$450 mln

  • Company maintains 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $135-$140 mln and EPS at $3.35-$3.55

  • Carriage Services expects increased acquisition activity over next two qtrs and into 2027


Result Drivers

  • LOWER FUNERAL VOLUME - Co said a 3.5% decline in at-need funeral volume was driven by lower national mortality trends

  • PRENEED PROGRAM GROWTH - Growth in insurance-funded preneed funeral contracts (up 21.1%) and cemetery preneed sales (up 5.0%) helped offset volume declines

  • HIGHER CONTRACT VALUES - Average revenue per funeral contract rose 4.7% and average price per preneed interment right sold rose 17.3%


Company press release: ID:nGNXbP6Kfq


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$102.90 mln

$108.91 mln (5 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EPS

Miss

$0.78

$0.82 (5 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$0.77

Q2 Net Income

$12.30 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Slight Beat*

$33.30 mln

$33.20 mln (5 Analysts)

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA Margin

32.30%

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 5 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the personal services peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Carriage Services Inc is $60.00, about 48.1% above its August 4 closing price of $40.51

  • The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 14 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • Aug 4 - PACS Group reports Q2 revenue beat on higher occupancy, raises outlook

  • Aug 4 - Ardent Health Q2 hit by lower surgeries and admissions; cuts forecast

  • Aug 3 - Sabra Health Care REIT reiterates 2026 guidance as senior housing NOI rises


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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