** Morgan Stanley upgrades U.S. LNG companies Venture Global VG.N and Cheniere Energy LNG.N to "overweight" from "underweight"
** Says events in the Middle East have improved the outlook for U.S. exporters and even with near-term resolution, global gas market will need to contend with refilling inventories amid a large supply loss, creating upside price risks
** "What started as a transitory (but significant) capacity outage has escalated to a multi-year loss of supply, tightening '26 and mitigating oversupply in '27-28", brokerage says
** VG has the greatest upside to rising global LNG prices due to a large share of uncontracted cargoes, meaning higher spot margins would materially boost earnings - Morgan Stanley
** For Cheniere, the macro environment increases the likelihood of growth projects reaching a positive FID over the next 1-2 years
** LNG's largely contracted portfolio ensures steady cash flows but limits direct benefit from the recent surge in Asian and European gas prices, brokerage adds
** Brokerage BMO also raised its PT on LNG to $306 from $265