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UK's Drax Group H1 adjusted EBITDA dips on lower power prices

UK's Drax Group H1 adjusted EBITDA dips on lower power prices


Overview

  • UK renewable power generator's H1 adjusted EBITDA fell 39% yr/yr to £279 mln

  • Adjusted basic EPS dropped to 29.8p from 65.6p yr/yr

  • Company returned £48 mln to shareholders via share buybacks, now paused pending BSIF deal

  • H1 EBITDA decline mainly due to lower power prices and planned/unplanned outages


Outlook

  • Drax expects FY-26 adjusted EBITDA in line with consensus estimates of £665 mln

  • Company targets adjusted EBITDA of £650-800 mln in 2029, excluding BSIF acquisition impact

  • Drax expects full-year 2026 dividend to rise 11% to 32.2 pence per share


Result Drivers

  • LOWER POWER PRICES - Co said lower achieved power prices were a primary driver of reduced H1 earnings

  • OUTAGES - Planned and unplanned outages, especially at Cruachan pumped storage and hydro, weighed on results

  • BIOMASS GENERATION - Lower forward contracted prices led to a 52% drop in Biomass Generation adjusted EBITDA


Company press release: ID:nRSd4559Oa


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

H1 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

GBP 279 mln

GBP 294.06 mln (2 Analysts)

H1 Pretax Profit

GBP 222.30 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "hold" and the breakdown of recommendations is 3 "strong buy" or "buy", 4 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the renewable fuels peer group is "buy."

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Drax Group PLC is GBp910.00, about 19.8% above its July 29 closing price of GBp759.50

  • The stock recently traded at 11 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 12 three months ago


Reuters Recommended Reads

  • July 28 - Engie's First Hydro to upgrade Welsh hydropower plant

  • July 29 - Germany's Nordex beats Q2 revenue estimates, confirms FY guidance


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.


(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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