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US natgas prices fall to two-week low on big storage build and slow rise in output (updated)

    * EIA reports storage build of 108 bcf, exceeding analyst
expectations
    * LSEG notes slight output rise, with June production above
Wednesday's level
    * LNG export flows dip due to plant maintenance, impacting
feedgas demand

 (Adds latest prices)
    By Scott DiSavino
    NEW YORK, June 11 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures fell
about 3% on Thursday to a two-week low, on a
bigger-than-expected weekly storage build and a slight increase
in daily output.
    Front-month gas futures for July delivery  NGc1  on the New
York Mercantile Exchange fell 9.8 cents, or 3.1%, to settle at
$3.087 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), their lowest
close since May 27.
    The U.S. Energy Information Administration said energy firms
added 108 billion cubic feet (bcf) of gas into storage during
the week ended June 5.
    That was bigger than the 99-bcf build analysts forecast in a
Reuters poll and compares with an increase of 110 bcf during the
same week last year and a five-year (2021-2025) average increase
of 95 bcf for the period.  EIA/GAS   NGAS/POLL 
     
    SUPPLY AND DEMAND:
    Financial group LSEG said average gas output in the U.S.
Lower 48 states fell to 109.0 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd)
so far in June, down from 109.7 bcfd in May and a monthly record
high of 110.6 bcfd in December 2025. The average so far for June
is higher than the figure on Wednesday.
    Meteorologists forecast the weather will remain mostly
warmer-than-normal through June 26, which should boost the
amount of gas that power generators burn to keep air
conditioners humming. About 40% of U.S. power generation comes
from gas-fired plants.
    LSEG projected average gas demand in the Lower 48 states,
including exports, would rise from 102.9 bcfd this week to 104.3
bcfd next week. Those forecasts were similar to LSEG's outlook
on Wednesday.
    Average gas flows to the nine big U.S. LNG export plants
fell from 17.1 bcfd in May to 16.5 bcfd so far in June due to
ongoing spring maintenance at several plants, including
ExxonMobil  XOM.N /QatarEnergy's Golden Pass facility and
Freeport LNG's plant in Texas.
    Those flows compare with a monthly LNG feedgas record high
of 18.8 bcfd in April.
    Cheniere Energy's  LNG.N  Corpus Christi export plant in
Texas was on track to take in more gas on Thursday after trains
1-6 at the Midscale Stage 3 expansion shut down on Wednesday.
     
                       Week   Week   Year   Five-   
                       ended  ended  ago    year    
                       Jun 5  May    Jun 5  avera  
                       Actua  29            ge     
                       l      Actua         (2021  
                              l             -2025  
                                            ) Jun  
                                            5      
 U.S. weekly natgas    +108   +95    +110   +95     
 storage change                                    
 (bcf):                                            
 U.S. total natgas in  2,686  2,578  2,691  2,535   
 storage (bcf):                                    
 U.S. total storage    +6.0%  +5.7%                 
 versus 5-year                                     
 average                                           
                                                    
                                                    
 Global Gas Benchmark  Curre  Prior  This   Prior  Five-
 Futures ($ per        nt     Day    Month  Year   Year
 mmBtu)                Day           Last   Avera  Avera
                                     Year   ge     ge
                                            2025   (2021
                                                   -2025
                                                   )
 Henry Hub  NGc1       3.12   3.19   3.64   3.62   3.79
 Title Transfer        16.82  17.00  12.38  11.94  18.51
 Facility (TTF)                                    
  TRNLTTFMc1                                       
 Japan-Korea Marker    18.92  18.89  13.05  12.24  18.12
 (JKM)  JKMc1                                      
                                                    
                                                    
 LSEG U.S. Global                                   
 Forecast System                                   
 (GFS) Heating,                                    
 Cooling and Total                                 
 Degree Days                                       
 Two-Week Total        Curre  Prior  Prior  10-Ye  30-Ye
 Forecast              nt     Day    Year   ar     ar
                       Day                  Norm   Norm
 U.S. GFS Heating      7      8      20     20     13
 Degree Days (HDD)                                 
 U.S. GFS Cooling      193    189    138    138    152
 Degree Days (CDD)                                 
 U.S. GFS Total        200    195    158    158    165
 Degree Days (TDD)                                 
                                                    
 LSEG U.S. Weekly GFS                               
 Supply and Demand                                 
 Forecasts                                         
                       Prior  Curre  Next   This   Five-
                       Week   nt     Week   Week   Year
                              Week          Last   (2021
                                            Year   -2025
                                                   )
                                                   Avera
                                                   ge
                                                   for
                                                   Month
 U.S. Supply (bcfd)                                 
 U.S. Lower 48 Dry     109.6  109.0  108.7  106.1  100.6
 Production                                        
 U.S. Imports from     6.7    6.9    6.5    N/A    7.7
 Canada                                            
 U.S. LNG Imports      0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0
 Total U.S. Supply     116.3  116.0  115.2  N/A    108.3
                                                    
 U.S. Demand (bcfd)                                 
 U.S. Exports to       2.0    2.1    2.1    N/A    2.3
 Canada                                            
 U.S. Exports to       7.1    7.3    7.4    N/A    6.7
 Mexico                                            
 U.S. LNG Export       16.6   16.7   17.7   14.1   12.0
 Feedgas                                           
 U.S. Commercial       4.7    4.5    4.3    4.5    5.0
 U.S. Residential      4.2    3.7    3.5    3.8    4.2
 U.S. Power Plant      34.5   39.4   40.0   37.7   39.1
 U.S. Industrial       21.7   21.6   21.7   22.2   21.8
 U.S. Plant Fuel       5.4    5.4    5.4    5.4    5.2
 U.S. Pipe             1.9    2.0    2.1    1.9    3.0
 Distribution                                      
 U.S. Vehicle Fuel     0.1    0.1    0.1    0.1    0.2
 Total U.S.            72.6   76.8   77.1   75.6   78.5
 Consumption                                       
 Total U.S. Demand     98.3   102.9  104.3  N/A    99.5
                                                    
 N/A = Not Available                                
                                                    
 U.S. Northwest River  2026   2026   2025   2024   2023
 Forecast Center       Curre   Prio  % of   % of   % of
 (NWRFC) at The        nt     r Day  Norma  Norma  Norma
 Dalles Dam (fiscal    Day %  % of   l      l      l
 year ending           of     Norma  Actua  Actua  Actua
 September 30)         Norma  l      l      l      l
                       l      Forec                
                       Forec  ast                  
                       ast                         
 Apr-Sep               86     86     76     74     83
 Jan-Jul               90     90     78     76     77
 Oct-Sep               95     95     80     77     76
                                                    
 U.S. weekly power                                  
 generation percent                                
 by fuel - EIA                                     
                       Week   Week   2025   2024   2023
                       ended  ended                
                       Jun    June                 
                       12     5                    
 Wind                  13     11     11     11     10
 Solar                 9      11     6      5      4
 Hydro                 6      7      6      6      6
 Other                 1      1      1      1      2
 Petroleum             0      0      0      0      0
 Natural Gas           39     38     40     42     41
 Coal                  15     14     18     16     17
 Nuclear               18     18     18     19     19
                                                    
 SNL U.S. Natural Gas                               
 Next-Day Prices ($                                
 per mmBtu)                                        
 Hub                   Curre  Prior  This   Prior  Five-
                       nt     Day    Month  Year   Year
                       Day           Last   Avera  Avera
                                     Year   ge     ge
                                            2025   (2021
                                                   -2025
                                                   )
 Henry Hub             3.27   3.18   3.12   3.52   3.72
  NG-W-HH-SNL                                      
 Transco Z6 New York   2.80   2.53   2.34   3.53   3.56
  NG-CG-NY-SNL                                     
 PG&E Citygate         1.75   1.77   3.12   3.42   5.47
  NG-CG-PGE-SNL                                    
 Eastern Gas           2.53   2.34   2.17   2.79   2.96
 (formerly Dominion                                
 South)                                            
  NG-PCN-APP-SNL                                   
 Chicago Citygate      2.84   2.77   2.76   3.23   3.60
  NG-CG-CH-SNL                                     
 Algonquin Citygate    3.00   2.68   2.97   6.08   5.04
  NG-CG-BS-SNL                                     
 SoCal Citygate        2.77   2.73   3.59   3.60   5.71
  NG-SCL-CGT-SNL                                   
 Waha Hub              -0.98  -0.92  1.75   1.15   2.88
  NG-WAH-WTX-SNL                                   
 AECO                  1.25   1.25   0.64   1.13   2.13
  NG-ASH-ALB-SNL                                   
                                                    
 Intercontinental                                   
 Exchange (ICE)                                    
 U.S. Power Next-Day                               
 Prices ($ per                                     
 megawatt-hour)                                    
 Hub                   Curre  Prior  This   Prior  Five-
                       nt     Day    Month  Year   Year
                       Day           Last   Avera  Avera
                                     Year   ge     ge
                                            2025   (2021
                                                   -2025
                                                   )
 New England           81.05  61.09  60.18  77.61  61.79
  E-NEPLMHP-IDX                                    
 PJM West              161.7  110.0  70.06  60.23  54.47
  E-PJWHRTP-IX         5      0                    
 Mid-Columbia (Mid C)  18.10  3.78   42.59  44.81  68.96
  W-MIDCP-IDX                                      
 Palo Verde            27.20  24.63  38.53  34.82  59.94
  W-PVP-IDX                                        
 South Path-15         19.42  12.22  22.51  28.44  53.02
 (SP-15)  W-SP15-IDX                               
 
 (Reporting by Scott DiSavino, editing by Deepa Babington, David
Gregorio and Nia Williams)
 ((mailto:scott.disavino@thomsonreuters.com; +1 332 219 1922;
Reuters Messaging:
rm://scott.disavino.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net/))

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