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REG-Caterpillar Inc: Final Results <Origin Href="QuoteRef">CAT.N</Origin> - Part 2

- Part 2: For the preceding part double click  ID:nPRrSB6F4a 

        
(Millions                                                                                   
of dollars)                                                                                 
                                                                                            
Sales Comparison                                                                            
                                                                                            
            Fourth     Sales      Price        Currency   Fourth     $         %            
            Quarter    Volume     Realization             Quarter     Change    Change      
            2014                                          2015                              
                                                                                            
Sales       $6,191     ($1,600)   ($3)         ($169)     $4,419     ($1,772)  (29) %       
Comparison1                                                                                 
                                                                                            
Sales by Geographic                                                                         
Region                                                                                      
                                                                                            
            Fourth     Fourth     $            %                                            
            Quarter    Quarter    Change       Change                                       
            2015       2014                                                                 
                                                                                            
North       $1,852     $2,730     ($878)       (32)     %                                   
America                                                                                     
                                                                                            
Latin       408        541        (133)        (25)     %                                   
America                                                                                     
                                                                                            
EAME        1,406      1,980      (574)        (29)     %                                   
                                                                                            
Asia/       753        940        (187)        (20)     %                                   
Pacific                                                                                     
                                                                                            
Total1      $4,419     $6,191     ($1,772)     (29)     %                                   
                                                                                            
Operating                                                                                   
Profit                                                                                      
                                                                                            
            Fourth     Fourth     $            %                                            
            Quarter    Quarter    Change       Change                                       
            2015       2014                                                                 
                                                                                            
Operating   $712       $1,123     ($411)       (37)     %                                   
Profit                                                                                      
                                                                                            
1 Does not include inter-segment sales of $382 million and $542 million in                  
fourth quarter 2015 and 2014, respectively.                                                 
                                                                                            

Energy & Transportation's sales were $4.419 billion in the fourth quarter of
2015, a decrease of $1.772 billion, or 29 percent, from the fourth quarter of
2014.  The decrease was primarily the result of lower sales volume and the
unfavorable impact of currency, mostly from the euro.  Sales decreased in all
applications.

  * Oil and Gas - Sales continued to decrease in much of the world due to
    substantially lower oil prices. The decline was most pronounced in
    equipment used for well servicing and drilling applications, with the most
    significant impact in North America, our largest market for well servicing.
    Demand for reciprocating engines used in gas compression was also down.
  * Power Generation - Sales decreased in EAME and North America and were about
    flat in Latin America and Asia/Pacific. In EAME, sales decreased primarily
    due to the absence of a large project in the fourth quarter of 2014. In
    North America, sales declined primarily due to the absence of several large
    projects and unfavorable changes in dealer inventories as dealers decreased
    inventories in the fourth quarter of 2015 and increased inventories in the
    fourth quarter of 2014.
  * Transportation - Sales decreased in North America and were about flat in
    all other geographic regions. In North America, sales weakened primarily
    due to the absence of a Tier IV locomotive offering.
  * Industrial - Sales were lower in all regions. Lower sales in EAME were
    mostly the result of lower demand and the unfavorable impact of currency.
    In Asia/Pacific, North America and Latin America, the decline in sales was
    primarily due to lower end-user demand for most industrial applications
    primarily due to weak economic conditions.

Energy & Transportation's profit was $712 million in the fourth quarter of
2015, compared with $1.123 billion in the fourth quarter of 2014.  The decrease
was due to lower sales volume partially offset by lower costs, primarily
incentive compensation expense, and favorable product mix due to the absence of
the sale of a large power generation project in EAME that was recognized in the
fourth quarter of 2014.

FINANCIAL PRODUCTS SEGMENT                                                    
                                                                              
(Millions of dollars)                                                         
                                                                              
Revenues by Geographic Region                                                 
                                                                              
                      Fourth Quarter 2015  Fourth Quarter 2014  $       %     
                                                                Change  Change
                                                                              
North America         $452                 $451                 $1      -    %
                                                                              
Latin America         97                   112                  (15)    (13) %
                                                                              
EAME                  97                   115                  (18)    (16) %
                                                                              
Asia/Pacific          100                  133                  (33)    (25) %
                                                                              
Total                 $746                 $811                 ($65)   (8)  %
                                                                              
Operating Profit                                                              
                                                                              
                      Fourth Quarter 2015  Fourth Quarter 2014  $       %     
                                                                Change  Change
                                                                              
Operating Profit      $191                 $197                 ($6)    (3)  %
                                                                              

Financial Products' revenues were $746 million in the fourth quarter of 2015, a
decrease of $65 million, or 8 percent, from the fourth quarter of 2014. The
decline was primarily due to lower average earning assets and lower average
financing rates.  Average earning assets were down in Asia/Pacific, Latin
America and EAME, partially offset by higher average earning assets in North
America.  Average financing rates were down in North America, EAME and Asia/
Pacific, partially offset by higher rates in Latin America.

Financial Products' profit was $191 million in the fourth quarter of 2015,
compared with $197 million in the fourth quarter of 2014. The decrease was
primarily due to a $17 million unfavorable impact from lower average earning
assets, a $10 million decrease in net yield on average earning assets
reflecting changes in the geographic mix of margin and currency impacts and a
$10 million unfavorable impact from returned or repossessed equipment.  These
decreases were partially offset by a $24 million increase in gains on sales of
securities at Caterpillar Financial Insurance Services and a $12 million
decrease in SG&A expenses due to lower incentive compensation expense.

At the end of 2015, past dues at Cat Financial were 2.14 percent, compared with
2.17 percent at the end of 2014.  Write-offs, net of recoveries, were $155
million for the full-year 2015, compared with $104 million for the full-year
2014.  The increase in write-offs, net of recoveries, was primarily driven by
the mining and marine portfolios.

As of December 31, 2015, Cat Financial's allowance for credit losses totaled
$338 million, or 1.22 percent of net finance receivables, compared with $401
million, or 1.36 percent of net finance receivables, at year-end 2014.

Corporate Items and Eliminations

Expense for corporate items and eliminations was $1.210 billion in the fourth
quarter of 2015, an increase of $469 million from the fourth quarter of 2014. 
Corporate items and eliminations include: corporate-level expenses;
restructuring costs; timing differences, as some expenses are reported in
segment profit on a cash basis; retirement benefit costs other than service
cost; currency differences for ME&T, as segment profit is reported using annual
fixed exchange rates; and inter-segment eliminations.

The increase in expense from the fourth quarter of 2014 was primarily due to a
$585 million increase in restructuring costs partially offset by timing
differences.

2016 OUTLOOK

From an economic perspective, the company does not anticipate significant
improvement in the world economy.  We are expecting world GDP growth in 2016 to
be similar to 2015 at about 2.5 percent.  While economic growth is expected to
continue to be weak, but stable, there are certainly risks.  Political
conflicts and social unrest continue to disrupt economic activity in parts of
the world, particularly the Middle East.  The Chinese government's push for
structural reform has slowed growth and increased volatility, and U.S. monetary
policy could temper business confidence.  In addition, commodity prices, oil in
particular, have declined substantially.  Further declines in commodity prices
could negatively impact 2016 financial results.

Sales and revenues in 2016 are expected to be in a range of $40 to $44 billion
- a mid-point of $42 billion.

                                          At the mid-point of the sales and    
                                          revenues range                       
                                                                               
                                                   Restructuring  Outlook      
                                                                  Excluding    
                                                                               
                                          2016     Costs          Restructuring
                                          Outlook                 Costs        
                                                                               
Profit per share excluding change in      $3.00    $0.50          $3.50        
accounting principle                                                           
                                                                               
Change in accounting principle related to $0.50                   $0.50        
pension and OPEB costs*                                                        
                                                                               
Profit per share                          $3.50    $0.50          $4.00        
                                                                               
*See Q&A 10 for more information on this change and a change in accounting     
estimate for pension and OPEB costs.                                           

Sales and Revenues

The outlook for 2016 sales and revenues does not anticipate improvement in
world economic growth or commodity prices.  It is based on the continuation of
substantial weakness in many of the key industries the company serves.  Sales
and revenues are expected to be in a range of $40 to $44 billion - a mid-point
of $42 billion.  The mid-point reflects a year-over-year decline of about 10
percent.

In October 2015, the company provided a preliminary outlook for 2016 that
expected sales and revenues to be about 5 percent below the $48 billion outlook
for 2015 - about $45.5 billion for 2016.  The mid-point of today's outlook
reflects a decline of about $3.5 billion from last October's preliminary
outlook for 2016 sales and revenues.  That decline is largely a result of
continued declines in commodity prices and sustained economic weakness in
developing countries.

Sales in Energy & Transportation are expected to decline about 10 to 15 percent
from 2015.  Much of the decline is a result of low oil prices.  During the
first half of 2015, sales remained at relatively high levels for equipment used
in drilling and well servicing because we started the year with a substantial
order backlog.  Sales declined during the second half of 2015 as orders from
the backlog were shipped and new order levels were weak.  That impact, along
with the further decline in oil prices, are the primary reasons for the
expected decline in Energy & Transportation's 2016 sales.  In addition,
continuing weakness in economic conditions in much of the world is expected to
be negative for sales of power generation equipment, industrial engines, marine
and rail.

Sales in Resource Industries are expected to be down about 15 to 20 percent
from 2015 as a result of continuing reductions in mining-related commodity
prices and difficult financial conditions for many mining customers around the
world.

Sales in Construction Industries are expected to decline about 5 to 10 percent
from 2015.  In the United States, improving labor market conditions and
relatively stable economic growth should continue to support the wider economy
and construction.  However, we expect weakness in developing countries and
lower activity in oil-producing regions to persist.

Profit Outlook

The profit outlook for 2016 is $3.50 per share at the mid-point of the sales
and revenues range.  To provide a better understanding of our expectations for
2016 profit, we are providing our outlook with and without anticipated
restructuring costs.  Over the past few years, we have undertaken restructuring
activities designed to lower our long-term cost structure.  Additional
restructuring actions are anticipated in our outlook for 2016.  In total, we
expect the cost of these restructuring actions in 2016 to be about $400 million
or about $0.50 per share.  Excluding restructuring costs, our profit outlook
for 2016 is about $4.00 per share at the mid-point of the sales and revenues
range.

The profit outlook excluding restructuring costs includes several substantial
positive and negative factors outlined below:

Positive Factors

  * Lower period costs (includes period manufacturing, SG&A and R&D - about
    $900 million) - The expected improvement in period costs is largely a
    result of substantial restructuring actions implemented near the end of
    2015 and continuing in 2016. About $180 million or about $0.20 per share of
    the expected improvement is a result of a change in accounting estimate
    from weighted average discount rates to spot rates for pension and OPEB
    service and interest costs. (See Q&A 10 on page 19 for more information.)
  * Change in accounting principle for pension and OPEB costs (about $425
    million) ­- In 2016, we will recognize actuarial gains and losses for
    pension and OPEB plans in the period in which they occur and recognize
    expected returns based on the fair value of plan assets. (See Q&A 10 on
    page 19 for more information.)
  * Variable costs (about $350 million) ­- Material costs, cost absorption and
    variable labor and burden costs are expected to be favorable in 2016 as a
    result of lower commodity prices and supplier collaboration, a smaller
    inventory decline than 2015 and continued implementation of Lean.

Negative Factors

  * Sales volume ($2.1 billion at mid-point of outlook range) - By far the most
    significant negative impact on profit is expected to be from lower sales
    volume, including a substantial impact due to an unfavorable sales mix, as
    the decline in sales is expected to be relatively more concentrated in
    products with higher than average margin rates.
  * Price realization (about $200 million) - While price realization was
    relatively neutral from 2014 to 2015, it was positive in the first half of
    2015 and negative over the second half of 2015. We expect that negative
    trend to continue in 2016. We are experiencing pricing pressure from the
    competitive nature of the businesses we are in and from the impact of a
    stronger U.S. dollar.

The tax rate in 2016 is expected to be about 1 percent higher than in 2015
(excluding 2015 discrete items), and ME&T capital expenditures in 2016 are
expected to be lower than 2015.

QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS                                                          
                                                                               
Q1:  What is causing you to forecast reduced Resource Industries' sales again  
     in 2016?                                                                  
                                                                               
A:   Resource Industries' sales are expected to be lower in 2016 because mining
     companies are continuing to cut capital expenditures in response to lower 
     commodity prices and difficult financial conditions for many of them.  As 
     a result, machine quoting activity remains at a very low level.  In       
     addition, some machines remain parked, which continues to negatively      
     impact aftermarket sales.  We would expect to see parked machines brought 
     back into service and machine rebuild activity pick up as early indicators
     of a potential upturn - unfortunately, we have not seen these signs of    
     improvement yet.                                                          
                                                                               
Q2:  Retail statistics released on January 27, 2016, show Construction         
     Industries' deliveries to end users in North America down 3 percent.  Many
     of the economic indicators in the United States remain positive.  What is 
     your view for 2016?                                                       
                                                                               
A:   We expect general and heavy construction activity to expand in 2016 in the
     United States.  However, we believe lower activity in the oil and gas     
     sector is freeing up equipment that is being redirected to other building 
     and infrastructure construction jobsites.                                 
                                                                               
Q3:  Can you comment on the health of Cat Financial?                           
                                                                               
A:   Cat Financial continues to perform well despite ongoing weakness in many  
     key end markets. Past dues improved further in fourth-quarter 2015, with  
     year-end past dues improving to 2.14 percent from 2.68 percent in         
     third-quarter 2015 and 2.17 percent reported at the end of 2014.          
      Write-offs, net of recoveries, were $155 million in 2015, and although   
     above 2014 write-offs of $104 million, remain near historical averages.   
      Cat Financial continues to work closely with its global customer base to 
     provide financing support for new Caterpillar product purchases and       
     actively monitor global portfolio health to minimize future losses.       
                                                                               
Q4:  Can you discuss changes in dealer inventories in the fourth quarter of    
     2015?  What are your expectations for 2016?                               
                                                                               
A:   Dealer machine and engine inventories decreased about $1 billion in the   
     fourth quarter of 2015, compared with a decrease of about $600 million in 
     the fourth quarter of 2014.  For both the full year of 2015 and 2014,     
     dealer machine and engine inventories decreased about $1 billion.         
                                                                               
     While we believe dealer inventory levels are not excessive, we do expect  
     that lower sales in 2016 will cause dealers to reduce inventory levels    
     about as much as they did in 2015.                                        
                                                                               
Q5:  Caterpillar inventory declined in the fourth quarter of 2015.  Can you    
     explain this decrease, and do you expect further reductions in 2016?      
                                                                               
A:   Caterpillar inventory declined $1.45 billion during the fourth quarter of 
     2015, compared to a decline of about $1.1 billion during the fourth       
     quarter of 2014.  A fourth-quarter decrease is not unusual, as some of our
     businesses ship long lead-time capital goods in the fourth quarter.  For  
     the full year of 2015, Caterpillar inventory declined about $2.5 billion. 
                                                                               
     While we believe our inventory levels are not excessive, we are           
     anticipating that lower sales and our ongoing Lean initiatives will result
     in some reduction in inventory in 2016.                                   
                                                                               
Q6:  Can you comment on your order backlog by segment?                         
                                                                               
A:   At the end of the fourth quarter of 2015, the order backlog was about     
     $13.0 billion. This represents about a $0.7 billion reduction from the end
     of the third quarter of 2015. The decrease was primarily in Energy &      
     Transportation.  In addition, the order backlog for Resource Industries   
     declined and was about flat for Construction Industries.                  
                                                                               
     Compared to year-end 2014, the order backlog declined about $4.3 billion. 
     The decrease was split about evenly across Construction Industries, Energy
     & Transportation and Resource Industries.                                 
                                                                               
Q7:  Can you comment on expense related to your short-term incentive           
     compensation plans?                                                       
                                                                               
A:   Short-term incentive compensation expense is directly related to financial
     and operational performance measured against targets set annually.        
     Fourth-quarter 2015 expense was about $45 million and about $585 million  
     for the full-year 2015.  Fourth-quarter 2014 expense was about $310       
     million and about $1.3 billion for the full-year 2014.                    
                                                                               
     For 2016, our outlook includes short-term incentive compensation expense  
     similar to 2015.                                                          
                                                                               
Q8:  Can you comment on your balance sheet and ME&T operating cash flow in     
     2015?                                                                     
                                                                               
A:   ME&T operating cash flow for the full year of 2015 was $5.2 billion,      
     compared with $7.5 billion in 2014.  The decline was primarily due to     
     lower profit.  Our top cash deployment priority is to maintain a strong   
     financial position to support our credit rating.  The ME&T debt-to-capital
     ratio was 39.1 percent, up from 37.4 percent at the end of 2014, but      
     within our target range of 30 to 45 percent.  The increase was primarily  
     due to a return of capital to stockholders of $3.8 billion ($2.0 billion  
     stock repurchase and $1.8 billion dividends) and unfavorable foreign      
     currency translation adjustment to equity of $1.0 billion. These items    
     were partially offset by profit.  Our cash and liquidity positions also   
     remain strong with an enterprise cash balance of $6.5 billion as of       
     year-end.  After maintaining our financial strength, our remaining        
     priorities for use of cash are to support growth, appropriately fund      
     employee benefit plans, pay dividends and repurchase common stock.  During
     the year, ME&T capital expenditures totaled $1.6 billion, and funding for 
     defined benefit pension plans was about $0.2 billion.                     
                                                                               
Q9:  Can you update us on recent restructuring actions and your progress?      
                                                                               
A:   We announced on September 24, 2015, that we would reduce permanent        
     headcount by 4,000-5,000 between then and the end of 2016, with most      
     occurring in 2015, and with a total possible workforce reduction of more  
     than 10,000 people, including the contemplated consolidation and closures 
     of manufacturing facilities occurring through 2018.  We have eliminated   
     approximately 5,000 positions since then, with about 3,000 by December 31,
     2015, and another 2,100 employees electing to take the voluntary          
     retirement enhancement program in the United States and leave the company 
     January 1, 2016.  We are anticipating significant cost reduction as a     
     result of these actions.                                                  
                                                                               
     We continue to contemplate facility consolidation and closures in order to
     right size our capacity needs.  Since the September 24 announcement, we   
     have announced the closure or consolidation of 9 facilities.              
                                                                               
Q10: Can you provide more information on the accounting changes for pension and
     OPEB costs?                                                               
                                                                               
A:   We have elected to make two changes in accounting for our pension and OPEB
     plans.                                                                    
                                                                               
     The first is a change in accounting estimate related to discount rates    
     used for calculating pension and OPEB costs.  Beginning in 2016, we will  
     use spot rates rather than weighted average discount rates for determining
     service and interest costs for plans that utilize a yield curve approach. 
     This change will have no impact on pension or OPEB liabilities and will be
     accounted for prospectively as a change in accounting estimate (no change 
     to costs reported in 2015 or prior years).  We expect this change to lower
     2016 pension and OPEB service and interest costs by approximately $180    
     million.                                                                  
                                                                               
     The second is a change in accounting principle for recognizing actuarial  
     gains and losses and expected return on assets for our pension and OPEB   
     plans.  Gains and losses historically recognized as a component of equity 
     and amortized to earnings in future periods will be recognized in earnings
     in the period in which they occur.  In addition, we will change our policy
     for recognizing expected returns on plan assets from a market-related     
     value method (based on a three-year smoothing of asset returns) to a fair 
     value method.                                                             
                                                                               
     Under the new principle, we will immediately recognize actuarial gains and
     losses as a mark-to-market gain or loss through earnings upon the annual  
     remeasurement in the fourth quarter, or on an interim basis as triggering 
     events warrant remeasurement.                                             
                                                                               
     Excluding any mark-to-market gains or losses from remeasurements, the     
     estimated benefit of the change in accounting principle in 2016 is        
     approximately $425 million pre-tax or $0.50 per share.  The benefit       
     primarily represents prior period actuarial losses that would have been   
     amortized to earnings under the previous accounting policy.  This change  
     will be applied retrospectively to prior years.  We are currently         
     determining the impact on prior years and will provide that information   
     later in 2016.  Our current estimate of the impact on 2015 earnings is a  
     benefit of about $575 million or about $0.65 per share.                   
                                                                               
     As the change to spot rates for service and interest costs does not impact
     the measurement of benefit liabilities, the decrease in service and       
     interest costs will be offset in the mark-to-market gains or losses       
     reported when benefit plans are remeasured.  Our 2016 outlook does not    
     include any impact from mark-to-market gains or losses.                   
                                                                               
     None of the accounting changes will have an impact on future pension or   
     OPEB funding or benefits paid to participants.                            

   

GLOSSARY OF TERMS                                                              
                                                                               
1.  All Other Segments - Primarily includes activities such as: the            
    remanufacturing of Cat® engines and components and remanufacturing services
    for other companies as well as the business strategy, product management,  
    development, manufacturing, marketing and product support of undercarriage,
    specialty products, hardened bar stock components and ground engaging tools
    primarily for Cat products, paving products, forestry products and         
    industrial and waste products; the product management, development,        
    marketing, sales and product support of on-highway vocational trucks for   
    North America; parts distribution; distribution services responsible for   
    dealer development and administration including a wholly owned dealer in   
    Japan, dealer portfolio management and ensuring the most efficient and     
    effective distribution of machines, engines and parts.                     
                                                                               
2.  Consolidating Adjustments - Elimination of transactions between Machinery, 
    Energy & Transportation and Financial Products.                            
                                                                               
3.  Construction Industries - A segment primarily responsible for supporting   
    customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction      
    applications.  Responsibilities include business strategy, product design, 
    product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and 
    product support.  The product portfolio includes backhoe loaders, small    
    wheel loaders, small track-type tractors, skid steer loaders, multi-terrain
    loaders, mini excavators, compact wheel loaders, telehandlers, select work 
    tools, small, medium and large track excavators, wheel excavators, medium  
    wheel loaders, compact track loaders, medium track-type tractors,          
    track-type loaders, motor graders, pipelayers and mid-tier soil            
    compactors.  In addition, Construction Industries has responsibility for an
    integrated manufacturing cost center.                                      
                                                                               
4.  Currency - With respect to sales and revenues, currency represents the     
    translation impact on sales resulting from changes in foreign currency     
    exchange rates versus the U.S. dollar.  With respect to operating profit,  
    currency represents the net translation impact on sales and operating costs
    resulting from changes in foreign currency exchange rates versus the U.S.  
    dollar.  Currency includes the impact on sales and operating profit for the
    Machinery, Energy & Transportation lines of business only; currency impacts
    on Financial Products' revenues and operating profit are included in the   
    Financial Products' portions of the respective analyses.  With respect to  
    other income/expense, currency represents the effects of forward and option
    contracts entered into by the company to reduce the risk of fluctuations in
    exchange rates (hedging) and the net effect of changes in foreign currency 
    exchange rates on our foreign currency assets and liabilities for          
    consolidated results (translation).                                        
                                                                               
5.  Debt-to-Capital Ratio - A key measure of Machinery, Energy &               
    Transportation's financial strength used by both management and our credit 
    rating agencies.  The metric is defined as Machinery, Energy &             
    Transportation's short-term borrowings, long-term debt due within one year 
    and long-term debt due after one year (debt) divided by the sum of         
    Machinery, Energy & Transportation's debt and stockholders' equity.  Debt  
    also includes Machinery, Energy & Transportation's borrowings from         
    Financial Products.                                                        
                                                                               
6.  EAME - A geographic region including Europe, Africa, the Middle East and   
    the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS).                              
                                                                               
7.  Earning Assets - Assets consisting primarily of total finance receivables  
    net of unearned income, plus equipment on operating leases, less           
    accumulated depreciation at Cat Financial.                                 
                                                                               
8.  Energy & Transportation - A segment primarily responsible for supporting   
    customers using reciprocating engines, turbines, diesel-electric           
    locomotives and related parts across industries serving power generation,  
    industrial, oil and gas and transportation applications, including marine  
    and rail-related businesses.  Responsibilities include business strategy,  
    product design, product management, development, manufacturing, marketing, 
    sales and product support of turbines and turbine-related services,        
    reciprocating engine powered generator sets, integrated systems used in the
    electric power generation industry, reciprocating engines and integrated   
    systems and solutions for the marine and oil and gas industries;           
    reciprocating engines supplied to the industrial industry as well as Cat   
    machinery; the business strategy, product design, product management,      
    development, manufacturing, remanufacturing, leasing and service of        
    diesel-electric locomotives and components and other rail-related products 
    and services.                                                              
                                                                               
9.  Financial Products Segment - Provides financing to customers and dealers   
    for the purchase and lease of Cat and other equipment, as well as some     
    financing for Caterpillar sales to dealers.  Financing plans include       
    operating and finance leases, installment sale contracts, working capital  
    loans and wholesale financing plans.  The segment also provides various    
    forms of insurance to customers and dealers to help support the purchase   
    and lease of our equipment.  Financial Products Segment profit is          
    determined on a pretax basis and includes other income/expense items.      
                                                                               
10. Latin America - A geographic region including Central and South American   
    countries and Mexico.                                                      
                                                                               
11. Lean Management - A holistic management system that uses a sequential      
    cadence of principles to drive the highest quality and lowest total cost to
    achieve customer requirements.                                             
                                                                               
12. Machinery, Energy & Transportation (ME&T) - Represents the aggregate total 
    of Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation   
    and All Other Segments and related corporate items and eliminations.       
                                                                               
13. Machinery, Energy & Transportation Other Operating (Income) Expenses       
    - Comprised primarily of gains/losses on disposal of long-lived assets,    
    gains/losses on divestitures and legal settlements and accruals.           
    Restructuring costs classified as other operating expenses on the Results  
    of Operations are presented separately on the Operating Profit Comparison. 
                                                                               
14. Manufacturing Costs - Manufacturing costs exclude the impacts of currency  
    and represent the volume-adjusted change for variable costs and the        
    absolute dollar change for period manufacturing costs.  Variable           
    manufacturing costs are defined as having a direct relationship with the   
    volume of production.  This includes material costs, direct labor and other
    costs that vary directly with production volume such as freight, power to  
    operate machines and supplies that are consumed in the manufacturing       
    process.  Period manufacturing costs support production but are defined as 
    generally not having a direct relationship to short-term changes in        
    volume.  Examples include machinery and equipment repair, depreciation on  
    manufacturing assets, facility support, procurement, factory scheduling,   
    manufacturing planning and operations management.                          
                                                                               
15. Pension and other postemployment benefit (OPEB) costs - Costs for the      
    company's defined benefit pension and postretirement benefit plans.        
                                                                               
16. Price Realization - The impact of net price changes excluding currency and 
    new product introductions.  Price realization includes geographic mix of   
    sales, which is the impact of changes in the relative weighting of sales   
    prices between geographic regions.                                         
                                                                               
17. Resource Industries - A segment primarily responsible for supporting       
    customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications.            
    Responsibilities include business strategy, product design, product        
    management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product 
    support.  The product portfolio includes large track-type tractors, large  
    mining trucks, hard rock vehicles, longwall miners, electric rope shovels, 
    draglines, hydraulic shovels, track and rotary drills, highwall miners,    
    large wheel loaders, off-highway trucks, articulated trucks, wheel tractor 
    scrapers, wheel dozers, continuous miners, scoops and haulers, hardrock    
    continuous mining systems, select work tools, machinery components and     
    electronics and control systems.  Resource Industries also manages areas   
    that provide services to other parts of the company, including integrated  
    manufacturing and research and development.                                
                                                                               
18. Restructuring Costs - Primarily costs for employee separation costs,       
    long-lived asset impairments and contract terminations.  These costs are   
    included in Other Operating (Income) Expenses.  Beginning in the third     
    quarter of 2015, restructuring costs also include other exit-related costs 
    associated with the consolidation of manufacturing facilities as we expect 
    these costs to be significant as we implement the restructuring plan that  
    was announced on September 24.  Other exit-related costs are primarily for 
    equipment relocation and accelerated depreciation.                         
                                                                               
19. Sales Volume - With respect to sales and revenues, sales volume represents 
    the impact of changes in the quantities sold for Machinery, Energy &       
    Transportation as well as the incremental revenue impact of new product    
    introductions, including emissions-related product updates.  With respect  
    to operating profit, sales volume represents the impact of changes in the  
    quantities sold for Machinery, Energy & Transportation combined with       
    product mix as well as the net operating profit impact of new product      
    introductions, including emissions-related product updates.  Product mix   
    represents the net operating profit impact of changes in the relative      
    weighting of Machinery, Energy & Transportation sales with respect to total
    sales.                                                                     

NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES

The following definition is provided for "non-GAAP financial measures" in
connection with Regulation G issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission. 
The non-GAAP financial measures we use have no standardized meaning prescribed
by U.S. GAAP and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to the calculation of
similar measures for other companies.  Management does not intend these items
to be considered in isolation or substituted for the related GAAP measure.

Profit Per Share Excluding Restructuring Costs

We incurred significant restructuring costs in 2015 and expect to incur
additional restructuring costs in 2016.  We believe it is important to
separately quantify the profit per share impact of restructuring costs in order
for our 2015 results and the 2016 outlook to be meaningful to our readers.  We
have also provided 2014 profit per share excluding restructuring costs
comparable to the 2015 and 2016 presentation.  Reconciliation of profit per
share excluding restructuring costs to the most directly comparable GAAP
measure, diluted profit per share, is as follows:

                              Fourth Quarter  Full Year     Outlook            
                                                                               
                              2014   2015     2014   2015   Original  2016     
                                                            2015 1    Midpoint 
                                                                      2        
                                                                               
Profit (Loss) per share       $1.23  ($0.15)  $5.88  $3.50  $4.60     $3.50    
                                                                               
Per share restructuring       $0.12  $0.89    $0.50  $1.14  $0.15     $0.50    
costs3                                                                         
                                                                               
Profit per share excluding    $1.35  $0.74    $6.38  $4.64  $4.75     $4.00    
restructuring costs                                                            
                                                                               
1 2015 Sales and Revenues Outlook of $50 billion (as of January 27,            
2015).                                                                         
                                                                               
2 2016 Sales and Revenues Outlook in a range of $40-44 billion.  Does not      
include any impact from mark-to-market gains or losses resulting from pension  
and OPEB plan remeasurements.                                                  
                                                                               
3At effective tax rate excluding discrete items.                               
                                                                               

Machinery, Energy & Transportation

Caterpillar defines Machinery, Energy & Transportation as it is presented in
the supplemental data as Caterpillar Inc. and its subsidiaries with Financial
Products accounted for on the equity basis.  Machinery, Energy & Transportation
information relates to the design, manufacture and marketing of our products. 
Financial Products' information relates to the financing to customers and
dealers for the purchase and lease of Caterpillar and other equipment.  The
nature of these businesses is different, especially with regard to the
financial position and cash flow items.  Caterpillar management utilizes this
presentation internally to highlight these differences.  We also believe this
presentation will assist readers in understanding our business.  Pages 24-32
reconcile Machinery, Energy & Transportation with Financial Products on the
equity basis to Caterpillar Inc. consolidated financial information.

Caterpillar's latest financial results and outlook are also available via:

Telephone:                                                                     
                                                                               
 800-228-7717 (Inside the United States and Canada)                            
                                                                               
 858-764-9492 (Outside the United States and Canada)                           
                                                                               
Internet:                                                                      
                                                                               
 www.caterpillar.com/en/investors.html                                         
                                                                               
 www.caterpillar.com/en/investors/quarterly-results.html (live broadcast/      
 replays of quarterly conference call)                                         

Caterpillar contact:  Rachel Potts, 309-675-6892 (Office), 309-573-3444
(Mobile) or Potts_Rachel_A@cat.com

Caterpillar Inc.                                                                            
Condensed Consolidated Statement of Results of Operations                                   
(Unaudited)                                                                                 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)                                                 
                                                                                            
                                              Three Months Ended      Twelve Months Ended   
                                                                                            
                                              December 31,            December 31,          
                                                                                            
                                              2015        2014        2015        2014      
                                                                                            
Sales and revenues:                                                                         
                                                                                            
 Sales of Machinery, Energy & Transportation  $ 10,318    $ 13,500    $ 44,147    $ 52,142  
                                                                                            
 Revenues of Financial Products                 712         744         2,864       3,042   
                                                                                            
 Total sales and revenues                       11,030      14,244      47,011      55,184  
                                                                                            
Operating costs:                                                                            
                                                                                            
 Cost of goods sold                             8,183       10,499      33,742      39,767  
                                                                                            
 Selling, general and administrative expenses   1,267       1,522       5,199       5,697   
                                                                                            
 Research and development expenses              553         578         2,165       2,135   
                                                                                            
 Interest expense of Financial Products         147         154         587         624     
                                                                                            
 Other operating (income) expenses              994         428         2,062       1,633   
                                                                                            
 Total operating costs                          11,144      13,181      43,755      49,856  
                                                                                            
Operating profit (loss)                         (114)       1,063       3,256       5,328   
                                                                                            
 Interest expense excluding Financial           126         126         507         484     
 Products                                                                                   
                                                                                            
 Other income (expense)                         30          3           106         239     
                                                                                            
Consolidated profit (loss) before taxes         (210)       940         2,855       5,083   
                                                                                            
 Provision (benefit) for income taxes           (128)       179         742         1,380   
                                                                                            
 Profit (loss) of consolidated companies        (82)        761         2,113       3,703   
                                                                                            
 Equity in profit (loss) of unconsolidated      (1)         2           -           8       
 affiliated companies                                                                       
                                                                                            
Profit (loss) of consolidated and affiliated    (83)        763         2,113       3,711   
companies                                                                                   
                                                                                            
Less:  Profit (loss) attributable to            4           6           11          16      
noncontrolling interests                                                                    
                                                                                            
Profit (loss) 1                               $ (87)      $ 757       $ 2,102     $ 3,695   
                                                                                            
Profit (loss) per common share                $ (0.15)    $ 1.25      $ 3.54      $ 5.99    
                                                                                            
Profit (loss) per common share - diluted 2    $ (0.15)    $ 1.23      $ 3.50      $ 5.88    
                                                                                            
Weighted-average common shares                                                              
                                                                                            
outstanding (millions)                                                                      
                                                                                            
                                                                                            
                                                                                            
  - Basic                                       582.3       605.8       594.3       617.2   
                                                                                            
  - Diluted 2,3                                 582.3       616.0       601.3       628.9   
                                                                                            
Cash dividends declared per common share      $ 1.54      $ 1.40      $ 3.01      $ 2.70    
                                                                                            

   

1 Profit (loss) attributable to common stockholders.                           
                                                                               
2 Diluted by assumed exercise of stock-based compensation awards using the     
  treasury stock method.                                                       
                                                                               
3 In the fourth quarter 2015, the assumed exercise of stock-based compensation 
  awards was not considered because the impact would be anti-dilutive.         

   

Caterpillar Inc.                                                               
Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position                         
(Unaudited)                                                                    
(Millions of dollars)                                                          
                                                                               
                                                     December 31,  December 31,
                                                                               
                                                     2015          2014        
                                                                               
Assets                                                                         
                                                                               
  Current assets:                                                              
                                                                               
    Cash and short-term investments                  $ 6,460       $ 7,341     
                                                                               
    Receivables - trade and other                      6,695         7,737     
                                                                               
    Receivables - finance                              8,991         9,027     
                                                                               
    Deferred and refundable income taxes               1,526         1,739     
                                                                               
    Prepaid expenses and other current assets          1,046         818       
                                                                               
    Inventories                                        9,700         12,205    
                                                                               
  Total current assets                                 34,418        38,867    
                                                                               
  Property, plant and equipment - net                  16,090        16,577    
                                                                               
  Long-term receivables - trade and other              1,170         1,364     
                                                                          

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