REG - easyJet PLC - Trading Update for year ended 30 September 2022

easyJetAnnouncement

13/10/2022 07:00

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RNS Number : 7171C  easyJet PLC  13 October 2022

13 October 2022

 

easyJet plc

('easyJet')

 

easyJet Trading Update for the year ended 30 September 2022

 

Strong performance in the quarter with EBITDAR between £665m-£685m, in line
with Q4 FY19

 

-    Q4 headline EBIT expected to be between £525 million and £545
million as easyJet's transformation continues to deliver

o  Network optimisation driving demand as Q4 load factors recover to 92%

o  Step-changed ancillaries continuing to deliver with Q4 airline ancillary
RPS 52% above FY19

-    Actions taken improved operational performance from the beginning of
July with on the day cancellations in Q4 below Q4 FY19

-    Resilient full year performance despite external headwinds

o  FY22 Group headline loss before tax of between £170 million and £190
million, which includes a c.£64 million non-operating, non-cash FX loss from
balance sheet revaluations together with c.£75 million of incremental
disruption costs(1) vs FY19, mainly from operational issues experienced across
the industry in Q3.

o  FY22 Group headline EBIT expected to be break even

o  easyJet holidays generated FY22 profit before tax in excess of £35
million

-    Q1 FY23 Outlook

o  Capacity up 30% year on year to around 20m seats, c.83% of FY19

o  Booked load factors ahead of same point in FY19

o  Yields remain robust

Summary

During its fourth quarter easyJet flew 26.3 million seats, operating 88% of
FY19 capacity. EBITDAR in the quarter was in line with the same period in 2019
as proactive management actions drove improvement. Load factors have risen,
ending the quarter at 92%, with strong yields, as demand for easyJet's leading
network remains solid.

 

easyJet expects its FY22 Group headline loss before tax to be between £170
million and £190 million which includes a c.£64 million FX loss from balance
sheet revaluations and incremental disruption costs of c.£75 million, mainly
from operational issues experienced across the industry in Q3. The impact of
Omicron, war in Ukraine and the industry wide issues experienced this summer
all affected operational performance during the financial year. Despite this,
demand has been strong for easyJet's optimised primary airport network which
continues to deliver alongside step-changed ancillary revenue and the rapid
growth of easyJet holidays.

 

Operations have significantly improved as a result of management actions to
mitigate the disruption that the whole airline ecosystem experienced through
Q3. Since the start of July, easyJet's operations normalised, with Q4 on the
day cancellations being below 2019 levels. Some specific areas of the wider
European airline industry continue to have some ongoing challenges outside of
easyJet's control, for example air traffic control.

 

easyJet expects to fly around 20 million seats in Q1 of FY23. This is more
than 30% up year on year with UK capacity during the peak travel periods, such
as October half term and Christmas week, back to pre-pandemic levels. Bookings
continue to progress well with load factors ahead of the same point in FY19
and yields remain robust. This flying schedule retains resilience but also
provides a platform to prepare for the Summer 23 ramp up.

 

easyJet is well hedged with c.69% hedged for fuel in H1 of FY23 at c.$802 per
metric tonne and c.44% hedged for fuel in H2 of FY23 at c.$897 per metric
tonne. The spot price on 12 October 2022 was around $1,100. easyJet is
currently c.78% hedged for USD in H1 of FY23 at 1.29 and c.47% hedged for USD
in H2 of FY23 at 1.26. The spot price on 12 October 2022 was around 1.11. US
Dollar lease payments remain hedged for the next three years.

 

Johan Lundgren, CEO of easyJet, said:

"easyJet achieved a record bounce back this summer with Q4 operating profit(2)
expected to be between £525m and £545m and passenger numbers almost doubling
versus last summer to 24 million with a load factor of 92%, as demand for our
leading network and services remains strong.

"Our step change in ancillary revenue has continued to deliver, alongside
easyJet holidays making a profitable contribution in its first full year of
operations. This was alongside our operational performance(3) being ahead of
the same period in 2019 while customer satisfaction indicators also exceeded
pre-pandemic levels over the peak summer.

"Our summer 23 season went on sale last week and we were filling the
equivalent of more than four A320 aircraft a minute in the opening hours
demonstrating the continued demand.

"easyJet is Europe's largest operator at primary airports with one of the
strongest balance sheets in the aviation industry. We face the uncertain
macro-economic environment with many strengths through our brand, network and
business model which enable us to provide low fares to millions despite the
rising cost of living."

 

Revenue, Cost and Liquidity

Total group revenue and headline EBIT costs for the fourth quarter are
expected to be around £2,515 million and around £1,980 million respectively.
Revenue continued to benefit from strong demand for easyJet's leading network,
the continued outperformance of ancillary products and easyJet holidays. Costs
were incurred during the quarter as a result of additional resilience built
into the schedule impacting crew, airports and wet lease costs.

 

Financing costs were impacted by the strengthening USD which has driven a
non-operating, non-cash FX loss of £30 million from balance sheet
revaluations in the fourth quarter.

 

As at 30 September 2022 easyJet had c.£3.6 billion of cash and money market
deposits and net debt of c.£0.7 billion.

 

Capacity

During Q4 easyJet flew 88% of FY19 capacity(4), a significant increase on the
same period last year where easyJet flew 58% of FY19 capacity. Load factor was
92% (Q4 FY21: 77%), due to increased customer demand post travel restrictions
easing.

 

Passenger(5) numbers in the quarter increased to 24.3 million (Q4 FY21: 13.4
million).

                            July    August 2022  September 2022  Q4       FY

                            2022                                 2022     2022
 Number of flights          49,286  50,343       48,585          148,214  456,124
 Peak operating aircraft    318     319          318             319      319

 Passengers (thousand) (5)  8,137   8,310        7,824           24,271   69,707

 Seats flown (thousand)     8,747   8,928        8,624           26,299   81,549

 Load factor (6)            93%     93%          91%             92%      85%

 

Sustainability

During the quarter, easyJet released its net zero pathway setting out its
ambitious targets to 2050. This roadmap incorporates recent partnerships with
Rolls Royce, pioneering hydrogen combustion engine technology, and Airbus, to
support the development of carbon removal technology. Further information on
this can be found on our corporate website at
https://corporate.easyjet.com/corporate-responsibility/net-zero-pathway
(https://corporate.easyjet.com/corporate-responsibility/net-zero-pathway) .

 

Outlook

easyJet expects to report a Group headline loss before tax in the range of
£170 million to £190 million for the 2022 financial year.

 

In line with easyJet's dividend policy and considering the expected result,
the Board will not be recommending the payment of a dividend in respect of the
year to 30 September 2022.

 

easyJet expects to fly around 20 million seats in Q1 of FY23, up more than 30%
year on year. Load factors are currently ahead of the same point in FY19 and
yields remain robust.

 

Fuel & FX Hedging:

 Jet Fuel                         H1'23  H2'23    USD                                 H1'23  H2'23
 Hedged position                  69%    44%      Hedged position                     78%    47%
 Average hedged rate ($/MT)       802    897      Average hedged rate (USD/GBP)       1.29   1.26
 Current spot ($/MT) at 12.10.22  c. 1,100        Current spot (USD/GBP) at 12.10.22  c. 1.11

 

Full results for the year ended 30 September 2022 will be reported on 29
November 2022.

 

 

Summary financial data

 (£'m)                                                                                                                Low            High
 Q4 Group headline EBITDAR range                                                                                      £665           £685
 Q4 Group headline EBIT range                                                                                         £525           £545
 Q4 Group headline profit before tax range                                                                            £470           £490
 FY22 Group headline EBITDAR range                                                                                    £560           £580
 FY22 Group headline EBIT range                                                                                       £(10)          £10
 FY22 Group headline loss before tax range                                                                            £(190)         £(170)
 FY22 Company compiled consensus - Group headline loss before tax                                                     £(183)

                                                                      Q4'22                   Q4'21                         FY22     FY21
 Group revenue (£'m)                                                  c.2,515                 1,005                         c.5,770  1,458
 Group headline EBIT costs (£'m)                                      c.1,980                 1,075                         c.5,770  2,494
 Non-operating FX gain/(loss) from balance sheet revaluations (£'m)   c.(30)                  (13)                          c.(64)   9

 Cash and money market deposits (£'bn)                                -                       -                             c.3.6    3.5
 Net debt (£'bn)                                                      -                       -                             c.0.7    0.9

 

For further details please contact easyJet plc:

 

Institutional investors and analysts:

Michael Barker           Investor
Relations                   +44 (0) 7985 890 939

Adrian Talbot              Investor Relations
  +44 (0) 7971 592 373

 

Media:

Anna Knowles            Corporate Communications   +44 (0) 7985 873 313

Edward Simpkins       FGS Global
                           +44 (0) 7947 740 551 /
(0) 207 251 3801

Dorothy Burwell        FGS Global
  +44 (0) 7733 294 930 / (0) 207 251 3801

 

A copy of this Trading Statement is available at
http://corporate.easyjet.com/investors
(http://corporate.easyjet.com/investors)

Notes:

1.    Disruption costs for FY22 c.£200 million vs FY19 of £126 million

2.   Operating profit = EBIT.

3.   Operational performance relating to cancellations on the day.

4.   Capacity based on actual number of seats flown.

5.   Represents the number of earned seats flown. Earned seats include seats
that are flown whether or not the passenger turns up as easyJet is a no-refund
airline, and once a flight has departed a no-show customer is generally not
entitled to change flights or seek a refund. Earned seats also include seats
provided for promotional purposes and to staff for business travel.

6.   Represents the number of passengers as a proportion of the number of
seats available for passengers. No weighting of the load factor is carried out
to recognise the effect of varying flight (or "sector") lengths.

All numbers in this statement are provisional and subject to audit.

 

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